Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$40

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.22K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-19

last 03-24 14:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

66% 0% $-40

Politics

26% — —

Crypto

5% — —

Tech

2% — —

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
pakistan x afghanistan ceasefire by march 31	2	$40	84	+84	open	—	03-02 15:58
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	1	$40	148	+148	open	—	03-24 14:58
usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	2	$40	75	+75	open	—	03-02 15:51
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2	$40	51	+51	open	—	01-28 14:09
pter magyar sextape released by march 31	1	$20	25	+25	open	—	03-02 16:00
us strike on somalia by february 7	1	$20	100	+100	open	—	02-03 15:24
will bill or hillary clinton be held in contempt of congress by feb 28	1	$20	51	+51	open	—	01-25 03:24
will all of trumps greenland tariffs go into effect by feb 1	1	$20	113	+113	open	—	01-19 15:48
hezbollah strike on israel by march 7	1	$20	48	+48	open	—	03-01 09:42
will russia enter bilytske by february 28	1	$20	29	+29	open	—	02-03 15:49
will anyone be kicked out of trumps state of the union address	1	$20	36	+36	open	—	02-23 10:51
will trump sue nytsiena over polling by feb 28	1	$20	28	+28	open	—	01-28 13:52
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	1	$20	65	+65	Yes	$-20	03-02 16:11
will ldp win a majority in the 2026 japanese snap election	1	$20	43	+43	open	—	01-22 13:07
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31	1	$20	59	+59	open	—	03-01 09:45
chatgpt outage by march 15	1	$20	33	+33	open	—	03-02 16:20
kristi noem out by march 31	1	$20	29	+29	open	—	01-28 14:13
will seguro win all of portugals districts	1	$20	83	+83	open	—	01-28 12:10
israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	1	$20	44	+44	open	—	01-20 14:06
will the us conduct a cyberattack on iran by march 31	1	$20	27	+27	open	—	03-01 09:34
penguin listed on binance by march 31	1	$20	27	+27	open	—	01-27 12:46
trump drops powell investigation by february 28	1	$20	30	+30	open	—	01-22 13:11
will a new country join the abraham accords by march 31	1	$20	53	+53	open	—	01-31 03:54
iran strike on us military by february 28	1	$20	29	+29	open	—	01-28 14:05
will kanye release bully by january 30	1	$20	30	+30	open	—	01-28 12:05
will microstrategy announce holding 740k btc by february 28	1	$20	47	+47	open	—	01-22 13:01
will any of trumps greenland tariffs go into effect by feb 1	1	$20	32	+32	open	—	01-19 15:52
will epstein data set 9 be released before march 598	1	$20	34	+34	open	—	01-22 13:34
french forces seize another oil tanker by feb 28	1	$20	53	+53	open	—	01-28 13:57
will russia capture all of ternuvate by february 28 2026	1	$20	25	+25	open	—	02-03 15:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
03-24 14:58:07	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	No	BUY	148	27¢	$40	0x639c77…
03-15 05:36:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x0cda5b…
03-02 16:20:59	chatgpt outage by march 15	Yes	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0xdd5fdf…
03-02 16:11:19	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0xf6624a…
03-02 16:05:03	tsla up or down on march 2 2026	Down	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x13e603…
03-02 16:03:07	more eu sanctions on russia by march 31	Yes	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xeb95fd…
03-02 16:00:31	pter magyar sextape released by march 31	No	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x65d602…
03-02 15:58:03	pakistan x afghanistan ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xbca75a…
03-02 15:55:53	us evacuates beirut embassy by march 31	No	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x3c186c…
03-02 15:54:09	ndx up or down on march 2 2026	Down	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x73230b…
03-02 15:51:53	usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	Yes	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0xb340bb…
03-02 15:48:57	spx up or down on march 2 2026	Down	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x82cf95…
03-01 09:45:07	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31	Yes	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x31e2ea…
03-01 09:42:09	hezbollah strike on israel by march 7	Yes	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0xb33a4a…
03-01 09:38:59	usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	Yes	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x6a78fa…
03-01 09:35:47	pakistan x afghanistan ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x7c583a…
03-01 09:34:13	will the us conduct a cyberattack on iran by march 31	No	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0xdb967c…
03-01 09:31:19	hezbollah strike on israel by march 31 737 523	Yes	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x16f658…
03-01 09:18:15	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x46f38e…
