Flat-Monastery — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$92

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

38.1%

Resolved

135

Trades

3,467

lifetime

Volume

$12.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-31

last 06-17 15:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Other

43% 38% $-53

Crypto

25% — —

Sports

18% 29% $-40

Politics

14% 40% +$1

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 239 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?	Yes		-5	$-4	82¢	$-4	$-1	06-14 22:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cs2 fut b8 2026 04 09 map handicap away 1pt5	20	$164	187	187	+0	open	—	04-09 14:46
nba mia tor 2026 04 07	45	$161	220	84	+136	open	—	04-08 00:22
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	48	$135	184	177	+7	open	—	05-22 11:52
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	29	$129	136	134	+1	open	—	04-16 04:03
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	39	$102	149	149	+0	open	—	04-23 20:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	31	$92	140	140	+0	open	—	04-16 16:19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	19	$91	141	150	-9	open	—	04-23 18:36
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	16	$90	90	90	+0	open	—	04-09 14:48
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	27	$84	75	76	-0	open	—	05-22 01:20
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	35	$82	115	119	-4	open	—	05-21 17:31
cs2 fut mglz 2026 04 10 game1	12	$80	64	64	+0	open	—	04-10 17:58
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	18	$73	50	50	+0	open	—	04-16 23:55
will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	22	$69	71	81	-10	open	—	04-12 21:39
lol tes al 2026 04 05 game1	12	$68	89	88	+1	open	—	04-05 16:14
spl okh fat 2026 04 05 fat	29	$66	119	134	-15	open	—	04-05 17:03
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	12	$65	81	81	+0	open	—	04-16 15:14
efa whu lee 2026 04 04 total 2pt5	18	$64	48	48	+0	open	—	04-05 17:30
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	29	$63	145	145	+0	open	—	04-17 07:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	21	$62	73	73	+0	open	—	05-21 17:12
efa whu lee 2026 04 04 draw	11	$62	33	70	-37	open	—	04-05 17:32
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	21	$62	96	99	-3	open	—	04-16 03:32
lol vitb gal 2026 04 10	14	$61	47	47	+0	open	—	04-10 20:30
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	22	$58	65	61	+4	open	—	05-10 20:13
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	13	$57	80	80	+0	open	—	04-14 13:26
val g21 mibr 2026 04 10	15	$54	94	50	+44	open	—	04-11 01:42
atp rinderk michels 2026 04 13	9	$52	38	38	+0	open	—	04-13 13:17
Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch?	9	$51	49	49	+0	open	—	04-14 21:05
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	26	$49	90	88	+2	open	—	04-16 23:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	14	$48	56	55	+1	open	—	04-23 00:44
fl1 met nan 2026 04 05 met	42	$48	138	11	+127	open	—	04-05 16:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 15:46:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x850f4a…
06-17 15:46:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x192543…
06-17 15:45:40	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x5e8bb9…
06-14 22:01:39	Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x57f1e4…
05-29 04:14:49	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	22¢	$4	0x8f6805…
05-29 04:04:40	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	34¢	$2	0x9f4887…
05-24 00:59:45	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	23¢	$1	0x301815…
05-23 00:29:03	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0x1f60ec…
05-23 00:28:43	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	1	23¢	$0	0xccc2f2…
05-22 23:39:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	SELL	25	21¢	$5	0x641364…
05-22 23:38:40	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0xe8a0e4…
05-22 20:48:29	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0xc7aa95…
05-22 20:47:33	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	1	22¢	$0	0xf43bca…
05-22 17:05:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	9	24¢	$2	0xf8bfb7…
05-22 15:01:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0xa050ff…
05-22 13:41:50	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x24bff5…
05-22 11:52:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0xa9201a…
05-22 04:05:18	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	Yes	SELL	2	76¢	$2	0x1df5f7…
05-22 04:05:11	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	Yes	SELL	4	76¢	$3	0x73f489…
05-22 02:59:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	Yes	SELL	4	78¢	$3	0x4cae75…
05-22 02:59:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	Yes	SELL	32	53¢	$17	0x0f00e7…
05-22 01:20:46	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	53¢	$5	0x12f459…
05-21 20:47:11	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	6	23¢	$1	0x8c44fa…
05-21 19:56:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0x1cea84…
05-21 19:33:57	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	9	21¢	$2	0x386fa3…
05-21 19:29:22	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	SELL	18	23¢	$4	0xaf508b…
05-21 19:14:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0xc9fb4d…
05-21 19:12:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0xefaa9f…
05-21 19:01:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	6	23¢	$1	0x19c384…
05-21 18:59:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x2579c8…
05-21 18:54:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	16	26¢	$4	0x28fb7a…
05-21 18:51:32	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x740364…
