Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.36K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$35

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-10

last 10-27 11:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Politics

44% 100% +$7

Other

43% 100% +$10

Sports

8% 100% +$0

Crypto

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	6	$196	100	100	+0	No	+$0	08-29 04:30
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$104	54	54	+0	open	—	09-19 22:59
Trump out as President before 2027?	2	$103	55	55	+0	open	—	09-22 07:59
Will Sandy Spidel Neumann be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?	3	$102	52	52	+0	No	+$1	07-27 10:49
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?	4	$101	53	53	+0	No	+$2	05-21 15:48
Weed rescheduled by June 30?	3	$101	51	51	+0	No	+$1	06-18 00:20
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	2	$100	51	51	+0	No	+$0	07-07 17:48
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?	2	$98	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	09-08 01:48
Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?	2	$98	50	50	+0	No	+$1	05-13 13:17
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$98	50	50	+0	open	—	07-02 07:01
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$97	50	50	+0	open	—	09-05 12:38
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by June 30, 2026?	2	$97	50	50	+0	No	+$0	05-19 18:47
Will Bryan Reynolds lead the MLB in doubles for the 2026 regular season?	2	$96	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	08-31 04:36
Iran leadership change by August 31?	2	$96	49	49	+0	No	+$2	08-25 04:02
Will Russia capture Havrylivka by September 30, 2026?	3	$96	50	50	+0	No	+$0	08-24 23:06
Will Olivia Miles win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award?	3	$96	50	47	+3	Yes	+$0	09-18 14:56
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	3	$95	50	50	+0	open	—	05-08 22:32
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?	3	$94	50	50	+0	Yes	+$1	09-10 16:04
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-01 House seat?	7	$93	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	07-31 03:11
Will the Republican Party win the CA-34 House seat?	2	$81	42	42	+0	No	+$1	07-21 12:13
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?	4	$80	41	41	+0	open	—	10-27 11:10
Will the Republican Party win the CA-50 House seat?	1	$59	62	0	+62	No	+$3	09-25 18:19
Will the Republican Party win the FL-01 House seat?	1	$57	60	0	+60	Yes	+$3	10-15 06:20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	1	$49	50	0	+50	No	+$1	05-08 13:35
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$41	22	22	+0	No	+$0	05-07 09:14
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?	2	$35	18	18	+0	open	—	09-23 20:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 11:10:15	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?	No	SELL	22	98¢	$22	0xaf3dd7…
10-22 23:37:44	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?	No	SELL	19	98¢	$18	0x548e8c…
10-15 06:20:25	Will the Republican Party win the FL-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	60	95¢	$57	0xa13bb0…
09-25 18:19:20	Will the Republican Party win the CA-50 House seat?	No	BUY	62	95¢	$59	0xb92b52…
09-23 20:33:55	Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?	No	SELL	18	97¢	$17	0x96b87b…
09-22 07:59:46	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	55	95¢	$52	0xdeede6…
09-19 22:59:09	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	54	97¢	$52	0x2b401f…
09-18 14:56:55	Will Olivia Miles win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x6f2e0b…
09-17 17:17:06	Will Olivia Miles win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xeee4f0…
09-11 03:55:10	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	55	94¢	$51	0x732086…
09-11 00:20:22	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	54	96¢	$52	0x299478…
09-10 16:04:18	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?	Yes	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x901903…
09-08 01:48:46	Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x026314…
09-06 11:18:25	Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?	No	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0xcaeac9…
09-05 12:38:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x17a570…
09-04 17:13:12	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?	Yes	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0x8f7afb…
09-04 14:53:24	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?	Yes	BUY	49	93¢	$46	0xb2da02…
09-03 16:55:12	Will Olivia Miles win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0xf86126…
09-03 09:17:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$48	0xe23ea7…
09-02 19:58:01	Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x751792…
08-31 04:36:01	Will Bryan Reynolds lead the MLB in doubles for the 2026 regular season?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0xb8dbbf…
08-29 04:30:12	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xec1fd1…
08-29 04:30:12	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x596456…
08-29 04:30:12	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x21d7b6…
08-29 04:30:10	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0x46ca3e…
08-27 17:47:40	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0xe7e413…
08-25 04:02:45	Iran leadership change by August 31?	No	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0xddd923…
08-24 23:06:18	Will Russia capture Havrylivka by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	46	96¢	$44	0x532cdc…
08-16 12:28:30	will russia capture havrylivka by september 30 2026	No	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x1617e3…
08-11 01:00:49	Will Bryan Reynolds lead the MLB in doubles for the 2026 regular season?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xb1b39c…
07-31 03:11:09	Will the Democratic Party win the IL-01 House seat?	Yes	SELL	30	93¢	$28	0x6ae29e…
07-30 22:50:30	Will the Democratic Party win the IL-01 House seat?	Yes	SELL	20	93¢	$18	0xdd3994…
07-30 22:48:57	Will the Democratic Party win the IL-01 House seat?	Yes	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x723359…
07-28 11:22:14	iran leadership change by august 31	No	BUY	49	95¢	$47	0x1f18de…
07-27 10:49:21	Will Sandy Spidel Neumann be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?	No	SELL	41	98¢	$41	0x73f3ba…
07-26 10:11:21	will russia capture havrylivka by september 30 2026	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xa2886e…
07-26 00:56:13	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0xe05df9…
07-26 00:43:21	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x3bb415…
07-22 00:35:15	Will the Democratic Party win the IL-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x5a07a6…
07-22 00:34:31	Will the Democratic Party win the IL-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	33	93¢	$31	0xb289ff…
07-21 22:29:22	Will the Democratic Party win the IL-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0x6daf55…
07-21 22:24:21	Will the Democratic Party win the IL-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0x46261c…
07-21 12:13:25	Will the Republican Party win the CA-34 House seat?	No	SELL	42	97¢	$41	0x9f430b…
07-07 19:55:05	Will Sandy Spidel Neumann be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?	No	SELL	11	98¢	$10	0x69d92e…
07-07 17:48:25	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	51	98¢	$50	0x36f768…
07-02 22:21:14	Will the Republican Party win the CA-34 House seat?	No	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x833d21…
07-02 07:01:38	Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x55643d…
06-18 23:27:56	Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xee8f73…
06-18 00:20:25	Weed rescheduled by June 30?	No	SELL	51	99¢	$51	0x465c7d…
06-06 19:15:21	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x279cb4…
06-03 11:11:57	Will Sandy Spidel Neumann be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?	No	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0xf49fbb…
05-28 23:33:15	Weed rescheduled by June 30?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x41e19e…
05-28 21:54:13	Weed rescheduled by June 30?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0xe801ee…
05-21 15:48:42	Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	48	97¢	$46	0x5882df…
05-21 14:03:05	Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x6fb0d6…
05-19 18:47:20	Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0xd94f26…
05-13 13:17:36	Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0x777bc6…
05-12 10:27:51	Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	31	94¢	$29	0xcd8c1d…
05-12 10:26:27	Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	22	94¢	$21	0x0494f5…
05-10 07:11:34	Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0x2fbb44…
05-09 05:25:45	Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x1455cc…
05-08 22:32:42	Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	SELL	43	95¢	$41	0xfd2510…
05-08 19:50:04	Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0x789c0e…
05-08 13:35:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0x5f5350…
05-07 15:42:02	Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$47	0x55206b…
05-07 09:14:12	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	22	94¢	$20	0x7b1b83…
04-10 13:09:39	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	22	94¢	$20	0x0b18bf…