Cute-Farmland — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$796

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.9%

Resolved

Trades

6,690

lifetime

Volume

$1.34M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$200

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 08-12 20:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

68% 67% +$793

Politics

15% — —

Sports

12% 100% +$3

Crypto

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 76 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Fed rate hike in 2026?	650	$341.7K	389,411	323,080	+66,332	open	—	08-12 12:42
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	978	$108.4K	226,621	229,194	-2,574	open	—	03-29 16:46
netanyahu out by march 31 854	254	$85.7K	59,157	48,784	+10,373	open	—	03-31 17:14
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	122	$63.1K	64,217	65,789	-1,572	open	—	03-06 20:48
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	60	$55.9K	52,131	48,575	+3,556	open	—	08-04 11:59
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	235	$47.2K	51,497	48,783	+2,714	open	—	03-01 12:20
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	8	$44.9K	45,000	0	+45,000	open	—	06-03 19:59
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	69	$37.9K	40,088	40,087	+0	open	—	07-23 08:13
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	26	$37.8K	20,593	18,789	+1,804	open	—	03-04 14:21
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	161	$28.4K	27,294	7,459	+19,835	open	—	04-07 01:27
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	69	$25.7K	69,293	58,196	+11,098	open	—	07-07 19:40
US recession by end of 2026?	40	$25.3K	14,461	14,507	-46	open	—	08-11 20:54
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	172	$24.0K	53,465	54,878	-1,413	open	—	04-05 05:10
will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	86	$23.2K	13,462	13,962	-500	open	—	03-26 03:38
fed rate cut by march 2026 meeting	2	$21.0K	11,328	11,328	+0	open	—	02-18 10:04
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	454	$20.0K	39,448	33,941	+5,507	open	—	03-12 00:43
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	21	$19.8K	10,207	10,207	+0	open	—	03-15 13:25
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	2	$19.6K	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	06-08 14:50
will norway win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	4	$16.9K	8,775	8,775	+0	open	—	02-18 10:07
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	169	$15.8K	27,856	27,073	+782	open	—	03-17 06:37
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	24	$15.1K	21,234	21,234	+0	open	—	02-17 15:33
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	490	$12.5K	984,951	505,000	+479,952	open	—	03-12 19:11
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	61	$12.3K	36,270	36,270	+0	open	—	07-27 05:36
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	651	$11.2K	281,002	270,230	+10,772	open	—	04-14 21:17
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	6	$10.7K	11,086	0	+11,086	open	—	02-03 17:50
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?	79	$10.5K	10,035	7,988	+2,046	open	—	04-14 11:27
Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?	20	$10.0K	9,497	2,716	+6,782	open	—	04-27 08:44
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	10	$9.9K	5,537	5,537	+0	open	—	03-18 20:34
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 spread away 2pt5	8	$9.6K	9,785	0	+9,785	open	—	07-18 22:53
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	34	$9.3K	5,972	5,972	+0	open	—	04-13 17:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 20:58:07	Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?	No	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0xf8d036…
08-12 12:42:45	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	5,290	44¢	$2,328	0x2bca19…
08-12 12:38:45	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	3,224	44¢	$1,418	0x4d606d…
08-12 12:30:54	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	173	46¢	$80	0x4a3263…
08-12 12:30:48	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x2f1a20…
08-12 12:30:45	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	11,804	46¢	$5,430	0x7f127a…
08-12 08:30:57	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,655	57¢	$943	0x77cb08…
08-12 07:27:33	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	511	57¢	$291	0xfb436a…
08-12 07:25:33	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x62a348…
08-12 07:17:07	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	57¢	$285	0xd9ea67…
08-12 06:58:42	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	57¢	$21	0xe56064…
08-12 06:04:25	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	57¢	$17	0x70e25c…
08-12 05:58:00	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,677	57¢	$956	0xd89247…
08-11 20:54:21	US recession by end of 2026?	No	SELL	43	93¢	$40	0xe11afa…
08-11 19:28:39	US recession by end of 2026?	No	SELL	2,175	93¢	$2,023	0x08dff0…
08-11 18:11:54	Will the Jacksonville Jaguars make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	1,024	53¢	$543	0x89b9af…
08-11 17:49:19	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	839	58¢	$487	0x73150e…
08-11 17:34:07	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	152	58¢	$88	0xbdb513…
08-11 17:34:07	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0x5c0606…
08-11 15:48:57	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	3,354	79¢	$2,650	0x69c45c…
08-11 15:45:15	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	4	79¢	$3	0xd6ae54…
08-11 15:41:55	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0x5e1fd3…
08-11 15:37:58	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x13e42c…
08-11 15:28:46	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	49	79¢	$39	0x522107…
08-11 15:27:28	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	768	79¢	$607	0xf7daf6…
08-11 15:27:21	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	836	79¢	$660	0xba183d…
08-11 04:21:49	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x85a500…
08-11 03:30:48	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0xf65d91…
08-11 02:08:28	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0xbcd54e…
