Realized P&L
-$3.58K
Unrealized P&L
-$67
Hit rate
59.6%
Resolved
3,226
Trades
15,421
lifetime
Volume
$326.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$21
Open exposure
$115
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-06
last 09-27 18:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 83 days
Categories
Other
79% 46% -$4,332
Sports
10% 52% +$351
Crypto
6% 42% +$255
Politics
5% 80% +$63
Tech
1% 71% +$80
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
38 active days in 12wk • peak 643 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +55 $44 96¢ $53 +$9 07-08 16:40
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +30 $28 98¢ $29 +$2 09-04 01:02
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +13 -$23 97¢ $13 +$36 09-03 19:44
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +57 $239 4¢ $2 -$237 09-04 01:03
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? No +2 $30 94¢ $2 -$28 08-26 17:47
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +2 -$130 100¢ $2 +$131 09-04 01:02
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 09-03 16:11
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +1 $10 88¢ $1 -$9 08-27 10:03
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +1 $10 96¢ $1 -$9 08-21 11:32
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1 $2 90¢ $1 -$1 09-03 19:43
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +1 -$26 96¢ $1 +$27 09-04 01:02
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 $0 07-30 06:02
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +1 -$8 98¢ $1 +$9 07-23 20:31
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1 $0 100¢ $1 +$1 08-11 08:44
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 $0 08-15 19:27
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 -$1 08-25 22:47
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? Yes +1 $1 86¢ $1 $0 08-10 04:47
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +1 $1 66¢ $1 $0 08-09 16:46
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Yes +29 $1 2¢ $1 -$1 07-09 12:29
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? No +1 $0 98¢ $1 +$0 08-21 15:19
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +1 $3 61¢ $1 -$3 09-03 19:45
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +0 -$1 86¢ $0 +$1 08-07 13:11
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes +13 $5 3¢ $0 -$4 07-14 16:36
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $0 08-06 19:56
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +0 $8 87¢ $0 -$8 08-07 17:19
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +1 -$7 39¢ $0 +$7 08-20 10:49
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +0 -$12 96¢ $0 +$12 08-04 14:26
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +0 -$3 82¢ $0 +$3 08-27 17:36
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +1 $8 34¢ $0 -$7 08-04 05:21
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +0 -$2 98¢ $0 +$2 09-04 01:02