Realized P&L
-$1.26K
Unrealized P&L
+$250
Hit rate
37.3%
Resolved
357
Trades
1,379
lifetime
Volume
$7.14K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$1.21K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-03
last 10-31 10:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 126 days
Categories
Other
48% 33% -$222
Politics
45% 27% -$812
Crypto
4% 29% -$231
Tech
2% 100% +$41
Sports
1% 60% -$2
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$35
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +439 $216 84¢ $371 +$154 07-06 14:47
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +196 $98 57¢ $112 +$15 10-28 01:48
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? Yes +396 $133 16¢ $61 -$71 07-15 07:06
will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date No +75 $34 82¢ $61 +$28 06-23 20:51
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +60 $30 98¢ $59 +$29 10-19 15:56
No one announced as next James Bond? No +55 $28 82¢ $45 +$18 09-12 22:15
Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026? No +96 $37 47¢ $45 +$8 10-27 00:06
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +95 $38 42¢ $40 +$2 07-13 03:50
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat? No +95 $43 36¢ $35 -$9 10-28 00:12
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat? Yes +75 $29 44¢ $33 +$4 10-31 10:18
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat? Yes +89 $40 36¢ $32 -$8 10-28 00:13
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +30 $4 94¢ $28 +$24 07-31 13:36
iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175 553 No +30 $13 86¢ $26 +$13 08-10 14:46
iran charges hormuz fees by october 31 No +26 $12 99¢ $26 +$14 08-02 17:53
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +40 $19 52¢ $21 +$1 10-24 05:54
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +140 $28 14¢ $19 -$9 10-02 00:14
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31 No +20 $10 86¢ $17 +$7 08-09 11:55
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat? No +39 $15 44¢ $17 +$2 10-28 00:13
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $24 16¢ $16 -$9 07-28 02:41
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? No +15 $8 99¢ $15 +$7 10-09 13:11
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? No +15 $8 96¢ $14 +$7 08-05 13:40
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? No +35 $18 40¢ $14 -$3 10-24 06:16
israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by december 31 632 No +15 $7 94¢ $14 +$8 07-31 20:21
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? Yes +20 $10 72¢ $14 +$4 10-21 19:52
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +15 $8 88¢ $13 +$6 08-22 19:04
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +15 $8 86¢ $13 +$5 09-20 00:22
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +95 $14 14¢ $13 -$1 10-30 22:40
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +15 $6 84¢ $13 +$7 09-19 23:52
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +75 $14 16¢ $12 -$2 10-09 18:45
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +30 $10 32¢ $9 $0 08-22 07:56