08-11 00:50:30	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	58¢	$21	0x5ad9f8…
08-11 00:07:33	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0x2a4f03…
08-10 23:22:07	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	510	58¢	$296	0x7ab0b2…
08-10 22:15:54	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x9b25e2…
08-10 20:30:57	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xc5c41b…
08-10 19:06:21	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	58¢	$45	0x1a36d1…
08-10 19:06:18	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	270	58¢	$157	0x83d4aa…
08-10 18:31:07	US recession by end of 2026?	No	SELL	30	93¢	$28	0x76f786…
08-10 18:26:12	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	1,000	86¢	$860	0xbe4861…
08-10 18:10:28	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x977145…
08-10 17:25:51	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	600	56¢	$336	0xd32a8c…
08-10 16:21:19	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	81	56¢	$45	0x29b439…
08-10 15:57:49	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	98	56¢	$55	0xb70707…
08-10 15:57:18	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	56¢	$13	0x3831d2…
08-10 15:57:15	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,476	56¢	$827	0x92983c…
08-10 15:08:03	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	1,007	87¢	$876	0x03f030…
08-10 15:02:16	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	1,007	87¢	$876	0x9d4833…
08-10 14:33:33	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	1,007	87¢	$876	0xf49a86…
08-10 14:30:36	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	1,007	87¢	$876	0x9497bc…
08-10 14:17:31	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	1,011	72¢	$728	0x2bd585…
08-10 14:07:36	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0xc28697…
08-10 07:39:15	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	33,547	46¢	$15,432	0x9a4828…
08-10 05:37:49	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	22	46¢	$10	0xc61426…
08-10 02:56:54	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	26	46¢	$12	0x655207…
08-10 00:09:55	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	858	46¢	$395	0xc7e564…
08-09 21:32:13	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x8a9364…
08-09 21:09:42	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	43	46¢	$20	0x7e08f4…
08-09 21:09:24	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	338	46¢	$156	0x054243…
08-09 21:06:04	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	11	46¢	$5	0x6b67e9…
08-09 18:10:58	US recession by end of 2026?	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0xb8c461…
08-09 18:03:10	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	11	46¢	$5	0x6855b2…
08-09 18:03:04	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	11	46¢	$5	0xd80167…
08-09 18:02:21	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	25	46¢	$12	0x595ebb…
08-09 18:02:15	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	196	46¢	$90	0x305cbd…
08-09 18:02:12	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	196	46¢	$90	0x7cc4a8…
08-09 18:02:07	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	10	46¢	$4	0xa97a02…
08-09 18:02:07	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0x4482c9…
08-09 17:51:39	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	8	46¢	$4	0x988c8d…
08-09 16:28:07	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	7	46¢	$3	0xd4100a…
08-09 15:53:24	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	15	46¢	$7	0x82e647…
08-09 15:42:16	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	249	46¢	$115	0x894c95…
08-09 14:33:36	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	255	46¢	$117	0x4b262f…
08-09 14:33:36	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	11	46¢	$5	0x101c4d…
08-09 14:23:43	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	32	46¢	$15	0x68cd52…
08-09 13:00:21	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x64e02d…
08-09 11:58:22	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	46¢	$1	0x6b15c7…
08-09 10:07:12	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x63f85f…
08-09 09:11:25	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	43	46¢	$20	0x202301…
08-09 07:55:39	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x373961…
08-09 07:31:34	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0xfefe35…
08-09 07:29:30	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	85	46¢	$39	0x6d2f3e…
08-09 06:16:42	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	2,500	46¢	$1,150	0x2ac3cc…
08-09 05:19:25	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0xb435cb…
08-09 05:00:52	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x17531c…
08-09 04:36:07	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	4	46¢	$2	0x10aee6…
08-09 04:36:06	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	4	46¢	$2	0x7232bc…
08-09 03:52:18	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	25	46¢	$12	0xc280e5…
08-09 03:50:28	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	200	46¢	$92	0xade775…
08-09 03:23:45	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	93	46¢	$43	0x3bed22…
08-09 03:21:42	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0xd5e194…
08-09 02:36:49	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	100	46¢	$46	0xd7193c…
08-09 01:41:04	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0x8b6e19…
08-09 01:36:51	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	172	46¢	$79	0xba0665…
08-09 01:12:33	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	316	46¢	$145	0xda59d6…
08-09 01:11:48	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	4	46¢	$2	0x913f21…
08-08 23:42:07	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	100	46¢	$46	0xe46f59…
08-08 23:05:34	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x708c49…
08-08 22:31:49	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0xa1b703…
08-08 21:41:13	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	207	46¢	$95	0xee560a…
08-08 21:18:01	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x35776e…
08-08 21:13:30	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	52	46¢	$24	0x81b4fe…