Realized P&L
-$92
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
38.1%
Resolved
135
Trades
3,612
lifetime
Volume
$12.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$16
3 positions
First seen
2026-03-31
last 07-21 18:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Other
43% 38% $-53
Crypto
24%
Sports
17% 29% $-40
Politics
15% 40% +$1
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
42 active days in 12wk • peak 130 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Theo FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -96 $-4 $-8 $-4 07-11 15:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +9 $6 52¢ $5 $-1 07-20 00:31
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? Yes -5 $-4 67¢ $-3 +$0 06-14 22:01