Realized P&L (7d)
+$55.4K
Unrealized P&L
-$24.3K
Hit rate
75.9%
Resolved (7d)
41
Trades (7d)
404
14,602 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$416.5K
$8.59M lifetime
Avg / trade
$589
Open exposure
$200.0K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 17:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 193 days
Categories
Politics
47% 61% +$53,055
Other
36% 59% +$224,005
Sports
15% 45% -$66,370
Pop-Culture
2% 82% +$27,356
Crypto
1% 56% +$42,281
Tech
0% 33% +$16
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
62 active days in 12wk • peak 208 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -68,772 -$60,137 82¢ $-56049 +$4,088 10-17 21:34
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +50,992 $32,553 70¢ $35.9K +$3,396 10-21 23:28
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes -50,992 -$35,453 70¢ $-35949 -$496 10-29 17:54
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +51,401 $36,766 60¢ $30.6K -$6,182 10-27 19:52
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? No +16,060 $1,575 90¢ $14.5K +$12,959 10-28 15:49
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -10,000 -$9,500 94¢ $-9350 +$150 10-20 16:02
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +11,719 $5,617 60¢ $7.1K +$1,438 10-28 10:17
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +5,000 $3,150 66¢ $3.3K +$175 10-20 22:12
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +88,162 $6,897 3¢ $2.9K -$4,031 09-18 18:30
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +4,231 $2,665 66¢ $2.8K +$148 10-20 22:27
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +8,000 $6,560 10¢ $760 -$5,800 07-07 15:36
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +45,000 $30,150 1¢ $450 -$29,700 10-27 19:50
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +5,000 $655 5¢ $242 -$412 10-19 14:27
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +73 $56 70¢ $51 -$5 10-04 14:22
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? Yes +337 $47 10¢ $35 -$11 10-19 13:56