Amused-Sight-Bend — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$98

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

8.6%

Resolved

Trades

1,618

lifetime

Volume

$5.15K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 08-17 09:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

45% — —

Crypto

23% 25% $-99

Other

20% 33% +$3

Sports

10% 0% $-2

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 248 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	289	$832	7,791	1,713	+6,078	open	—	07-20 23:41
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	146	$625	412	394	+19	open	—	08-12 18:07
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	154	$208	103	107	-4	open	—	05-31 19:28
mlb stl ari 2026 07 17	25	$125	916	0	+916	open	—	07-18 04:30
mlb cws tor 2026 07 18	21	$108	110	110	+0	open	—	07-18 10:52
mlb cin col 2026 07 18	13	$106	102	102	+0	open	—	07-18 14:22
will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	21	$105	98	15	+83	open	—	07-24 18:23
over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653 212	13	$103	69	52	+17	open	—	07-17 16:55
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 May 18-24?	40	$101	50	52	-2	open	—	05-24 21:30
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	20	$99	109	0	+109	open	—	05-17 17:06
will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	17	$85	3,210	0	+3,210	open	—	07-21 14:36
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas	17	$84	129	0	+129	open	—	05-28 17:25
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	15	$69	36	36	+0	open	—	05-30 09:13
mlb pit nyy 2026 07 20	15	$62	96	2	+93	open	—	07-21 00:46
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	17	$62	169	159	+11	open	—	07-05 21:52
will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	11	$61	50	42	+8	open	—	07-24 16:17
israeli parliament dissolved by july 16 20260713154904805	8	$60	31	31	+0	open	—	07-17 04:08
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 May 25-31?	12	$57	35	22	+13	open	—	06-01 00:27
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	7	$56	59	39	+20	open	—	05-16 13:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	11	$54	5,228	0	+5,228	Up	$-54	05-10 16:15
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	27	$54	30	30	+0	open	—	08-03 22:57
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	10	$50	83	0	+83	open	—	06-24 17:03
will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	10	$47	48	3	+45	open	—	07-24 14:49
will trump meet with netanyahu by august 31 2026	14	$47	29	24	+5	open	—	07-24 19:40
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	7	$45	40	29	+11	open	—	07-20 15:45
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 May 18-24?	18	$44	20	25	-5	open	—	05-24 09:25
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	9	$40	363	297	+66	open	—	07-02 21:11
will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	8	$40	61	0	+61	open	—	07-01 12:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	8	$40	3,960	0	+3,960	Up	$-40	05-10 16:05
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	34	$38	22	16	+6	open	—	06-30 12:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-17 09:09:21	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	8¢	$4	0xacf5f0…
08-16 03:36:13	will andrew scott be nominated for best actor at the 99th academy awards	Yes	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x0710a4…
08-15 20:24:39	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	9	51¢	$5	0xba91b2…
08-15 19:48:19	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	4	92¢	$3	0xca7256…
08-15 19:21:58	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	4	81¢	$4	0x45ba92…
08-13 12:23:01	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	3	84¢	$2	0x56a095…
08-13 12:22:01	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x30be62…
08-13 11:12:54	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x7828e0…
08-13 10:02:13	will andrew scott be nominated for best actor at the 99th academy awards	Yes	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xdff51b…
08-13 07:57:34	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x1de5ac…
08-13 03:31:12	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xa9af67…
08-13 03:29:00	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xd99374…
08-13 02:44:37	will andrew scott be nominated for best actor at the 99th academy awards	Yes	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x9110a5…
08-13 01:49:58	will andrew scott be nominated for best actor at the 99th academy awards	Yes	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xa662c2…
08-13 00:53:22	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x8b5972…
08-13 00:13:52	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xd1f55d…
08-12 21:17:09	will andrew scott be nominated for best actor at the 99th academy awards	Yes	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xd28df1…
08-12 18:07:15	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	203	81¢	$164	0xa9431f…
08-12 18:06:51	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x4b711d…
08-12 18:06:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0xbee5b7…
08-12 18:06:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x78b3c4…
08-12 18:06:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x31fc0e…
08-12 18:06:40	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xe3fbf6…
08-12 18:06:40	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0xdcfba1…
08-12 18:06:40	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xaa5ff6…
08-12 18:06:40	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xa478ec…
08-12 18:06:40	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x902558…
