Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$364

Unrealized P&L

-$26

Hit rate

4.5%

Resolved (7d)

128

Trades (7d)

953

15,904 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$16.8K

$326.0K lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

$11

14 positions

First seen

2026-07-01

last 11-03 13:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 123 days

Categories

Other

58% 10% -$3,971

Politics

27% 6% -$1,696

Crypto

9% 12% -$122

Sports

4% 9% -$191

Tech

2% 2% -$225

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 261 trades/day

Open positions (14) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+100	$6	3¢	$3	-$3	11-03 04:59
Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+40	$4	7¢	$3	-$2	11-03 09:20
Russia coup attempt in 2026?	Yes	-100	$1	2¢	$-2	-$4	10-06 20:07
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	+60	$5	3¢	$2	-$3	10-21 07:09
Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+40	$6	2¢	$1	-$5	11-03 14:39
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?	No	+0	$4	72¢	$0	-$4	07-09 19:05
will jd vance visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126059	No	+0	$3	97¢	$0	-$3	08-22 10:17
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?	Yes	+0	$0	84¢	$0	+$0	08-02 02:21
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+0	$0	74¢	$0	$0	07-08 12:11
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	No	+0	$0	38¢	$0	$0	07-08 10:12
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	+0	$0	13¢	$0	+$0	10-29 01:06
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?	Yes	+0	$2	5¢	$0	-$2	07-09 22:18
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	+0	$0	8¢	$0	$0	09-18 11:04
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	+0	$0	4¢	$0	$0	10-15 14:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will FaZe win a Tier 1 event in 2026?	16	$1.2K	750	750	+0	open	—	10-28 15:57
Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	23	$1.1K	850	850	+0	open	—	10-23 20:57
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?	12	$869	475	475	+0	open	—	09-22 15:01
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?	14	$766	600	600	+0	open	—	10-30 20:37
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?	12	$757	500	500	+0	open	—	10-29 19:00
Will María Fernanda Espinosa be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	7	$721	400	400	+0	open	—	10-08 17:57
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	10	$674	450	450	+0	open	—	10-08 17:47
Will Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?	12	$628	490	490	+0	open	—	09-20 21:37
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	19	$626	561	561	+0	open	—	09-18 03:17
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	14	$609	355	355	+0	open	—	11-02 10:47
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?	10	$587	440	440	+0	open	—	10-20 13:17
Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	13	$578	573	533	+40	open	—	11-03 09:20
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?	8	$576	400	400	+0	open	—	10-22 12:37
Will Ahmad Vahidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	11	$574	380	380	+0	open	—	09-17 19:27
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?	21	$563	379	379	+0	open	—	09-22 09:57
LAPTOP listed on Upbit within 30 days of TGE?	6	$561	300	300	+0	No	-$18	10-07 19:27
Will Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?	8	$560	400	400	+0	open	—	10-31 01:17
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	10	$552	294	294	+0	open	—	10-24 05:07
Epic Games IPO before 2027?	15	$546	524	524	+0	open	—	10-05 18:07
Will Como win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	6	$537	300	300	+0	open	—	10-31 20:07
Yoon out of custody before 2027?	16	$528	750	750	+0	open	—	10-28 15:37
Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	6	$525	300	300	+0	open	—	10-19 14:34
Will Houston Astros win the 2026 American League Championship Series?	7	$505	278	278	+0	No	-$2	09-11 03:07
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?	24	$504	429	429	+0	open	—	10-28 16:47
Pacifica FDV above $1B one day after launch?	10	$502	262	262	+0	open	—	11-02 20:17
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?	18	$501	393	393	+0	open	—	10-28 10:09
Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch?	15	$499	263	263	+0	open	—	10-24 11:27
Will Miami Hurricanes win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	8	$489	271	271	+0	open	—	10-06 22:37
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	10	$482	315	315	+0	open	—	10-25 01:27
Will Joe Biden be arrested before 2027?	2	$477	250	250	+0	open	—	07-17 00:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 14:52:51	Will the Democratic Party win the OH-08 House seat?	Yes	SELL	26	5¢	$1	0x6218ba…
11-03 14:52:42	Will the Democratic Party win the OH-08 House seat?	Yes	BUY	14	5¢	$1	0xae385b…
11-03 14:52:42	Will the Democratic Party win the OH-08 House seat?	Yes	BUY	26	5¢	$1	0x398545…
11-03 14:51:30	Canada cuts off or throttles electricity to the US by December 31?	No	SELL	40	90¢	$36	0xca7ab8…
11-03 14:45:45	Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	60	8¢	$5	0xcff661…
11-03 14:39:28	Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x8c857a…
11-03 13:47:16	Will Hakeem Jeffries be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms?	No	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xbabf07…
