Similar-Ordinary — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.26K

Unrealized P&L

-$595

Hit rate

4.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$55.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$799

Open exposure

$13.4K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-24

last 07-22 17:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

58% — —

Sports

22% 0% $-100

Crypto

18% 11% $-1,104

Politics

2% 0% $-53

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed rate hike in 2026?	No		+38,955	$14,034	34¢	$13.4K	$-595	07-22 17:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Fed rate hike in 2026?	6	$31.0K	61,418	22,463	+38,955	open	—	07-22 17:44
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	5	$11.4K	8,790	8,790	+0	open	—	05-20 08:00
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	2	$4.6K	2,632	2,632	+0	open	—	05-20 07:55
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	2	$3.4K	5,000	4,730	+270	open	—	04-23 17:46
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	1	$1.0K	0	16,392	-16,392	open	—	01-24 12:14
epl tot bri 2026 04 18 tot	1	$400	1,250	0	+1,250	open	—	04-18 15:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	3	$400	2,080	0	+2,080	Up	$-400	05-11 08:42
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	2	$347	1,333	1,333	+0	No	$-53	05-04 06:53
Will Leeds be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	8	$340	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	04-12 14:20
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	2	$274	707	707	+0	open	—	05-03 16:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	2	$206	523	0	+523	Up	$-206	05-11 08:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	1	$200	705	0	+705	Up	$-200	05-09 16:16
epl tot bri 2026 04 18 draw	1	$200	800	0	+800	open	—	04-18 15:40
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 April 27-May 3?	1	$200	769	0	+769	open	—	04-30 19:59
epl sun tot 2026 04 12 tot	1	$200	526	0	+526	open	—	04-12 12:34
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	1	$155	500	0	+500	open	—	04-11 15:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	5	$125	1,587	0	+1,587	Up	$-125	05-11 08:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	1	$100	329	0	+329	Up	$-100	05-09 16:10
Will Nottm Forest be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	4	$100	973	0	+973	No	$-100	05-04 06:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	3	$74	1,403	0	+1,403	Up	$-74	05-11 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	2	$50	610	0	+610	Down	$-50	05-09 21:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	2	$50	213	0	+213	Down	$-50	05-09 21:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	2	$50	168	0	+168	Down	+$118	05-11 08:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	2	$50	189	0	+189	Down	$-50	05-11 08:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	2	$32	197	0	+197	Down	+$165	05-11 08:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	1	$25	128	0	+128	Up	$-25	05-11 08:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	1	$25	192	0	+192	Up	$-25	05-09 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	1	$25	132	0	+132	Down	$-25	05-11 07:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	1	$25	554	0	+554	Down	$-25	05-09 21:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	1	$21	80	0	+80	Down	$-21	05-11 08:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 17:44:55	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	8,720	35¢	$3,052	0xe96476…
07-22 15:47:15	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	4,265	35¢	$1,493	0xa37df3…
07-14 10:29:26	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	29,973	32¢	$9,674	0x7a2c5d…
06-19 11:18:07	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	21,966	36¢	$7,844	0xe5c9be…
06-17 19:50:47	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	9,478	42¢	$3,939	0x3b8f23…
06-12 10:39:03	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	9,478	53¢	$5,000	0x263e94…
05-20 08:00:49	Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	No	SELL	5,759	83¢	$4,807	0xcebce3…
05-20 07:55:06	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	2,632	98¢	$2,579	0x6b3361…
05-11 08:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	21	29¢	$6	0x00708c…
05-11 08:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	502	40¢	$200	0x26b5bd…
05-11 08:42:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	880	18¢	$159	0xc3ca6f…
05-11 08:42:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	199	21¢	$41	0x676d98…
05-11 08:41:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1,001	20¢	$200	0xd3374a…
05-11 08:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1,250	2¢	$25	0x41ffc0…
05-11 08:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	125	20¢	$25	0x359235…
05-11 08:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	93	27¢	$25	0xc5dcc9…
