Amused-Sight-Bend 0x6365fa…23eba8
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$912
Unrealized P&L
+$22
Hit rate
58.8%
Resolved
243
Trades
2,505
lifetime
Volume
$10.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$467
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-10
last 10-20 18:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 78 days
Categories
Politics
31% 59% -$190
Sports
31% 46% -$209
Other
25% 65% -$245
Crypto
12% 68% -$268
Tech
1% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 96 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +129 $41 63¢ $81 +$40 08-24 22:23
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +93 $75 85¢ $79 +$4 09-30 02:55
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +68 $45 70¢ $47 +$2 06-24 17:03
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +27 $25 96¢ $26 +$1 05-16 03:34
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +26 $22 96¢ $25 +$3 08-13 12:23
No one announced as next James Bond? Yes +115 $25 22¢ $25 +$0 08-24 13:54
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +83 $41 20¢ $16 -$25 09-16 18:04
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +517 $15 3¢ $15 +$0 06-19 06:09
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +19 $9 80¢ $15 +$6 09-08 19:59
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +83 $35 18¢ $15 -$20 09-22 21:52
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? Yes +32 -$7 38¢ $12 +$19 09-29 21:11
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +15 $10 74¢ $11 +$1 09-01 23:53
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +11 $9 96¢ $11 +$2 08-09 14:53
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes +136 $15 6¢ $8 -$7 07-18 13:56
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +8 $2 86¢ $7 +$4 07-25 14:41
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026 Yes +48 $10 14¢ $6 -$4 08-13 03:31
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +8 $5 70¢ $5 +$0 08-23 10:39
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +16 $5 34¢ $5 +$0 06-24 16:57
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +7 $5 72¢ $5 +$0 09-07 06:25
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? Yes +227 $5 2¢ $5 +$0 07-28 20:31
No one announced as next James Bond? No +6 $5 78¢ $5 +$0 09-08 03:24
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 10-04 01:36
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $5 96¢ $5 $0 10-15 13:47
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +15 $5 31¢ $5 $0 06-24 16:57
New pandemic in 2026? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 09-04 20:49
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +7 $4 66¢ $5 +$0 10-20 18:11
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +49 $5 9¢ $4 -$1 08-31 11:33
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +41 $5 11¢ $4 -$1 07-05 13:09
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +58 $10 7¢ $4 -$6 07-21 19:54
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +20 $5 20¢ $4 -$1 07-30 20:09