05-21 18:49:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0x43b5d3…
05-21 18:49:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	Yes	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x2b10de…
05-21 18:47:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0xae66b8…
05-21 18:46:37	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x92e748…
05-21 18:46:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0x24f446…
05-21 18:38:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	Yes	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0xa6cbd0…
05-21 18:25:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	7	32¢	$2	0x793685…
05-21 18:15:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0x8e0e37…
05-21 18:11:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	21¢	$5	0xc9f305…
05-21 18:10:49	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x5993ca…
05-21 18:04:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xad62ac…
05-21 17:47:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	25¢	$2	0xef2c6f…
05-21 17:41:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	Yes	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x90f2be…
05-21 17:41:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	Yes	SELL	8	73¢	$6	0xb4cc27…
05-21 17:31:53	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	11	24¢	$3	0x83b297…
05-21 17:25:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0x3da795…
05-21 17:12:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	14	33¢	$5	0xf744da…
05-21 17:10:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	BUY	11	24¢	$3	0x2b472b…
05-21 16:57:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	Yes	SELL	7	33¢	$2	0xe4fe0d…
05-21 16:52:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0x9bf728…
05-21 16:42:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0x03114b…
05-21 16:41:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0xd0bed7…
05-21 16:23:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x04a85f…
05-21 16:00:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x97dbee…
05-21 15:44:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xd9b84e…
05-21 15:01:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xc7cd59…
05-21 15:01:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	Yes	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0xef37fb…
05-21 02:38:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x823e81…
05-21 00:53:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	20¢	$3	0xedf485…
05-21 00:18:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xee3038…
05-20 22:23:39	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xa3d7c2…
05-20 18:26:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	23¢	$3	0xf6aa25…
05-20 16:34:54	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x1d6e3c…
05-20 16:32:41	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0xab0b5c…
05-20 16:23:48	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0xda7311…
05-20 15:38:51	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	SELL	7	31¢	$2	0x7e9a2a…
05-20 15:38:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	9	29¢	$3	0x78ef67…
05-20 15:15:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x9ae771…
05-20 14:21:25	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	12	23¢	$3	0x6d2717…
05-20 07:50:54	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xad4e8c…
05-20 07:25:10	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	4	45¢	$2	0x95d385…
05-20 07:10:25	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	45¢	$0	0x9066e8…
05-20 07:10:25	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	45¢	$0	0x8e5685…
05-20 06:56:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x26c86b…
05-20 06:22:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	BUY	7	37¢	$3	0x647526…
05-20 01:25:26	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	11	24¢	$3	0x7b9d1a…
05-19 23:47:00	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x8912b3…
05-19 22:23:19	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x75f3ee…
05-19 20:00:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x64e916…
05-19 19:35:54	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	1	37¢	$0	0x48e792…
05-19 19:35:35	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	4	37¢	$2	0xce6329…
05-19 19:34:23	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xe6900a…
05-19 19:23:51	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0x0afab8…
05-19 19:23:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	BUY	14	20¢	$3	0x523a48…
05-19 19:13:51	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc6a1b2…
05-19 18:53:40	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x466324…
05-19 18:30:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	Yes	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0xb1ba6a…
05-19 18:17:14	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0xab9d38…
05-19 17:47:03	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xe8bcc4…
05-19 17:32:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x5d9103…
05-19 16:08:17	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	7	36¢	$3	0x69944e…
05-19 15:02:43	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	7	39¢	$3	0x1bed4b…
05-19 14:36:23	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0xe8689e…
05-19 14:35:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	SELL	6	23¢	$1	0x032bd2…
05-19 04:57:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	13	22¢	$3	0xb1ad99…
05-19 00:13:10	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	20¢	$2	0xf26ad9…
05-19 00:04:13	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	20¢	$2	0x3b98e7…
05-18 19:01:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x0d0381…