Dizzy-Zombie — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$37.1K

Unrealized P&L

+$36

Hit rate

71.3%

Resolved

189

Trades

4,544

lifetime

Volume

$1.77M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$388

Open exposure

$415

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-30

last 09-18 02:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Politics

50% 68% -$42,311

Other

41% 80% +$17,290

Sports

7% 52% -$3,904

Crypto

1% 12% -$8,158

Tech

0% 75% +$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632	No	+300	$42	97¢	$291	+$249	08-04 11:32
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	+277	$252	40¢	$112	-$140	08-09 09:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	+100	$84	12¢	$12	-$73	05-25 22:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	144	$193.8K	98,455	98,455	+0	No	+$804	09-03 14:51
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	319	$135.9K	79,184	67,906	+11,278	Yes	-$2,682	04-07 19:53
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	203	$82.6K	77,048	57,757	+19,291	No	-$17,022	04-15 21:42
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	11	$76.5K	48,737	29,994	+18,743	No	+$537	07-06 15:37
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	149	$53.6K	67,333	16,639	+50,694	Yes	-$24,839	06-07 19:53
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	24	$49.7K	50,888	9,800	+41,088	Yes	+$6,527	07-25 23:06
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	22	$43.4K	28,765	28,765	+0	open	—	05-15 20:16
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	96	$37.2K	23,309	18,316	+4,993	No	+$1,879	04-28 10:58
Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?	14	$37.1K	24,758	12,500	+12,258	No	+$172	08-30 19:27
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	29	$36.2K	36,550	0	+36,550	Yes	+$317	09-18 02:02
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	72	$33.9K	34,209	14,794	+19,415	No	+$7,460	05-30 17:56
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?	48	$32.3K	33,155	0	+33,155	No	+$824	06-15 14:17
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	12	$31.3K	31,652	0	+31,652	No	+$317	09-11 14:39
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	51	$30.1K	13,886	18,540	-4,654	No	+$24	04-15 07:35
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	121	$28.1K	24,046	7,430	+16,616	No	+$2,448	05-04 06:34
will france reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120767	25	$23.2K	13,404	12,354	+1,050	Yes	+$392	06-30 21:19
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	31	$23.1K	10,093	15,333	-5,241	Yes	+$2,247	04-08 00:00
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	61	$22.8K	25,229	9,899	+15,330	Yes	+$7,074	06-14 21:30
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	30	$22.8K	14,000	10,293	+3,707	Yes	+$1,398	04-16 18:27
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	14	$21.8K	21,852	0	+21,852	Yes	+$46	04-08 08:33
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	6	$20.8K	20,910	0	+20,910	No	+$105	06-16 12:46
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	6	$20.7K	36,700	0	+36,700	No	+$46	06-16 03:38
Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?	13	$20.6K	20,776	0	+20,776	No	+$197	09-04 22:25
Iran leadership change by August 31?	46	$20.2K	15,262	5,127	+10,135	No	+$143	08-30 14:36
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	73	$20.0K	22,012	7,221	+14,791	Yes	+$4,198	06-12 15:55
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	3	$18.9K	12,600	12,600	+0	No	-$2,699	05-04 10:08
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	65	$18.7K	12,122	14,553	-2,432	Yes	-$139	04-20 14:49
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	120	$17.2K	15,638	6,248	+9,390	No	-$7,721	04-25 13:41
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	13	$16.9K	15,200	3,112	+12,088	No	+$1,310	05-21 15:25
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?	9	$16.6K	19,000	0	+19,000	No	+$400	06-22 20:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-18 02:02:49	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,970	0x4f6a43…
09-18 01:38:40	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xddd695…
09-18 01:31:06	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4,745	100¢	$4,736	0x0df506…
09-18 00:11:01	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$998	0x274f55…
09-18 00:02:49	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$998	0x2262a8…
09-18 00:02:46	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x4614b1…
09-18 00:02:22	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x596b12…
09-17 23:56:22	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x0b432e…
09-17 23:46:12	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xc9b476…
09-17 23:29:34	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x32b39a…
09-17 23:20:16	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8ae73e…
09-17 22:58:09	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2,450	100¢	$2,445	0xd171a0…
09-17 22:39:15	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	390	100¢	$389	0x56d005…
09-17 22:01:30	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x40c1cf…
09-17 21:56:51	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x6ebde1…
09-17 21:52:28	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x51ee78…
09-17 21:39:22	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xce40d4…
09-17 21:25:36	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe5a94e…
09-17 21:23:33	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x361e9a…
09-17 21:01:12	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	401	100¢	$400	0xa29e8a…
09-17 20:55:24	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x4b940e…
09-17 20:12:28	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe10c87…
09-17 20:05:39	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xc2f488…
09-17 19:56:48	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x048bc6…
09-17 19:23:51	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x2adaac…
09-17 18:40:48	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	743	100¢	$741	0x1c6630…
09-11 14:39:34	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	27,836	99¢	$27,558	0xe5fe0c…
09-11 14:37:42	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	123	99¢	$122	0x24cb10…
