Boiling-Word — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$426

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.8%

Resolved

159

Trades

5,019

lifetime

Volume

$96.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-06

last 08-02 12:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

43% 83% $-426

Politics

39% — —

Other

10% — —

Tech

8% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 734 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	156	$4.7K	9,963	10,085	-123	open	—	06-14 17:54
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	126	$4.0K	5,241	5,672	-431	open	—	06-14 16:13
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	88	$3.1K	5,694	5,816	-122	open	—	06-14 20:32
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	117	$2.6K	4,214	4,158	+56	open	—	06-19 19:15
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	82	$2.2K	5,440	4,841	+600	open	—	06-14 18:26
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	106	$2.0K	2,871	2,793	+78	open	—	06-14 20:25
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	70	$1.8K	1,844	1,936	-92	open	—	06-14 18:01
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	73	$1.6K	3,018	2,764	+254	open	—	06-15 18:18
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	87	$1.6K	3,014	2,989	+25	open	—	06-22 01:25
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	62	$1.5K	1,856	1,767	+89	open	—	06-14 05:28
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	71	$1.1K	1,785	1,604	+181	open	—	06-12 15:09
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	51	$1.1K	2,008	1,849	+159	open	—	06-12 15:05
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	37	$1.1K	1,237	1,237	+0	open	—	06-12 18:45
spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	31	$968	1,941	1,941	+0	open	—	06-12 19:25
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	14	$933	760	754	+5	open	—	06-18 12:58
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	31	$895	992	992	+0	open	—	06-16 19:31
will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	36	$857	884	809	+75	open	—	06-16 19:50
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	45	$856	1,068	1,072	-4	open	—	06-16 14:40
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	53	$783	927	865	+61	open	—	06-14 21:02
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	23	$751	903	762	+141	open	—	06-14 17:43
us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	33	$701	874	883	-8	open	—	06-14 21:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	42	$667	618	865	-247	open	—	06-19 12:14
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	39	$619	964	962	+2	open	—	06-19 10:40
will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	71	$611	943	442	+501	open	—	06-17 16:02
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	28	$608	766	539	+227	open	—	06-19 14:50
will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	15	$551	669	707	-38	open	—	06-15 09:53
will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	44	$550	632	640	-8	open	—	06-16 22:55
iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	24	$549	801	789	+12	open	—	06-17 00:22
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	17	$535	1,529	1,529	+0	open	—	06-12 14:31
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	42	$514	488	488	+0	open	—	07-18 20:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-02 12:29:08	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	18	50¢	$9	0x8fd457…
08-02 02:41:59	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	8	18¢	$1	0xc65a6c…
08-02 01:08:26	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0x159789…
08-02 00:10:05	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	SELL	15	32¢	$5	0xdc6c28…
08-01 21:59:56	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	65	16¢	$10	0x3803ea…
08-01 21:51:08	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	42	16¢	$7	0x9612af…
08-01 21:05:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364	Yes	SELL	7	63¢	$4	0x35452b…
08-01 17:03:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364	Yes	BUY	7	62¢	$4	0x5a2c6c…
08-01 16:28:38	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	Yes	SELL	7	60¢	$4	0xecb9f0…
08-01 16:28:23	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	SELL	12	59¢	$7	0x030fbd…
08-01 16:18:17	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	BUY	6	58¢	$4	0x51d8e6…
08-01 16:17:11	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x8f2e7c…
08-01 16:06:29	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	Yes	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x2278fb…
08-01 14:53:48	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	No	SELL	16	20¢	$3	0x58bd5a…
08-01 14:21:41	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	11	36¢	$4	0xe2d212…
08-01 13:57:32	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	Yes	SELL	25	22¢	$6	0x139834…
08-01 13:45:08	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	Yes	SELL	23	22¢	$5	0x74730f…
08-01 13:03:30	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	11	49¢	$5	0x0415e4…
08-01 13:02:14	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x02ce64…
08-01 12:55:18	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	Yes	BUY	48	19¢	$9	0x3dd951…
08-01 12:45:35	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by september 30 2026 715	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xb9198d…
08-01 12:07:02	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xfcbaad…
08-01 11:30:09	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	SELL	8	29¢	$2	0xb0708a…
08-01 10:47:38	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	32¢	$5	0x4c3fac…
08-01 10:37:15	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0x8548b6…
08-01 10:24:05	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xf04392…
08-01 09:55:29	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	No	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0xbb36e5…
08-01 09:54:27	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	No	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0xfbe06c…
08-01 09:34:21	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	Yes	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0x22fb31…
08-01 09:28:41	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x63ac4f…
08-01 09:28:39	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	Yes	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x122490…
08-01 09:20:11	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	Yes	SELL	68	15¢	$10	0xc1cc74…
08-01 08:50:11	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	Yes	BUY	29	18¢	$5	0x373c29…
08-01 07:57:45	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	Yes	SELL	11	20¢	$2	0x14e95f…
