Realized P&L
+$281.1K
Unrealized P&L
-$24.3K
Hit rate
77.5%
Resolved
699
Trades
14,602
lifetime
Volume
$8.59M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$589
Open exposure
$195.7K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 17:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 193 days
Categories
Politics
47% 61% +$53,055
Other
36% 60% +$224,727
Sports
15% 45% -$66,370
Pop-Culture
2% 82% +$27,356
Crypto
1% 56% +$42,281
Tech
0% 33% +$16
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
62 active days in 12wk • peak 208 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -68,772 -$60,137 79¢ $-54330 +$5,807 10-17 21:34
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes -50,992 -$35,453 70¢ $-35439 +$14 10-29 17:54
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +50,992 $32,553 68¢ $34.9K +$2,377 10-21 23:28
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +51,401 $36,766 56¢ $29.0K -$7,724 10-27 19:52
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +16,060 $1,575 90¢ $14.5K +$12,959 10-28 15:49
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -10,000 -$9,500 94¢ $-9450 +$50 10-20 16:02
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +11,719 $5,617 59¢ $6.9K +$1,256 10-28 10:17
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +5,000 $3,150 64¢ $3.2K +$75 10-20 22:12
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +88,162 $6,897 3¢ $2.7K -$4,164 09-18 18:30
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +4,231 $2,665 64¢ $2.7K +$63 10-20 22:27
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +45,000 $30,150 3¢ $1.3K -$28,800 10-27 19:50
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +8,000 $6,560 10¢ $760 -$5,800 07-07 15:36
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +5,000 $655 5¢ $238 -$418 10-19 14:27
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +73 $56 70¢ $52 -$5 10-04 14:22
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? Yes +337 $47 11¢ $35 -$11 10-19 13:56