Realized P&L
-$426
Unrealized P&L
+$60
Hit rate
89.8%
Resolved
159
Trades
4,497
lifetime
Volume
$93.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$21
Open exposure
$247
15 positions
First seen
2026-04-06
last 07-22 12:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Crypto
44% 83% $-426
Politics
39%
Other
9%
Tech
8%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
35 active days in 12wk • peak 734 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes -172 $-62 66¢ $-112 $-50 06-14 22:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +65 $57 52¢ $34 $-24 07-12 01:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +69 $3 48¢ $34 +$31 06-15 17:34
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? No -19 $-14 92¢ $-17 $-3 06-19 08:48
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes -109 $-23 12¢ $-14 +$9 06-17 23:23
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +45 $7 18¢ $8 +$1 07-21 21:10
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +9 $6 62¢ $5 $-0 07-21 20:59
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes -7 $-5 74¢ $-5 $-0 07-21 04:04
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -10 $-7 42¢ $-4 +$2 06-16 09:41
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +40 $5 10¢ $4 $-1 07-21 00:09
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? Yes -47 $2 $-4 $-5 07-12 01:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -247 $-103 $-3 +$100 06-19 07:24
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +4 $2 65¢ $2 +$0 07-21 21:21
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? Yes +5 $1 23¢ $1 +$0 07-22 02:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +0 $1 99¢ $0 $-1 06-19 12:14