Realized P&L (24h)
-$15
Unrealized P&L
+$378
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved (24h)
1
Trades (24h)
0
1,405 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$0
$7.35K lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$1.35K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-03
last 11-04 05:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 132 days
Categories
Other
47% 35% -$112
Politics
46% 25% -$1,011
Crypto
4% 29% -$231
Tech
2% 100% +$41
Sports
1% 60% -$2
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$35
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +439 $216 95¢ $417 +$200 07-06 14:47
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +196 $98 79¢ $154 +$56 10-28 01:48
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat? No +135 $60 81¢ $109 +$49 11-02 20:30
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat? Yes +119 $53 80¢ $95 +$43 11-02 20:30
will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date No +75 $34 90¢ $68 +$34 06-23 20:51
Will The Democrats be in the next Israeli government? Yes +95 $30 55¢ $52 +$23 10-31 03:33
No one announced as next James Bond? No +55 $28 90¢ $49 +$22 09-12 22:15
Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026? No +96 $37 49¢ $47 +$10 10-27 00:06
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? Yes +396 $133 10¢ $40 -$93 07-15 07:06
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +90 $45 37¢ $33 -$12 11-01 18:32
anthony fauci charged by december 31 20260729165802089 No +30 $15 98¢ $29 +$14 08-12 03:26
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +30 $4 95¢ $28 +$24 07-31 13:36
iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175 553 No +30 $13 91¢ $27 +$15 08-10 14:46
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement? No +30 $15 66¢ $20 +$5 10-19 17:40
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31 No +20 $10 90¢ $18 +$8 08-09 11:55
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +95 $10 18¢ $17 +$7 11-02 00:11
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? No +15 $8 98¢ $15 +$7 08-05 13:40
israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by december 31 632 No +15 $7 94¢ $14 +$8 07-31 20:21
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +15 $8 92¢ $14 +$6 09-20 00:22
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +15 $6 92¢ $14 +$8 09-19 23:52
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +15 $8 87¢ $13 +$6 08-22 19:04
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $24 12¢ $12 -$13 07-28 02:41
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +140 $28 8¢ $11 -$17 10-02 00:14
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +75 $14 12¢ $9 -$5 10-09 18:45
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +10 $4 89¢ $9 +$5 08-27 16:50
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes +80 $26 11¢ $9 -$17 07-07 06:05
israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31 415 Yes +15 $8 55¢ $8 +$1 10-14 23:51
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? Yes +80 $21 9¢ $7 -$14 07-07 06:06
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027? Yes +95 $9 8¢ $7 -$2 10-27 00:05
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028? Yes +15 $5 40¢ $6 +$1 09-28 00:06