Realized P&L
+$17.5K
Unrealized P&L
-$8.55K
Hit rate
76.8%
Resolved
184
Trades
2,808
lifetime
Volume
$683.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$244
Open exposure
$37.0K
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-04 14:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 89 days
Categories
Other
49% 72% +$9,032
Crypto
25% 78% +$14,076
Tech
15% 62% -$12,691
Politics
9% 71% +$5,381
Sports
2% 67% +$1,714
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 107 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +16,000 $13,835 91¢ $14.5K +$709 11-04 01:52
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +8,000 $6,685 78¢ $6.2K -$485 11-04 01:52
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +11,000 $7,945 38¢ $4.2K -$3,765 11-04 14:33
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +11,000 $6,209 36¢ $3.9K -$2,304 11-04 04:56
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? Yes +4,000 $3,590 88¢ $3.5K -$90 11-04 04:44
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? No +3,000 $2,669 88¢ $2.6K -$44 10-03 23:42
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +4,900 $1,078 17¢ $838 -$241 10-28 01:23
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,000 $3,948 36¢ $710 -$3,238 11-04 01:55
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes -1,000 -$392 16¢ $-155 +$237 06-26 02:04
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -5,000 -$500 3¢ $-150 +$350 06-14 10:52
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -500 -$151 27¢ $-134 +$17 07-15 18:43
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes -2,000 -$180 2¢ $-35 +$145 06-28 05:11
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes -1,000 -$190 3¢ $-30 +$160 06-03 01:11