(anonymous) 0x6553cf…e335e2
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
223
lifetime
Volume
$418
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$39
11 positions
First seen
2026-02-01
last 07-10 06:08
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
78% — —
Other
20% — —
Crypto
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
33 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +131 $16 16¢ $20 +$4 06-21 13:46
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? Yes +130 $6 4¢ $5 $-1 07-09 08:19
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? Yes +77 $4 4¢ $3 $-1 07-05 23:20
New pandemic in 2026? Yes +54 $4 6¢ $3 $-1 07-07 04:12
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? Yes +25 $2 7¢ $2 +$0 07-02 06:52
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -29 $-2 4¢ $-1 +$1 06-17 10:00
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? Yes +30 $1 4¢ $1 $-0 07-09 11:09
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? Yes +6 $1 16¢ $1 $-0 06-22 04:51
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes +14 $1 6¢ $1 $-0 06-15 03:11
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? Yes +17 $1 4¢ $1 $-0 06-10 05:44
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +24 $1 2¢ $0 $-0 06-27 11:25