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Realized P&L (24h)
-$50
Unrealized P&L
+$567
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved (24h)
4
Trades (24h)
0
1,405 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$0
$7.35K lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$1.62K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-03
last 11-04 05:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 130 days
Categories
Other
47% 34% -$240
Politics
46% 25% -$1,046
Crypto
4% 29% -$231
Tech
2% 100% +$41
Sports
1% 60% -$2
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$35
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +439 $216 97¢ $425 +$209 07-06 14:47
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +196 $98 74¢ $145 +$47 10-28 01:48
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat? Yes +130 $49 100¢ $130 +$81 11-02 20:28
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat? No +135 $60 72¢ $97 +$37 11-02 20:30
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +95 $38 100¢ $95 +$56 07-13 03:50
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat? Yes +119 $53 71¢ $85 +$32 11-02 20:30
will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date No +75 $34 91¢ $68 +$35 06-23 20:51
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +60 $30 100¢ $60 +$30 10-19 15:56
Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026? No +96 $37 59¢ $56 +$20 10-27 00:06
No one announced as next James Bond? No +55 $28 83¢ $46 +$18 09-12 22:15
Will The Democrats be in the next Israeli government? Yes — +95 $30 47¢ $45 +$15 10-31 03:33
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat? Yes +40 $14 100¢ $40 +$26 11-02 20:28
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat? No +39 $15 100¢ $38 +$24 10-28 00:13
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +90 $45 40¢ $36 -$9 11-01 18:32
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? Yes +396 $133 9¢ $36 -$97 07-15 07:06
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +30 $4 94¢ $28 +$24 07-31 13:36
iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175 553 No +30 $13 90¢ $27 +$15 08-10 14:46
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +95 $10 21¢ $20 +$10 11-02 00:11
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31 No +20 $10 88¢ $18 +$8 08-09 11:55
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? No +15 $8 96¢ $14 +$7 08-05 13:40
israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by december 31 632 No +15 $7 94¢ $14 +$8 07-31 20:21
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +15 $8 92¢ $14 +$6 09-20 00:22
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +15 $6 92¢ $14 +$8 09-19 23:52
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +15 $8 87¢ $13 +$6 08-22 19:04
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $24 12¢ $13 -$12 07-28 02:41
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +140 $28 8¢ $11 -$17 10-02 00:14
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes +80 $26 11¢ $9 -$17 07-07 06:05
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +10 $4 85¢ $9 +$4 08-27 16:50
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027? Yes +95 $9 8¢ $8 -$1 10-27 00:05
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +75 $14 11¢ $8 -$6 10-09 18:45