Emotional-Secretary — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$28.0K

Unrealized P&L

+$1.83K

Hit rate

54.1%

Resolved

Trades

1,255

lifetime

Volume

$284.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$227

Open exposure

$8.42K

6 positions

First seen

2026-02-02

last 10-23 09:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Other

65% 60% -$29,451

Sports

15% 36% -$3,056

Politics

11% 67% +$3,656

Crypto

9% 56% +$886

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	+3,947	$2,711	99¢	$3.9K	+$1,206	10-20 10:39
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	+2,324	$1,787	96¢	$2.2K	+$456	10-19 16:07
us x iran ceasefire continues through november 15	Yes	+2,387	$1,247	56¢	$1.3K	+$89	10-19 16:08
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	No	+790	$615	93¢	$738	+$123	10-16 20:49
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	-168	-$135	91¢	$-153	-$18	05-01 10:49
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	-1,049	-$3	3¢	$-29	-$26	09-01 13:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Fed rate hike in 2026?	35	$27.2K	69,912	0	+69,912	Yes	-$27,164	09-06 14:12
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	14	$19.6K	24,474	2,553	+21,921	Yes	+$7,252	07-17 09:28
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	95	$18.1K	12,971	12,991	-20	No	-$838	03-30 20:40
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	14	$11.7K	35,847	0	+35,847	No	-$11,688	09-12 07:46
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	11	$11.5K	8,786	8,786	+0	Yes	-$915	06-30 13:24
will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of february 743 796 985 593 523 417 437	41	$11.4K	6,621	6,804	-182	No	+$1,420	02-25 16:46
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	46	$10.0K	7,454	7,820	-366	No	+$1,101	03-20 14:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	26	$9.5K	5,503	5,470	+33	No	+$1,460	04-30 12:47
will uae strike iran by march 31	58	$9.4K	9,840	3,515	+6,325	No	+$3,105	03-24 20:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	8	$8.6K	4,748	4,720	+28	No	+$815	04-27 14:50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	21	$8.0K	5,108	5,046	+62	No	+$1,844	04-28 09:17
Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	12	$7.8K	7,169	7,169	+0	No	-$2,306	06-22 12:44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	13	$6.2K	7,380	0	+7,380	No	+$1,188	04-30 13:00
will sp 500 spx hit 6300 low in march 2026	33	$5.0K	3,832	2,904	+928	No	-$37	03-30 23:19
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	21	$4.8K	14,676	15,725	-1,049	open	—	09-01 13:30
will bitcoin reach 90k in february 2026	11	$4.6K	2,652	2,850	-198	No	+$573	02-06 00:03
will gold gc hit high 5800 by end of february 759 378 429 713 662 579	26	$4.5K	3,525	1,763	+1,763	No	+$313	02-08 19:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	15	$4.5K	6,607	0	+6,607	No	+$2,109	04-30 09:31
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	43	$4.4K	3,263	3,263	+0	Yes	+$113	03-23 21:19
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	40	$4.2K	2,986	2,986	+0	No	+$121	03-19 14:46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	7	$4.2K	3,041	3,041	+0	No	+$803	05-21 13:16
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	21	$4.1K	5,875	5,875	+0	open	—	09-11 13:06
Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$3.9K	4,932	0	+4,932	No	+$1,079	06-03 09:23
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	38	$3.7K	10,777	10,777	+0	No	$0	02-11 09:52
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	23	$3.6K	2,202	2,202	+0	No	+$290	03-16 07:29
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	17	$3.2K	4,261	314	+3,947	open	—	10-20 10:39
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	4	$3.2K	2,638	2,638	+0	Yes	-$338	06-03 06:01
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	8	$3.2K	2,700	2,700	+0	Yes	-$27	02-09 15:45
will the united states win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	68	$3.0K	6,686	6,686	+0	No	-$594	02-09 04:04
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	3	$2.8K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	05-21 08:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 09:48:44	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,400	93¢	$1,302	0x318842…
10-20 10:48:06	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in October?	No	BUY	93	62¢	$57	0xed3851…
10-20 10:47:36	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in October?	No	SELL	75	78¢	$59	0x33da25…
10-20 10:42:30	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in October?	No	BUY	99	60¢	$59	0x253fdd…
10-20 10:40:18	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in October?	No	BUY	285	59¢	$168	0xe20875…
