Similar-Balloonist 0x7b02b2…2a4991
whale hot 7W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$835.0K
Unrealized P&L
+$30.9K
Hit rate
77.0%
Resolved
104
Trades
14,468
lifetime
Volume
$24.4M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.68K
Open exposure
$1.23M
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-29
last 10-27 08:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 48 days
Categories
Other
51% 77% +$725,402
Politics
43% 37% +$112,014
Crypto
5% 85% +$15,118
Sports
0% 50% -$17,503
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
59 active days in 12wk • peak 383 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +325,544 $324,191 100¢ $324.4K +$213 10-21 22:32
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +212,314 $150,543 94¢ $200.6K +$50,094 10-21 17:34
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +172,901 $157,319 92¢ $158.2K +$886 10-21 21:51
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +166,776 $120,079 80¢ $132.6K +$12,508 10-27 08:06
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +114,753 $71,594 66¢ $76.3K +$4,716 10-16 06:07
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? No +280,367 $43,507 24¢ $65.9K +$22,380 10-22 17:23
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +83,945 $52,104 66¢ $55.0K +$2,879 10-02 08:55
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? No +726,599 $90,206 6¢ $43.6K -$46,610 10-26 19:39
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +363,200 $28,424 8¢ $30.9K +$2,448 10-27 01:28
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +40,000 $24,800 66¢ $26.6K +$1,800 10-15 17:01
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +25,705 $19,282 76¢ $19.7K +$383 10-22 18:03
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +20,632 $18,899 94¢ $19.4K +$496 10-26 18:24
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +51,528 $18,035 34¢ $17.8K -$258 10-03 21:36
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +250,829 $34,426 6¢ $13.8K -$20,631 10-19 13:17
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -12,511 -$11,986 96¢ $-12004 -$19 09-21 06:40
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +12,862 $8,489 83¢ $10.7K +$2,186 04-28 14:28
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +10,720 $8,237 92¢ $9.8K +$1,572 05-08 21:41
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +33,152 $7,075 21¢ $7.0K -$113 10-22 15:12
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +12,862 $4,244 17¢ $2.2K -$2,058 04-28 20:09
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +11,148 $992 16¢ $1.8K +$797 05-24 03:55
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +10,705 $3,203 4¢ $434 -$2,770 05-23 21:40
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes -25,168 -$422 2¢ $-390 +$32 09-23 16:49
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes -62,293 -$222 0¢ $-218 +$3 10-14 15:17