Loathsome-Decade 0xecb14a…655da3
whale hot 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$288.6K
Unrealized P&L
-$35.4K
Hit rate
77.6%
Resolved
695
Trades
14,570
lifetime
Volume
$8.54M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$586
Open exposure
$173.9K
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 19:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 191 days
Categories
Politics
46% 62% +$53,146
Other
36% 60% +$232,127
Sports
15% 45% -$66,325
Pop-Culture
2% 82% +$27,356
Crypto
1% 56% +$42,281
Tech
0% 33% +$16
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
60 active days in 12wk • peak 208 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -68,772 -$60,137 82¢ $-56049 +$4,088 10-17 21:34
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +50,992 $32,553 68¢ $34.4K +$1,867 10-21 23:28
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +51,401 $36,766 52¢ $27.0K -$9,780 10-27 19:52
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +17,306 $2,747 92¢ $15.8K +$13,088 10-20 21:43
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +30,000 $14,320 44¢ $13.3K -$970 10-22 15:07
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -10,000 -$9,500 94¢ $-9350 +$150 10-20 16:02
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +88,162 $6,897 4¢ $3.9K -$3,018 09-18 18:30
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +5,370 $3,437 68¢ $3.6K +$188 10-05 16:46
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? No +70,000 $7,400 4¢ $3.1K -$4,250 10-22 12:31
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +5,000 $3,150 62¢ $3.1K -$25 10-20 22:12
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +4,231 $2,665 62¢ $2.6K -$21 10-20 22:27
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +8,000 $6,560 8¢ $680 -$5,880 07-07 15:36
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +45,000 $30,150 1¢ $450 -$29,700 10-27 19:50
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +5,000 $655 4¢ $217 -$438 10-19 14:27
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +73 $56 74¢ $54 -$3 10-04 14:22
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? Yes +337 $47 12¢ $39 -$8 10-19 13:56
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%? No +2,018 $586 1¢ $18 -$568 10-19 16:37
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%? Yes +566 $77 1¢ $5 -$72 10-18 20:19
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%? Yes +349 $59 0¢ $1 -$58 10-19 21:35