Realized P&L (7d)
+$20
Unrealized P&L
+$23.8K
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (7d)
1
Trades (7d)
0
1,345 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$0
$696.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$518
Open exposure
$94.0K
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-29 05:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Other
86% 50% -$426
Crypto
8% 100% +$1,941
Politics
6% 0% -$515
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +51,845 $23,694 98¢ $50.9K +$27,243 10-29 05:38
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No -22,872 -$21,869 100¢ $-22758 -$889 06-19 05:14
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -10,000 -$9,730 99¢ $-9865 -$135 06-18 04:51
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No -7,577 -$6,887 99¢ $-7535 -$648 06-24 06:59
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? No +2,134 $1,111 98¢ $2.1K +$991 05-05 12:18
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +147,755 $1,330 0¢ $665 -$665 05-02 01:33
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -12,932 -$415 1¢ $-136 +$280 05-03 04:07
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? Yes +3,905 $1,917 1¢ $21 -$1,895 05-02 05:40
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? Yes +598 $496 1¢ $6 -$490 07-01 18:48
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes -124 -$21 1¢ $-1 +$20 05-12 16:16
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? Yes +34 $18 2¢ $1 -$17 05-02 01:36