10-20 10:39:50	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	SELL	314	74¢	$232	0x3f42ea…
10-19 16:08:24	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	400	45¢	$180	0x21c440…
10-19 16:07:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	600	45¢	$270	0x1ba0c9…
10-19 16:07:23	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	105	60¢	$63	0x2ae072…
10-19 16:07:14	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0x2b4007…
10-19 16:06:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x4815c3…
10-19 16:06:20	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	600	95¢	$570	0x0f0ad7…
10-17 17:19:44	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in October?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x10980a…
10-16 20:50:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	916	77¢	$705	0x7ee3ad…
10-16 20:49:02	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	No	SELL	700	93¢	$652	0x2884cf…
10-16 20:48:39	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	No	SELL	60	93¢	$56	0x6c9724…
10-16 15:08:36	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in October?	No	BUY	227	77¢	$175	0x70b654…
10-16 14:51:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	No	SELL	448	40¢	$180	0xd0ece5…
10-16 12:59:10	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	BUY	355	65¢	$231	0x92656c…
10-16 12:55:57	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	BUY	300	65¢	$195	0x076817…
10-16 12:52:54	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in October?	No	BUY	30	73¢	$22	0xdf9254…
10-16 12:52:52	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in October?	No	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0xb286fc…
10-16 12:49:16	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0xeb5295…
10-16 12:46:25	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	200	82¢	$164	0x8ee8cc…
10-16 12:33:15	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	800	95¢	$760	0xfdfa24…
10-16 10:42:45	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	BUY	766	64¢	$490	0x02b720…
10-16 10:41:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	No	SELL	933	38¢	$354	0x18dc07…
10-16 10:41:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	No	SELL	112	39¢	$44	0xd91529…
10-16 10:41:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	No	SELL	300	39¢	$117	0x69cc24…
10-16 10:33:03	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	BUY	230	65¢	$150	0xab67b5…
10-15 12:19:26	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	BUY	97	73¢	$71	0x429bea…
10-15 12:14:59	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x060521…
10-15 11:33:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,400	73¢	$1,022	0x7924b5…
10-15 11:32:28	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x4a4a59…
10-15 11:19:40	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	BUY	67	73¢	$49	0x0c0cad…
10-15 11:18:39	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	80¢	$800	0x8dec3a…
10-15 11:17:46	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	163	63¢	$103	0xe33743…
10-15 11:13:33	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in October?	No	BUY	294	69¢	$203	0xe40f63…
10-15 11:12:36	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	BUY	519	73¢	$379	0xf0df89…
10-15 10:53:27	us x iran ceasefire continues through november 15	Yes	BUY	47	57¢	$27	0xce96f8…
10-15 10:53:21	us x iran ceasefire continues through november 15	Yes	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0x01fee0…
10-15 10:37:41	us x iran ceasefire continues through november 15	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x3d7bb9…
10-15 10:37:29	us x iran ceasefire continues through november 15	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xd5b03f…
10-15 10:37:22	us x iran ceasefire continues through november 15	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x1eb74e…
10-15 10:37:11	us x iran ceasefire continues through november 15	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x8a2cd2…
10-15 10:37:02	us x iran ceasefire continues through november 15	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xf18ec8…
10-15 10:36:53	us x iran ceasefire continues through november 15	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x724375…
10-15 10:36:44	us x iran ceasefire continues through november 15	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x1227aa…
10-15 10:36:37	us x iran ceasefire continues through november 15	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x5247d2…
10-15 10:36:28	us x iran ceasefire continues through november 15	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x061f9e…
