Realized P&L
-$426
Unrealized P&L
-$57
Hit rate
89.8%
Resolved
159
Trades
4,250
lifetime
Volume
$92.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$645
18 positions
First seen
2026-04-06
last 06-28 19:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Crypto
45% 83% $-426
Politics
39%
Other
8%
Tech
8%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
50 active days in 12wk • peak 734 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +261 $136 42¢ $108 $-28 06-19 01:16
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes -172 $-62 56¢ $-95 $-33 06-14 22:06
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +533 $86 15¢ $77 $-8 06-28 19:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -247 $-103 30¢ $-75 +$28 06-19 07:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +92 $74 80¢ $74 $-0 06-28 04:34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +200 $52 24¢ $49 $-3 06-25 06:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -37 $-31 99¢ $-37 $-6 06-14 17:31
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No -21 $-16 100¢ $-21 $-5 06-14 13:18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +24 $17 76¢ $18 +$1 06-19 21:56
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes -109 $-23 16¢ $-18 +$5 06-17 23:23
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? No -19 $-14 86¢ $-16 $-2 06-19 08:48
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +31 $18 44¢ $14 $-5 06-17 16:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +69 $3 20¢ $13 +$11 06-15 17:34
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +32 $22 30¢ $10 $-12 06-19 12:16
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +9 $7 86¢ $8 +$0 06-23 23:04
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? Yes +47 $7 15¢ $7 $-1 06-25 05:14
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -10 $-7 46¢ $-5 +$2 06-16 09:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +0 $1 70¢ $0 $-1 06-19 12:14