11-03 13:43:31	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0xec6373…
11-03 13:42:22	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x570d43…
11-03 13:35:48	Will Hakeem Jeffries be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms?	No	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x18f82a…
11-03 13:13:07	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be between 1,200,000 and 1,250,000?	No	BUY	40	91¢	$36	0x186b1f…
11-03 12:37:16	Will Waymo launch in Seattle, WA by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0xd78787…
11-03 12:27:46	Will Waymo launch in Seattle, WA by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0x671a4e…
11-03 12:21:22	Will Waymo launch in Seattle, WA by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	14	90¢	$13	0x86d954…
11-03 12:17:21	Will Keria win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0xa912c9…
11-03 12:17:19	Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	40	78¢	$31	0x833f66…
11-03 12:08:31	Will Keria win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x7530fa…
11-03 11:57:19	Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	60	5¢	$3	0x36d3b2…
11-03 11:48:36	Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	60	6¢	$4	0xe7adf8…
11-03 11:27:18	Will AP call US House control by December 31, 11:59 PM?	No	SELL	23	0¢	$0	0x021373…
11-03 11:17:22	Will PP win the most seats in Segovia in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xb81e8b…
11-03 11:17:21	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0x2d9cc8…
11-03 11:17:19	Will the Democratic Party win the PA-16 House seat?	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0x528e8a…
11-03 11:17:10	Will AP call US House control by December 31, 11:59 PM?	No	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xf2fddf…
11-03 11:17:06	Will AP call US House control by December 31, 11:59 PM?	No	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x40561f…
11-03 11:13:52	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	11¢	$4	0xa76ddf…
11-03 11:10:34	Will the Democratic Party win the PA-16 House seat?	Yes	BUY	40	6¢	$2	0x69465c…
11-03 10:57:15	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 13,000,000 and 13,500,000?	No	SELL	40	84¢	$34	0x05cb7a…
11-03 10:37:31	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 13,000,000 and 13,500,000?	No	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0x872391…
11-03 10:18:37	Will PP win the most seats in Zamora in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x417e4b…
11-03 10:16:06	Will PP win the most seats in Segovia in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x52f973…
11-03 09:57:15	Will the Republican Party win the NC-08 House seat?	No	SELL	40	5¢	$2	0x6a8ce1…
11-03 09:53:00	Will the Republican Party win the NC-08 House seat?	No	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x72440d…
11-03 09:50:48	Will the Republican Party win the NC-08 House seat?	No	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xa95e6f…
11-03 09:37:18	Will the Democratic Party win the VA-06 House seat?	Yes	SELL	38	3¢	$1	0xb225e3…
11-03 09:37:16	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.10% before 2027?	No	SELL	40	80¢	$32	0x295ec9…
11-03 09:34:33	Will the Democratic Party win the VA-06 House seat?	Yes	BUY	38	4¢	$2	0xf3d7c7…
11-03 09:34:33	Will the Democratic Party win the VA-06 House seat?	Yes	SELL	37	4¢	$1	0x53cff5…
11-03 09:34:31	Will the Democratic Party win the VA-06 House seat?	Yes	BUY	37	4¢	$1	0x8ccd37…
11-03 09:24:37	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.10% before 2027?	No	BUY	40	92¢	$37	0xc3dbe4…
11-03 09:20:39	Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	8¢	$3	0xfb923b…
11-03 08:38:49	Will the Republicans win Kent County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	7¢	$2	0x8c0b7a…
11-03 08:38:21	Will the Republicans win Kent County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x65b3ff…
11-03 08:38:21	Will the Republicans win Kent County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x6551b5…
11-03 08:37:15	Will Liberal–National win the second-most seats in the next Victorian state election?	Yes	SELL	70	0¢	$0	0xcb7895…
11-03 08:23:48	Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of 2026?	No	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0x448264…
11-03 08:17:21	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in October?	No	SELL	40	82¢	$33	0xc666d2…
11-03 08:13:58	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in October?	No	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0xef9283…
11-03 07:57:21	Will Manchester United be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?	No	SELL	40	92¢	$37	0x03b4e0…
11-03 07:55:18	Will Manchester United be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?	No	BUY	40	94¢	$38	0x0766e8…
11-03 07:47:16	Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0xea5176…
11-03 07:47:15	Will the Republican Party win the PA-04 House seat?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe6e0eb…
11-03 07:38:19	Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?	Yes	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0x5ae3d0…
11-03 07:38:15	Will the Republican Party win the PA-04 House seat?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x42d6d6…