09-11 14:31:04	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,000	99¢	$990	0x117021…
09-11 14:26:24	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xab545d…
09-11 14:20:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	825	99¢	$817	0x5c0c9b…
09-11 14:07:49	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0xebc31f…
09-11 14:07:39	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	800	99¢	$792	0x9c579d…
09-11 14:07:39	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x1341f8…
09-11 14:06:01	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	114	99¢	$113	0xaf64c9…
09-11 13:59:16	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x96a907…
09-11 13:56:24	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x79d537…
09-11 13:53:46	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	529	99¢	$524	0x45c533…
09-08 00:39:24	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	163	98¢	$160	0x824130…
09-08 00:39:24	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	295	98¢	$289	0x1bbb06…
09-06 17:54:03	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x5cd111…
09-06 17:54:03	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x2ae2b0…
09-05 06:22:43	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	No	SELL	5,319	99¢	$5,271	0x540918…
09-04 22:25:42	Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	531	99¢	$526	0xa7ecd6…
09-04 21:27:15	Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2,130	99¢	$2,111	0x271edb…
09-04 14:41:13	Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2,544	99¢	$2,522	0x00c378…
09-04 03:20:27	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	739	98¢	$725	0x0bac68…
09-04 00:22:19	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	241	98¢	$236	0xdbff72…
09-03 19:44:33	Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,456	99¢	$1,442	0x7a4bbd…
09-03 14:51:13	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1,628	99¢	$1,620	0x8852d4…
09-03 14:14:51	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	99	98¢	$97	0xe05d8f…
09-03 14:14:43	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	99	98¢	$97	0xedbb24…
09-03 14:14:42	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xf120a3…
09-03 14:14:42	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	151	98¢	$148	0xad62b0…
09-03 14:04:25	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	99	98¢	$97	0xc63177…
09-03 14:04:24	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,198	98¢	$1,175	0xf9dde7…
09-03 14:04:24	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xdf4c8e…
09-03 14:04:24	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	307	98¢	$301	0xdecb63…
09-03 14:04:24	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xd9009e…
09-03 14:04:24	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	98¢	$980	0xcf08f8…
09-03 14:04:22	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	196	98¢	$192	0xe0ab9f…
09-03 13:52:36	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x59538f…
09-03 12:15:52	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0x5ecedf…
09-03 12:15:45	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	330	98¢	$323	0xa06d42…
09-03 12:15:45	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	342	98¢	$335	0x182efd…
09-03 12:15:42	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf6d835…
09-03 12:15:42	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x2a9ead…
09-03 10:50:24	Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	115	99¢	$114	0x4c70c0…
09-02 18:46:33	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x433d9c…
09-02 18:11:54	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	665	99¢	$658	0x0a4bd0…
09-02 15:29:19	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	56	99¢	$55	0xd4eee2…
09-02 15:29:19	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	70	99¢	$69	0x2e5d61…
09-02 15:28:49	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	99¢	$990	0x703d21…
09-02 15:28:49	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x6f6581…
09-02 15:28:49	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	380	99¢	$376	0x58883a…
09-02 15:28:49	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x45e0f7…
09-02 15:28:49	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$19	0x0b5743…
09-02 15:28:00	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,000	99¢	$1,980	0xb895a8…
09-02 15:27:39	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x4a9b04…
09-02 15:27:30	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xfd7202…
09-02 15:27:28	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	400	99¢	$396	0xca753a…
09-02 15:27:28	Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	574	99¢	$569	0x95df67…
09-02 15:27:28	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	205	99¢	$203	0x9401e4…
09-02 15:27:28	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x63d04c…
09-02 15:27:27	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0xe31f7d…
09-02 15:27:27	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x137bf7…
09-02 14:03:19	Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xea07e6…
09-02 14:03:12	Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,990	99¢	$1,970	0xd52ef9…
09-02 14:03:00	Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,990	99¢	$1,970	0x3c7225…
09-02 14:02:43	Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,990	99¢	$1,970	0x24f353…
09-02 14:02:28	Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,990	99¢	$1,970	0xd79c97…
09-02 14:02:12	Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,426	99¢	$1,411	0x2e415f…
09-02 12:37:58	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	62	99¢	$61	0xfc5383…
09-02 12:37:58	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x410ae3…
09-02 12:37:58	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1bcd5a…
09-02 11:57:03	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	117	99¢	$116	0x73f0f7…
09-02 11:07:10	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	240	99¢	$238	0x619bc4…
09-02 11:07:10	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	370	99¢	$366	0x17ab59…
09-02 11:07:10	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$11	0x0ab968…
08-31 12:20:01	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1,628	99¢	$1,618	0x5ef53f…