Elegant-Staff 0x245848…ccf8e7
hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$10.0K
Unrealized P&L
+$525
Hit rate
77.2%
Resolved
31
Trades
408
lifetime
Volume
$54.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$133
Open exposure
$6.43K
15 positions
First seen
2026-03-19
last 10-30 02:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 21 days
Categories
Other
65% 41% +$9,298
Politics
35% — —
Sports
0% 11% +$730
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
19 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +4,000 $3,120 70¢ $2.8K -$300 10-29 03:08
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +1,000 $499 82¢ $815 +$316 09-24 02:53
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +5,000 $533 15¢ $760 +$227 09-25 20:01
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,000 $280 70¢ $705 +$425 10-29 03:12
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +10,000 $500 5¢ $505 +$5 09-26 16:47
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,000 $250 28¢ $275 +$25 10-30 02:58
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026? Yes +400 $192 30¢ $118 -$74 09-30 04:46
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +300 $128 32¢ $98 -$30 10-29 03:14
Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,000 $95 9¢ $92 -$4 09-24 22:33
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +100 $56 74¢ $74 +$17 08-28 03:10
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +4,000 $104 2¢ $62 -$42 10-29 03:08
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +200 $56 26¢ $51 -$5 10-29 03:17
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +100 $40 42¢ $42 +$2 08-28 10:15
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -8 $26 94¢ $-8 -$34 08-28 03:01
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House Yes +1,000 $10 1¢ $7 -$3 08-28 03:03