03-01 09:06:35	another us bank failure by march 31	No	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0xed7a44…
02-23 10:51:46	will anyone be kicked out of trumps state of the union address	No	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x529dec…
02-23 10:45:48	us issues do not travel warning for jalisco state by february 28 2026 348	No	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0xf10289…
02-04 13:10:00	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	No	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0xfdcc5a…
02-03 15:49:06	will russia enter bilytske by february 28	No	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x7d9105…
02-03 15:44:38	will russia enter rizdvianka by february 28	No	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0xccc35f…
02-03 15:39:24	will russia capture all of ternuvate by february 28 2026	No	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x49ce17…
02-03 15:33:58	north korea missile launch by february 14	No	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x5aa8c4…
02-03 15:24:26	us strike on somalia by february 7	No	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x2923a2…
01-31 16:35:20	us forcibly removes khamenei from power by march 31	No	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0xb01d0e…
01-31 03:54:10	will a new country join the abraham accords by march 31	Yes	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x812295…
01-31 03:41:30	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by march 31	No	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x527d2a…
01-28 14:13:21	kristi noem out by march 31	No	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x9945c4…
01-28 14:09:15	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0xd74545…
01-28 14:05:01	iran strike on us military by february 28	No	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0xef321f…
01-28 13:57:53	french forces seize another oil tanker by feb 28	Yes	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x687405…
01-28 13:52:31	will trump sue nytsiena over polling by feb 28	No	BUY	28	70¢	$20	0xd89954…
01-28 13:49:49	will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of costa ricas presidential election	Yes	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x464665…
01-28 13:43:33	federal judge rules against operation metro surge by friday	No	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0xaab004…
01-28 13:40:23	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase january 27 february 2	Yes	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x70e860…
01-28 12:13:27	minneapolis border patrol shooter firedresigns by march 31	No	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x934431…
01-28 12:10:03	will seguro win all of portugals districts	No	BUY	83	24¢	$20	0x18807b…
01-28 12:05:55	will kanye release bully by january 30	No	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x196dce…
01-27 12:55:49	us strike on somalia by january 31 563	Yes	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x5d4648…
01-27 12:46:01	penguin listed on binance by march 31	No	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0xa066d6…
01-25 03:24:40	will bill or hillary clinton be held in contempt of congress by feb 28	No	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0xd497e5…
01-22 13:34:12	will epstein data set 9 be released before march 598	Yes	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x73f7a2…
01-22 13:11:00	trump drops powell investigation by february 28	No	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x630e7c…
01-22 13:07:18	will ldp win a majority in the 2026 japanese snap election	No	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0xfa1a92…
01-22 13:01:32	will microstrategy announce holding 740k btc by february 28	No	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x71009d…
01-21 15:24:14	will trump meet with delcy rodrguez by march 31 446	No	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x8ce0d3…
01-21 15:20:46	Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x2bad98…
01-21 15:17:44	israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	No	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x73b9af…
01-20 14:45:42	Will Apple release AirTag 2 by June 30?	Yes	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x82cb41…
01-20 14:19:54	Will Wrexham be promoted to the EPL?	No	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x632fb0…
01-20 14:06:36	israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0xa234ce…
01-19 16:07:46	BLS delays another CPI release before 2027?	No	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x227bc8…
01-19 16:06:24	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0xd5327f…
01-19 15:58:38	Will Nettspend release an album by June 30?	Yes	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x50a37e…
01-19 15:52:24	will any of trumps greenland tariffs go into effect by feb 1	No	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x52723d…
01-19 15:48:14	will all of trumps greenland tariffs go into effect by feb 1	Yes	BUY	113	18¢	$20	0x6c5f09…