Realized P&L
-$230
Unrealized P&L
-$78
Hit rate
74.6%
Resolved
42
Trades
1,728
lifetime
Volume
$162.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$94
Open exposure
$324
4 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 06-28 18:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
98% 52% $-230
Crypto
2%
Tech
0%
Politics
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
73 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +203 $134 66¢ $134 +$0 06-13 12:15
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +137 $110 80¢ $109 $-1 06-15 13:18
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +100 $72 78¢ $78 +$6 06-13 16:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +554 $86 $2 $-84 06-18 14:41