Realized P&L (24h)
+$6.49K
Unrealized P&L
+$7.39K
Hit rate
83.1%
Resolved (24h)
16
Trades (24h)
24
15,000 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$26.9K
$8.83M lifetime
Avg / trade
$589
Open exposure
$122.6K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-04 19:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 198 days
Categories
Politics
48% 61% +$28,751
Other
35% 59% +$224,005
Sports
15% 45% -$73,198
Pop-Culture
1% 82% +$27,356
Crypto
1% 56% +$42,281
Tech
0% 33% +$16
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
66 active days in 12wk • peak 350 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -68,772 -$60,137 90¢ $-61551 -$1,414 10-17 21:34
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +20,507 $7,382 93¢ $19.1K +$11,689 11-03 23:17
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -10,000 -$9,500 96¢ $-9600 -$100 10-20 16:02
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? No +8,000 -$6,001 96¢ $7.7K +$13,681 10-31 00:11
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +7,131 $5,420 92¢ $6.6K +$1,141 11-04 15:17
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +25,000 $6,000 22¢ $5.4K -$625 11-03 18:13
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +10,000 $4,125 43¢ $4.3K +$205 11-04 17:17
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +88,162 $6,897 3¢ $2.8K -$4,075 09-18 18:30
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2,892 $3,408 70¢ $2.0K -$1,398 11-04 19:20
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +19,255 $1,510 9¢ $1.7K +$155 11-04 02:44
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +6,693 $1,740 22¢ $1.5K -$234 11-03 19:14
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +8,000 $6,560 4¢ $320 -$6,240 07-07 15:36
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +11,719 $5,617 1¢ $82 -$5,535 10-28 10:17
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? Yes +337 $47 10¢ $35 -$11 10-19 13:56
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? No +0 -$150 7¢ $0 +$150 11-03 17:04