(anonymous) 0xc8a260…02c9b6 Create alert
whale cold 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
-$5.21K
Unrealized P&L
-$51
Hit rate
4.1%
Resolved (90d)
1,942
Trades (90d)
8,108
16,159 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$184.0K
$327.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$28
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-01
last 11-09 16:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 130 days
Categories
Other
58% 8% -$4,638
Politics
27% 6% -$2,116
Crypto
9% 12% -$122
Sports
4% 9% -$191
Tech
2% 4% -$225
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$25
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 261 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +200 $13 4¢ $8 -$5 11-04 17:41
Will Laurent Wauquiez advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? Yes +100 $5 4¢ $4 -$1 11-06 13:51
Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +100 $6 4¢ $4 -$3 11-07 12:29
Will Tom Brady announce a presidential run before 2028? Yes +40 $6 9¢ $4 -$2 10-21 01:06
Will Sébastien Lecornu advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? Yes +100 $5 3¢ $3 -$1 11-07 09:16
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $6 3¢ $3 -$4 11-03 04:59
Russia coup attempt in 2026? Yes -100 $1 2¢ $-2 -$3 10-06 20:07
Will Zohran Mamdani be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? No +0 $0 94¢ $0 $0 08-02 08:18
Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 9%-12%? Yes — +2 $0 1¢ $0 $0 10-29 17:44
Will Gretchen Whitmer be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? No +0 $4 79¢ $0 -$4 10-10 15:10
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? No +0 $4 81¢ $0 -$4 07-09 19:05
Will the Republican Party hold fewer than 22 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +0 $3 80¢ $0 -$3 07-09 21:49
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 $0 10-15 15:35
Will HLE be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 +$0 08-01 00:07
will jd vance visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126059 No +0 $3 96¢ $0 -$3 08-22 10:17
Will New York Giants win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 $0 07-11 05:24
will tim walz announce a presidential run before 2028 20260803143241619 No +0 $0 94¢ $0 +$0 08-07 13:53
Will "Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? No +0 $0 88¢ $0 +$0 10-20 06:35
Will Liverpool reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16? Yes +0 $0 83¢ $0 +$0 10-20 20:26
Will Inde Navarrette be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +0 $0 80¢ $0 +$0 10-20 08:37
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%? No +0 $0 70¢ $0 $0 07-13 04:37
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 70¢ $0 $0 07-08 12:11
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? No +0 $0 48¢ $0 $0 07-08 10:12
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 11¢ $0 $0 07-10 05:25
Will Dreamcash launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 7¢ $0 $0 10-22 12:52
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes +0 $0 5¢ $0 $0 10-15 14:45
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1%? Yes +0 $13 7¢ $0 -$12 10-26 07:00
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon before 2027? Yes +0 $0 6¢ $0 $0 09-28 05:54
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? Yes +0 $2 3¢ $0 -$2 07-09 22:18
Will Andrew Yang announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +0 $4 3¢ $0 -$4 07-09 18:35