11-03 07:37:18	Jimmy Lai released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0x870f1c…
11-03 07:36:13	Jimmy Lai released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0xe67d43…
11-03 07:27:21	Will Liberal–National win the second-most seats in the next Victorian state election?	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0x9551df…
11-03 07:27:15	Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	No	SELL	40	4¢	$1	0x7934ab…
11-03 07:26:37	Will Liberal–National win the second-most seats in the next Victorian state election?	Yes	BUY	40	7¢	$3	0x142973…
11-03 07:23:18	Will Aaron Maluleka be the next mayor of Tshwane?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0xc861be…
11-03 07:08:03	Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	No	BUY	40	8¢	$3	0x17e65e…
11-03 06:57:13	Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	29	6¢	$2	0x16073e…
11-03 06:47:15	Will Trump pardon Donald Brodie before 2027?	No	SELL	39	75¢	$29	0xed76b1…
11-03 06:47:15	Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	31	6¢	$2	0xcd54dc…
11-03 06:47:13	Will Nevada be the closest Governor's race in 2026?	No	SELL	40	90¢	$36	0x245393…
11-03 06:47:10	Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xd46d14…
11-03 06:47:09	Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0xaaddf7…
11-03 06:47:09	Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x8c5317…
11-03 06:40:48	Will Nevada be the closest Governor's race in 2026?	No	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0x15f941…
11-03 06:37:21	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska be between 800,000 and 850,000?	Yes	SELL	39	1¢	$1	0x682345…
11-03 06:37:19	Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	4¢	$1	0x3be492…
11-03 06:37:10	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska be between 800,000 and 850,000?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x4357a5…
11-03 06:36:00	Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0x38be04…
11-03 06:32:07	Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	7¢	$2	0xb1476f…
11-03 06:29:03	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska be between 800,000 and 850,000?	Yes	BUY	17	9¢	$2	0xab3f3c…
11-03 06:29:03	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska be between 800,000 and 850,000?	Yes	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x77c199…
11-03 06:29:03	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska be between 800,000 and 850,000?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x57bc0c…
11-03 06:27:15	Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV by November 30?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x7cd1ac…
11-03 06:27:09	Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV by November 30?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$4	0xa5ba47…
11-03 06:17:13	Will Phantom Blade Zero win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?	Yes	SELL	80	6¢	$5	0x6c5ae5…
11-03 06:14:19	Will Trump pardon Donald Brodie before 2027?	No	BUY	39	84¢	$33	0x607b23…
11-03 05:49:01	Will Phantom Blade Zero win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?	Yes	BUY	80	7¢	$6	0x24deb6…
11-03 05:35:12	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be between 1,800,000 and 1,900,000?	Yes	SELL	80	6¢	$5	0xbf22f5…
11-03 05:27:13	Will the Baltimore Ravens win more than 11.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season?	O 11.5	SELL	80	2¢	$2	0xa035f6…
11-03 05:27:09	Will the Baltimore Ravens win more than 11.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season?	O 11.5	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0x020c57…
11-03 05:26:00	Will the Baltimore Ravens win more than 11.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season?	O 11.5	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0x2f3b5a…
11-03 05:17:13	Will Sabah finish last in UCL league phase?	No	SELL	40	88¢	$35	0xed7a6a…
11-03 05:14:22	Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	40	95¢	$38	0x2b97cc…
11-03 05:12:01	Will Sabah finish last in UCL league phase?	No	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0x5ae934…
11-03 05:07:15	Will Kansas be the closest Governor's race in 2026?	No	SELL	40	85¢	$34	0xc91b29…
11-03 05:03:25	Will Kansas be the closest Governor's race in 2026?	No	BUY	40	89¢	$36	0x8cfb47…
11-03 04:59:28	Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x123068…
11-03 04:52:52	Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x0cbaba…
11-03 04:17:15	Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?	Yes	SELL	40	4¢	$2	0x76e0ef…
11-03 04:09:12	Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?	Yes	BUY	40	7¢	$3	0x4bca5b…
11-03 04:07:15	Will "Toy Story 5" be nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x9bed44…
11-03 03:57:51	Will "Toy Story 5" be nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x106f6b…
11-03 03:57:15	Will Democrats win exactly 47 House seats in California in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	40	87¢	$35	0x2b02ca…
11-03 03:47:15	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	40	80¢	$32	0x8538df…
11-03 03:21:37	Will Democrats win exactly 47 House seats in California in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	40	88¢	$35	0xd1d7b6…