08-12 18:06:40	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x80d72d…
08-12 18:06:40	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	3	82¢	$2	0x7b245e…
08-12 18:06:40	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x795795…
08-12 18:06:40	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x78ca3d…
08-12 18:06:40	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x081bff…
08-12 18:06:39	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xb8b6b0…
08-12 18:06:39	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$1	0x8bab57…
08-12 18:06:39	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x22f531…
08-12 18:06:39	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x1135ab…
08-12 18:06:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	40	81¢	$32	0x90e799…
08-12 18:06:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x85bfd2…
08-12 18:06:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x2f0955…
08-12 18:06:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x0d5a7a…
08-12 18:06:28	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x9741c1…
08-12 18:06:28	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x814388…
08-12 18:06:28	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x7fd92c…
08-12 18:06:28	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x745942…
08-12 18:06:28	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x527e61…
08-12 18:06:28	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x4744c9…
08-12 18:06:28	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x3482f4…
08-12 18:06:28	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x049656…
08-12 18:06:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xfa0a45…
08-12 18:06:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0xf7ce04…
08-12 18:06:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x9418fa…
08-12 18:06:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x9295ab…
08-12 18:06:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x711105…
08-12 18:06:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x4fcb28…
08-12 18:06:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x4da272…
08-12 18:06:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x4c61c6…
08-12 18:06:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x49a808…
08-12 18:06:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x313799…
08-12 18:06:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x21c5ea…
08-12 18:06:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x1db5b2…
08-12 18:06:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x1bda81…
08-12 18:06:25	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	38	81¢	$31	0xcb1490…
08-12 18:06:25	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0xa4e02f…
08-12 18:06:25	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x2f847e…
08-12 17:12:03	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0xc8541b…
08-12 16:42:07	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x0e38be…
08-12 16:42:06	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xcc3983…
08-12 16:42:06	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x4e8ecd…
08-12 16:42:06	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x37e6dd…
08-12 16:42:06	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x2ebc00…
08-12 16:26:34	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	12	81¢	$10	0x7c1e5f…
08-12 16:19:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0xf8e5f0…
08-12 16:19:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x9b386b…
08-12 16:19:06	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0xf994ac…
08-12 16:17:57	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x8379d3…
08-12 16:08:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x9ebfce…
08-12 16:08:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	3	82¢	$3	0x7bcef3…
08-12 16:08:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x7b6b26…
08-12 16:08:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x3e04fd…
08-12 16:08:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x294645…
08-12 16:08:40	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xd0bdf5…
08-12 16:08:07	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	16	81¢	$13	0x7505f2…
08-12 15:52:57	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x4cc97a…
08-12 15:07:43	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0xb17599…
08-12 14:57:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x2ac2bf…
08-12 14:15:48	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0xf47c5d…
08-12 14:14:30	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0xd42050…
08-12 14:09:49	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x5b6fcc…
08-12 14:09:40	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x0caa40…
08-12 14:09:39	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	3	82¢	$3	0xfbd84e…
08-12 14:09:00	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xbede5e…
08-12 14:08:48	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0x467c20…
08-12 13:30:34	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x148c6a…
08-12 12:40:01	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x300775…
08-12 12:34:34	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x771942…
08-12 12:09:34	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0xabb9f4…
08-12 12:09:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x7d1d46…
08-12 11:55:10	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x98b6af…
08-12 11:55:09	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x28de7d…
08-12 11:55:04	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0xc0eb3b…