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whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$981
Unrealized P&L
+$23.5K
Hit rate
81.6%
Resolved
20
Trades
1,345
lifetime
Volume
$696.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$518
Open exposure
$93.9K
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-29 05:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Other
86% 46% -$445
Crypto
8% 100% +$1,941
Politics
6% 0% -$515
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +51,845 $23,694 98¢ $50.7K +$26,984 10-29 05:38
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No -22,872 -$21,869 100¢ $-22815 -$946 06-19 05:14
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -10,000 -$9,730 99¢ $-9865 -$135 06-18 04:51
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No -7,577 -$6,887 99¢ $-7482 -$595 06-24 06:59
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? No +2,134 $1,111 98¢ $2.1K +$990 05-05 12:18
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +147,755 $1,330 0¢ $665 -$665 05-02 01:33
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -12,932 -$415 2¢ $-220 +$196 05-03 04:07
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? Yes +3,905 $1,917 1¢ $49 -$1,868 05-02 05:40
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? Yes +598 $496 1¢ $9 -$488 07-01 18:48
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes -124 -$21 1¢ $-1 +$20 05-12 16:16
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? Yes +34 $18 2¢ $1 -$17 05-02 01:36