Realized P&L (7d)
+$54.3K
Unrealized P&L
-$27.9K
Hit rate
75.6%
Resolved (7d)
37
Trades (7d)
415
14,601 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$401.3K
$8.55M lifetime
Avg / trade
$586
Open exposure
$164.5K
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 15:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 193 days
Categories
Politics
46% 62% +$53,146
Other
36% 60% +$224,727
Sports
15% 45% -$66,370
Pop-Culture
2% 82% +$27,356
Crypto
1% 56% +$42,281
Tech
0% 33% +$16
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
61 active days in 12wk • peak 208 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -68,772 -$60,137 82¢ $-56049 +$4,088 10-17 21:34
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +50,992 $32,553 68¢ $34.9K +$2,377 10-21 23:28
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +51,401 $36,766 56¢ $28.5K -$8,238 10-27 19:52
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? No +16,060 $1,575 94¢ $15.0K +$13,441 10-28 15:49
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -10,000 -$9,500 96¢ $-9550 -$50 10-20 16:02
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +11,719 $5,617 58¢ $6.8K +$1,145 10-28 10:17
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +5,370 $3,437 68¢ $3.7K +$242 10-05 16:46
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +5,000 $3,150 64¢ $3.2K +$25 10-20 22:12
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +88,162 $6,897 3¢ $2.8K -$4,075 09-18 18:30
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +4,231 $2,665 64¢ $2.7K +$21 10-20 22:27
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +8,000 $6,560 6¢ $520 -$6,040 07-07 15:36
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +45,000 $30,150 1¢ $450 -$29,700 10-27 19:50
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +5,000 $655 4¢ $225 -$430 10-19 14:27
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +73 $56 72¢ $52 -$4 10-04 14:22
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? Yes +337 $47 12¢ $40 -$6 10-19 13:56
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%? No +2,018 $586 1¢ $18 -$568 10-19 16:37
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%? Yes +566 $77 1¢ $4 -$72 10-18 20:19
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%? Yes +349 $59 0¢ $1 -$58 10-19 21:35