05-11 08:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0xa78be4…
05-11 08:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0xe2c03d…
05-11 08:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1,221	2¢	$24	0x22a411…
05-11 08:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0x07cf15…
05-11 08:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0xced6c4…
05-11 08:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	80	26¢	$21	0xfc21c2…
05-11 08:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	119	21¢	$25	0x4eda62…
05-11 08:20:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	70	36¢	$25	0x22641d…
05-11 08:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	128	19¢	$25	0x8968a8…
05-11 08:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	81	9¢	$7	0x1281db…
05-11 08:07:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	116	22¢	$25	0x20d119…
05-11 08:01:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	94	27¢	$25	0x90affe…
05-11 08:01:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0x1fddee…
05-11 07:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	132	19¢	$25	0xc0f452…
05-09 21:43:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	554	5¢	$25	0xe6c4e4…
05-09 21:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x9ee4d9…
05-09 21:34:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x3e6dad…
05-09 21:23:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	534	5¢	$25	0x78d120…
05-09 21:20:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	76	33¢	$25	0x6d1f52…
05-09 21:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	117	21¢	$25	0x988d49…
05-09 21:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	96	26¢	$25	0x6f9d81…
05-09 21:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	192	13¢	$25	0x0b4e52…
05-09 16:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	705	28¢	$200	0xd1864a…
05-09 16:10:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	329	30¢	$100	0x58c65c…
05-04 07:37:00	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	2,632	76¢	$2,000	0x259896…
05-04 06:54:34	Will Nottm Forest be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	254	10¢	$25	0x728567…
05-04 06:54:20	Will Nottm Forest be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	253	10¢	$25	0x478b09…
05-04 06:54:08	Will Nottm Forest be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	278	9¢	$25	0x891c33…
05-04 06:53:48	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	1,333	11¢	$147	0x97423f…
05-03 16:25:14	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$60k	SELL	707	10¢	$74	0x1c39dd…
05-03 10:27:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1,333	15¢	$200	0xfbcef0…
04-30 20:02:44	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$60k	BUY	707	28¢	$200	0xc5a1e4…
04-30 19:59:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	769	26¢	$200	0x15ca39…
04-23 17:57:06	Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	No	BUY	5,759	52¢	$3,000	0xaa3f40…
04-23 17:46:42	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	4,730	46¢	$2,176	0xb1004f…
04-22 08:33:56	Will Nottm Forest be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	187	13¢	$25	0xbb6c07…
04-18 15:40:44	epl tot bri 2026 04 18 tot	Yes	BUY	1,250	32¢	$400	0x6976f4…
04-18 15:40:16	epl tot bri 2026 04 18 draw	Yes	BUY	800	25¢	$200	0xaa6daf…
04-13 19:36:27	Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	No	SELL	3,031	52¢	$1,580	0x34a2de…
04-12 14:20:53	Will Leeds be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	842	16¢	$135	0x7ba0ae…
04-12 12:34:23	epl sun tot 2026 04 12 tot	Yes	BUY	526	38¢	$200	0x94db71…
04-12 05:06:53	Will Leeds be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	738	18¢	$133	0x444e63…
04-12 04:58:55	Will Leeds be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x84bb2c…
04-12 02:08:45	Will Leeds be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x118dc5…
04-11 22:21:47	Will Leeds be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	12	18¢	$2	0xc39a80…
04-11 17:20:23	Will Leeds be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	140	18¢	$25	0x05144c…
04-11 16:02:05	Will Leeds be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	103	18¢	$19	0xc4bbe7…
04-11 15:36:11	Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	No	BUY	1,515	66¢	$1,000	0x709732…
04-11 15:31:37	Will Leeds be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	158	16¢	$25	0x376e1d…
04-11 15:29:43	Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	No	BUY	1,515	66¢	$1,000	0xdd23bc…
04-11 15:28:31	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	500	31¢	$155	0xc743c6…
04-11 15:27:31	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	5,000	25¢	$1,250	0x798654…
01-24 12:14:24	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	16,392	6¢	$1,023	0x4f1512…