Realized P&L (24h)
—
Unrealized P&L
+$13.2K
Hit rate
—
Resolved (24h)
0
Trades (24h)
30
15,065 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$2.53K
$8.84M lifetime
Avg / trade
$587
Open exposure
$116.6K
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-07 13:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 199 days
Categories
Politics
48% 61% +$23,284
Other
35% 59% +$224,005
Sports
15% 45% -$73,198
Pop-Culture
1% 82% +$27,356
Crypto
1% 56% +$42,281
Tech
0% 33% +$16
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 350 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -68,772 -$60,137 90¢ $-61551 -$1,414 10-17 21:34
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +20,507 $7,382 98¢ $20.2K +$12,776 11-03 23:17
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -10,000 -$9,500 97¢ $-9730 -$230 10-20 16:02
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? No +8,000 -$6,001 96¢ $7.7K +$13,693 10-31 00:11
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +7,131 $5,420 99¢ $7.0K +$1,608 11-04 15:17
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +20,493 $5,009 22¢ $4.4K -$602 11-07 13:56
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +10,000 $4,125 37¢ $3.7K -$420 11-04 17:17
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +88,162 $6,897 2¢ $1.8K -$5,089 09-18 18:30
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +8,000 $6,560 4¢ $308 -$6,252 07-07 15:36
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw? No +110 $70 65¢ $71 +$1 10-10 14:20
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026-27 NBA MVP? No +86 $37 72¢ $61 +$24 11-03 18:03
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? Yes +337 $47 12¢ $40 -$6 10-19 13:56
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? No +20 $14 76¢ $15 +$1 10-05 09:10
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +0 $1,308 79¢ $0 -$1,308 11-05 18:04
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +0 -$261 9¢ $0 +$261 11-06 12:59
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? No +0 -$150 2¢ $0 +$150 11-03 17:04