Loathsome-Decade — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.53K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.8%

Resolved

Trades

9,727

lifetime

Volume

$5.58M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$574

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-08 19:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

48% 50% $-8,429

Other

36% 0% $-810

Sports

13% 75% +$11,770

Crypto

2% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 105 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	561	$430.5K	262,544	259,064	+3,480	open	—	01-25 19:17
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	69	$340.8K	284,707	62,264	+222,444	open	—	03-04 18:27
will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of march 113 384 528 915 639 242 637	15	$218.9K	220,839	1,795	+219,044	open	—	03-06 02:37
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	173	$176.0K	102,275	83,098	+19,177	open	—	04-24 21:31
nfl bal pit 2026 01 04	28	$172.9K	174,896	7,675	+167,221	open	—	01-05 04:41
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	79	$155.4K	186,372	66,573	+119,799	open	—	06-14 22:58
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	145	$152.8K	112,840	115,824	-2,984	open	—	01-30 15:15
will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	6	$144.8K	109,195	36,763	+72,432	open	—	03-04 04:19
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	174	$125.0K	87,229	74,075	+13,155	open	—	01-28 23:55
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	18	$114.1K	129,869	14,869	+115,000	open	—	01-08 03:00
netanyahu out by march 31 854	29	$113.6K	120,808	0	+120,808	open	—	03-16 16:02
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	401	$112.3K	101,165	74,736	+26,429	open	—	01-10 23:30
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	12	$105.3K	105,522	15,500	+90,022	open	—	01-01 22:30
us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	1	$104.8K	104,910	0	+104,910	open	—	07-01 04:07
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	355	$100.9K	345,072	82,883	+262,189	open	—	05-27 22:26
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	108	$80.7K	170,698	63,187	+107,511	open	—	06-02 23:10
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	12	$69.7K	53,152	41,471	+11,681	open	—	03-29 20:30
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	242	$59.9K	46,871	49,215	-2,344	open	—	01-10 20:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	29	$59.4K	40,000	40,000	+0	open	—	07-22 11:42
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	186	$58.0K	38,912	48,624	-9,711	open	—	02-08 23:16
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	10	$55.7K	61,531	1,000	+60,531	open	—	02-28 23:48
ufc max1 con 2026 07 11 holloway win by ko tko	9	$54.3K	118,000	0	+118,000	open	—	07-12 03:06
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	124	$51.8K	59,375	41,423	+17,951	open	—	04-28 13:06
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	95	$51.4K	55,674	60,670	-4,996	open	—	02-28 21:12
cbb txamc houbap 2026 01 17 spread home 2pt5	1	$50.3K	50,311	0	+50,311	open	—	01-18 00:27
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$49.4K	50,433	0	+50,433	open	—	05-18 16:41
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	19	$44.2K	29,203	16,769	+12,434	open	—	05-22 18:04
cbb missr mia 2026 03 20	129	$42.5K	50,920	30,000	+20,920	open	—	03-20 23:22
nfl ne den 2026 01 25	133	$42.5K	55,144	26,505	+28,639	open	—	01-25 22:57
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	18	$41.1K	40,678	25,842	+14,837	Yes	$-8,829	05-08 19:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-08 19:17:58	dota2 amaru jenz 2026 07 28 game1	Amaru Gaming	BUY	9,283	51¢	$4,735	0x317f05…
08-08 19:17:51	dota2 amaru jenz 2026 07 28 game1	Amaru Gaming	BUY	396	51¢	$202	0xa6ce43…
08-08 19:17:43	dota2 amaru jenz 2026 07 28 game1	Amaru Gaming	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x18588c…
08-08 19:17:42	dota2 amaru jenz 2026 07 28 game1	Amaru Gaming	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x3de9fc…
08-08 19:16:57	dota2 amaru jenz 2026 07 28 game1	Amaru Gaming	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x0621f9…
08-08 19:16:12	dota2 amaru jenz 2026 07 28 game1	Amaru Gaming	BUY	311	51¢	$159	0xe22afa…
07-31 22:14:11	wnba sea atl 2026 07 31	Seattle Storm	BUY	15,445	16¢	$2,471	0xd40d16…
07-26 23:10:16	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	2,029	63¢	$1,278	0x9c65ec…
07-25 15:10:06	ufc san1 sam2 2026 07 25 ponzinibbio win by ko tko	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x046be7…
07-25 15:10:00	ufc san1 sam2 2026 07 25 win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	57	99¢	$57	0xf80d3f…
07-25 11:36:45	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	900	51¢	$459	0xd260f8…
07-25 11:32:55	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0x175f12…
07-25 11:32:45	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	450	51¢	$230	0xea7b8e…
07-25 11:32:43	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	357	51¢	$182	0x8106ed…
07-25 11:32:43	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	450	51¢	$230	0x1772a5…
07-25 11:32:43	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	1,000	51¢	$510	0x0d2872…
07-24 22:19:28	will trump say transgender during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255816	Yes	BUY	2,017	26¢	$524	0xe1e109…
07-24 18:19:07	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	10,000	50¢	$5,000	0xe72556…
07-24 15:06:46	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	4,406	54¢	$2,379	0x13aeed…
07-24 15:06:40	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	0	54¢	$0	0x4e5472…
07-24 15:06:37	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	12	54¢	$6	0x46930d…
07-24 15:06:36	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	300	54¢	$162	0x12d168…
07-23 22:14:46	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	254	54¢	$137	0x443e95…
07-23 22:09:55	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	217	54¢	$117	0x0b6f2e…
07-23 21:27:06	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	130	54¢	$70	0x840b8b…
07-23 21:26:33	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	800	54¢	$432	0xcf4c08…
07-23 21:26:21	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	600	54¢	$324	0x22d0cf…
07-23 21:23:12	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	1,465	54¢	$791	0x9df1ac…
07-23 21:19:27	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	300	54¢	$162	0x791f18…
07-23 21:19:24	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	533	54¢	$288	0x9f381c…
07-23 21:19:19	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	200	54¢	$108	0x66cd8f…
