Grubby-Mall 0xa309f9…5c4cf2
whale hot
4Unusual bets: 2 positions →
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$236.9K
Unrealized P&L
-$45.7K
Hit rate
74.3%
Resolved
46
Trades
1,756
lifetime
Volume
$1.10M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$624
Open exposure
$83.1K
12 positions
First seen
2026-05-04
last 10-27 15:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Other
85% 71% +$300,705
Sports
14% 43% -$63,891
Crypto
0% 100% +$118
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 169 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +39,283 $22,387 96¢ $37.7K +$15,304 07-20 16:53
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? No +663,258 $99,806 4¢ $26.5K -$73,275 10-27 02:47
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes -153,609 -$12,732 4¢ $-6144 +$6,588 10-26 17:18
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes -663,258 -$2,431 0¢ $-2985 -$553 10-27 13:50
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? Yes +3,467 $818 74¢ $2.6K +$1,741 07-13 16:55
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +2,035 $1,975 98¢ $2.0K +$15 10-23 21:52
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? Yes +2,753 -$432 71¢ $1.9K +$2,380 09-23 19:51
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? No +1,239 $619 97¢ $1.2K +$579 07-13 16:53
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? Yes +4,774 $863 21¢ $1.0K +$158 06-04 21:05
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes -662,776 -$1,479 0¢ $-663 +$816 10-27 15:32
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? Yes +5,494 $894 7¢ $387 -$507 10-22 19:20
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No +2 -$1,019 97¢ $2 +$1,021 06-23 13:46