Realized P&L
+$0
Unrealized P&L
-$42
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
562
lifetime
Volume
$3.35K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$436
26 positions
First seen
2026-04-03
last 07-20 07:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
55%
Other
31% 100% +$0
Crypto
9% 100% +$0
Tech
3%
Sports
2%
Pop-Culture
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 87 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +199 $96 88¢ $175 +$79 07-06 14:47
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? Yes +396 $133 22¢ $89 $-43 07-15 07:06
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +65 $32 38¢ $24 $-8 07-02 21:12
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes +80 $26 20¢ $16 $-10 07-07 06:05
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? Yes +80 $21 19¢ $15 $-6 07-07 06:06
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +80 $19 19¢ $15 $-4 07-07 06:05
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? Yes +115 $22 12¢ $13 $-9 07-15 06:54
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +80 $19 16¢ $13 $-6 07-07 06:05
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +75 $24 15¢ $11 $-13 06-24 06:36
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes +75 $11 15¢ $11 +$0 06-23 20:44
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +25 $12 37¢ $9 $-3 07-15 06:54
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +75 $21 11¢ $8 $-13 06-24 11:01
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? No +75 $12 $6 $-6 06-26 03:22
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +15 $5 30¢ $5 $-1 07-10 15:48
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +15 $2 29¢ $4 +$2 07-11 18:19
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +15 $3 26¢ $4 +$0 07-16 03:06
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +15 $4 23¢ $3 $-1 07-14 11:05
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +5 $2 59¢ $3 +$1 07-18 09:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +5 $2 54¢ $3 +$0 07-19 16:40
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +5 $2 41¢ $2 $-0 07-18 14:13
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +5 $2 34¢ $2 +$0 07-16 03:06
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +15 $1 10¢ $2 +$1 07-14 21:51
Trump declares election interference national emergency? Yes +5 $1 21¢ $1 +$0 07-15 23:51
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? Yes +5 $1 15¢ $1 +$0 07-15 23:51
Will Don Lemon announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes +5 $0 13¢ $1 +$0 07-17 23:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +15 $2 $0 $-1 07-11 14:49