10-15 10:36:16	us x iran ceasefire continues through november 15	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x43203d…
10-15 10:36:08	us x iran ceasefire continues through november 15	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xddb04a…
10-15 10:36:01	us x iran ceasefire continues through november 15	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x0acd99…
10-15 10:25:32	us x iran ceasefire continues through november 15	Yes	BUY	192	57¢	$109	0x3e5ce7…
10-15 10:10:32	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in October?	No	BUY	40	68¢	$27	0xfe1c78…
10-15 10:06:40	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x18b7b1…
10-15 09:58:17	us x iran ceasefire continues through november 15	Yes	BUY	90	57¢	$51	0xb81a44…
10-15 09:46:07	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	No	BUY	150	90¢	$134	0x532ad5…
10-15 09:40:05	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	BUY	500	72¢	$360	0x362aae…
10-15 09:39:58	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	BUY	300	72¢	$216	0x99422e…
10-15 09:39:14	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in October?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x23eff6…
10-15 09:36:11	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	BUY	300	72¢	$216	0xa13681…
10-15 09:36:04	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	BUY	400	72¢	$288	0xf2b15c…
10-15 09:35:38	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	BUY	300	72¢	$216	0x0b53f0…
10-15 08:05:50	will xauusd dip to 4000 in october 2026	No	BUY	24	68¢	$16	0x096407…
10-15 08:00:02	us x yemen ceasefire continues through october 31 20260920	Yes	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0xd2e271…
10-15 07:58:11	will wti reach 100 in october 2026	No	BUY	67	66¢	$44	0xb47668…
10-15 07:58:02	will wti reach 100 in october 2026	No	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0xcdf4f2…
10-15 07:57:56	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	123	63¢	$78	0x9b0582…
10-15 07:56:55	will wti reach 100 in october 2026	No	BUY	24	66¢	$16	0xe89956…
10-15 07:56:14	will wti reach 100 in october 2026	No	BUY	200	66¢	$132	0x39c51b…
10-15 07:54:14	will xauusd dip to 4000 in october 2026	No	BUY	29	66¢	$19	0xdf0473…
10-15 07:29:05	us x iran ceasefire continues through november 15	Yes	BUY	537	57¢	$306	0xfa309c…
10-15 07:28:17	will xauusd dip to 4000 in october 2026	No	BUY	34	66¢	$22	0x6abc9e…
10-15 07:27:28	will wti reach 100 in october 2026	No	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0x407393…
10-15 07:14:58	will xauusd dip to 4000 in october 2026	No	BUY	141	66¢	$93	0x841c36…
10-15 06:45:43	will xauusd reach 4300 in october 2026	No	BUY	75	62¢	$46	0x5c9481…
10-15 06:43:49	will wti reach 100 in october 2026	No	BUY	51	63¢	$32	0x455437…
10-15 06:43:44	will wti reach 100 in october 2026	No	BUY	29	63¢	$18	0x8941f3…
10-15 06:43:32	will wti reach 100 in october 2026	No	BUY	28	63¢	$18	0x705646…
10-15 06:43:11	will wti reach 100 in october 2026	No	BUY	35	63¢	$22	0x5ac71b…
10-15 06:43:05	will wti reach 100 in october 2026	No	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0x117f0c…
10-15 06:41:26	will wti reach 100 in october 2026	No	BUY	400	64¢	$256	0x5f367f…
10-15 06:40:28	us x iran ceasefire continues through november 15	Yes	BUY	200	57¢	$114	0x4e2c13…
10-14 07:07:59	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	142	62¢	$88	0x9da463…
10-13 21:15:13	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x687a37…
10-13 13:54:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	No	BUY	400	66¢	$264	0x96a663…
10-13 13:09:59	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	No	BUY	90	84¢	$75	0x3c65b8…
10-13 12:41:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	No	BUY	400	68¢	$272	0x1c4833…
10-13 12:15:23	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	184	62¢	$113	0x6565d9…
10-13 09:44:43	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	173	85¢	$147	0x7f50f6…
10-13 09:44:37	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	227	85¢	$193	0x5d5fa9…
10-13 09:39:56	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0xeba7d5…
10-13 07:35:07	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	97	63¢	$61	0x1853d1…
10-13 07:29:52	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xf01926…
10-13 07:23:40	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	No	BUY	190	85¢	$162	0xea862f…
10-13 07:22:52	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	107	63¢	$67	0x76953d…
10-13 05:46:22	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	50	59¢	$30	0xdde40c…
10-12 18:04:32	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	300	79¢	$237	0x7ee38c…
10-12 16:46:08	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	400	87¢	$348	0xba4d07…