08-01 07:55:03	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x819f28…
08-01 07:09:02	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0xd49003…
08-01 07:08:11	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x29ed78…
08-01 06:07:08	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x9e4c66…
08-01 06:04:32	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0xe89f4b…
08-01 02:45:20	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	No	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0x722544…
08-01 01:24:57	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	12	31¢	$4	0xeb172d…
07-31 23:57:44	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xa8f11e…
07-31 22:53:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	SELL	11	21¢	$2	0x5d1a82…
07-31 21:54:38	foreign intervention in gaza by august 31	Yes	BUY	38	15¢	$6	0xa2e614…
07-31 21:53:21	foreign intervention in gaza by august 31	Yes	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0xf8c47e…
07-31 21:52:06	foreign intervention in gaza by august 31	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xfeb10c…
07-31 21:19:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	SELL	24	20¢	$5	0x53f70a…
07-31 20:24:18	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	Yes	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x665921…
07-31 18:19:05	foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775	Yes	SELL	12	53¢	$7	0x14f986…
07-31 16:42:39	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	SELL	16	70¢	$11	0x97aee2…
07-31 16:26:48	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x139ddc…
07-31 16:21:59	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	No	SELL	30	20¢	$6	0x41b3e6…
07-31 16:17:54	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xbf7717…
07-31 16:12:39	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	BUY	16	72¢	$11	0xc9f44a…
07-31 16:09:50	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0xfb522f…
07-31 15:51:08	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	7	41¢	$3	0xa79b8c…
07-31 15:42:57	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by december 31 632	No	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0x91432c…
07-31 15:34:41	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by december 31 632	No	SELL	15	36¢	$6	0xeb07fb…
07-31 15:33:05	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xc26e6d…
07-31 15:27:11	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	No	SELL	17	17¢	$3	0x7ef592…
07-31 15:27:11	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	No	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x19df43…
07-31 15:26:08	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	No	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x0e7ea0…
07-31 15:09:26	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	No	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x52e6c2…
07-31 14:54:35	foreign intervention in gaza by august 31	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x0ed179…
07-31 14:45:24	foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775	Yes	SELL	25	54¢	$13	0xf1688b…
07-31 14:34:57	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	No	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x7dddc1…
07-31 14:24:05	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	No	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0x603a9b…
07-31 14:23:47	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	No	SELL	15	67¢	$10	0x82c5dd…
07-31 14:15:23	foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775	Yes	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x5ad336…
07-31 14:04:29	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	23	13¢	$3	0xb95401…
07-31 14:04:27	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	12	44¢	$5	0xecf982…
07-31 14:01:51	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by december 31 632	No	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x9f1ce1…
07-31 13:47:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	37	10¢	$4	0x25b762…
07-31 13:46:50	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	23	12¢	$3	0x4a9276…
07-31 13:32:39	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by december 31 632	No	BUY	10	35¢	$3	0x2a5027…
07-31 13:22:26	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by december 31 632	No	SELL	22	38¢	$9	0x5f1dc7…
07-31 13:04:47	will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	Yes	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0xa41b9f…
07-31 12:40:20	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by december 31 632	No	BUY	18	36¢	$7	0x87649b…
07-31 12:26:38	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by december 31 632	No	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0xe9218c…
07-31 12:26:36	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by december 31 632	No	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0xaf8686…
07-31 12:16:42	foreign intervention in gaza by august 31	No	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0x9ffb4e…
07-31 12:10:42	foreign intervention in gaza by august 31	No	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0xc34893…
07-31 12:08:56	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	No	BUY	15	69¢	$11	0x9a0e1a…
07-31 12:04:48	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by december 31 632	No	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xb5ef3c…
07-31 12:04:05	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	15	23¢	$4	0xd003e5…
07-31 11:53:53	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x5a2e6d…
07-31 11:49:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x6949a3…
07-31 11:34:12	will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x2a5027…
07-31 11:09:05	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xacf591…
07-31 11:05:36	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0xf73001…
07-31 11:03:44	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x5b68fa…
07-31 10:57:38	will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	Yes	SELL	8	64¢	$5	0x391657…
07-31 10:18:17	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x45b338…
07-31 09:59:57	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	No	BUY	7	83¢	$5	0xba695c…
07-31 09:56:48	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	23	47¢	$11	0x13a91e…
07-31 09:33:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x848955…
07-31 09:26:48	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x01c96d…
07-31 09:01:03	will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x3b7244…
07-31 08:21:50	foreign intervention in gaza by august 31	No	SELL	36	72¢	$26	0x2de98d…
07-31 08:17:00	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x404b16…