07-23 21:17:12	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x95017e…
07-23 21:07:42	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	551	54¢	$298	0xe4e476…
07-23 19:41:48	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	No	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0x62cc02…
07-23 19:40:19	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	No	BUY	364	48¢	$174	0x8cdc7d…
07-23 19:29:07	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	352	54¢	$190	0x0be479…
07-23 19:19:31	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x0d79ab…
07-23 19:19:04	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	3,091	54¢	$1,669	0xfd8321…
07-23 17:16:40	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x93711f…
07-23 17:15:42	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0xe1b5ba…
07-23 17:11:27	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	1,500	54¢	$810	0x53e881…
07-23 17:11:12	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x5d1a0f…
07-23 17:10:18	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	5,245	54¢	$2,832	0xb977d1…
07-23 16:33:18	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	94	57¢	$53	0xd23d18…
07-23 16:33:09	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	288	57¢	$164	0xf2b077…
07-23 16:31:01	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	113	53¢	$60	0xcce452…
07-23 16:29:42	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	40	53¢	$21	0x02fee1…
07-23 16:29:25	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	218	51¢	$111	0xa4573c…
07-23 16:25:03	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	1,526	47¢	$717	0x75c358…
07-23 16:23:13	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x5e133b…
07-22 17:10:36	mlb pit nyy 2026 07 22 nrfi	No	BUY	60	59¢	$35	0x3fc6de…
07-22 17:10:22	mlb pit nyy 2026 07 22 nrfi	No	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x740ab5…
07-22 17:10:21	mlb pit nyy 2026 07 22 nrfi	No	BUY	65	60¢	$39	0xe52234…
07-22 17:10:16	mlb pit nyy 2026 07 22 nrfi	No	BUY	0	55¢	$0	0xd13953…
07-22 11:42:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	37,715	99¢	$37,376	0x182238…
07-22 11:39:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xeda9fb…
07-22 11:38:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x1f54ff…
07-22 11:28:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	810	99¢	$803	0x5eaaa5…
07-22 11:19:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xfbe786…
07-22 10:59:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	575	99¢	$570	0xf21657…
07-22 10:50:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xfe25dd…
07-22 10:49:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	72	99¢	$72	0x12742c…
07-20 15:59:28	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	28	62¢	$17	0x390ffb…
07-20 15:59:22	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x776dc2…
07-19 19:17:43	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	28	64¢	$18	0xa3ef98…
07-19 19:17:39	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	49	64¢	$32	0xa5b264…
07-19 19:14:04	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	136	61¢	$83	0x82da3a…
07-17 16:39:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	91	99¢	$90	0x36097a…
07-17 16:34:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	502	99¢	$497	0x69df37…
07-17 05:25:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x352376…
07-17 03:12:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x523cd7…
07-17 02:44:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	67	99¢	$66	0x806c80…
07-17 02:05:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	41	99¢	$40	0xa619c8…
07-15 22:39:31	btc updown 5m 1784154900	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x82b088…
07-15 22:39:29	btc updown 5m 1784154900	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x16ec42…
07-15 19:42:34	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 0pt5	Under	BUY	4,350	23¢	$1,011	0xc6f01d…
07-15 19:42:26	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 0pt5	Under	BUY	1,222	23¢	$281	0xacc480…
07-15 19:37:46	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 0pt5	Under	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0x0f6f48…
07-15 19:37:40	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 0pt5	Under	BUY	38	20¢	$7	0x5a6e0f…
07-15 19:31:35	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals jude bellingham gte1	No	BUY	103	80¢	$82	0xd8d844…
07-15 19:31:19	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals jude bellingham gte1	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x6056d2…
07-15 19:30:46	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals harry kane gte1	No	BUY	317	69¢	$219	0x42f4c7…
07-15 19:30:20	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals harry kane gte1	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xa7f182…
07-15 19:30:05	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals harry kane gte1	No	BUY	19	69¢	$13	0xaf3220…
07-15 19:30:04	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 0pt5	Under	BUY	68	16¢	$11	0x002888…
07-15 19:29:50	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals harry kane gte1	No	BUY	16	69¢	$11	0xa2a1ae…
07-15 19:29:37	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals harry kane gte1	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x4e0c28…
07-15 19:28:32	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	292	68¢	$199	0x8b7951…
07-15 19:28:08	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals harry kane gte1	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xf5714a…
07-15 19:28:01	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals harry kane gte1	No	BUY	299	69¢	$207	0x3b8d2b…
07-15 19:27:49	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	16	68¢	$11	0xe9ad9d…
07-15 19:27:46	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	16	68¢	$11	0x089dd6…
07-15 19:27:43	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	31	68¢	$21	0x46b923…
07-15 19:27:29	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	94	68¢	$64	0x5ebf20…
07-15 19:27:28	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	30	68¢	$20	0x6d968c…
07-15 19:26:32	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x9b1bf3…
07-15 19:26:23	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	446	68¢	$304	0xe660ab…
07-15 19:26:11	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	31	68¢	$21	0x5e813f…
07-15 19:25:59	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	156	68¢	$106	0xb0e6ca…
07-15 19:25:56	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	278	68¢	$189	0xb744a0…