Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$78

Unrealized P&L

+$139

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.77K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$147

Open exposure

$900

6 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-16 22:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

64% 0% $-77

Politics

36% 0% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party win 10 or fewer upper-level local government races?	No	+654	$490	92¢	$598	+$108	05-14 22:16
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	+795	$117	16¢	$127	+$10	05-13 03:07
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	-544	$-62	11¢	$-60	+$2	05-15 16:51
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	+400	$56	14¢	$56	+$0	05-15 16:30
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	Yes	+1,070	$24	4¢	$44	+$20	05-16 22:02
Will the Democratic Party win 15 upper-level local government races?	Yes	+253	$15	6¢	$14	$-1	05-14 22:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 22:02:51	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2,000	4¢	$84	0xad7998…
05-15 16:51:58	Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	SELL	544	11¢	$62	0xc23d5c…
05-15 16:30:34	Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	400	14¢	$56	0x549e95…
05-14 22:32:11	Will the Democratic Party win 15 upper-level local government races?	Yes	BUY	253	6¢	$15	0x28a9d4…
05-14 22:16:45	Will the Democratic Party win 10 or fewer upper-level local government races?	No	BUY	654	75¢	$490	0x789ac8…
05-13 03:07:15	Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	795	15¢	$117	0x1dccbc…
05-13 02:51:56	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	Yes	SELL	930	6¢	$60	0x2547f3…
05-10 01:31:53	Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?	Yes	SELL	99	31¢	$31	0xc24bdd…
05-09 15:14:03	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	100¢	$500	0x0c18c3…
05-06 16:33:15	Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?	Yes	BUY	246	36¢	$90	0xbfa6a7…
05-06 16:28:02	Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 45m and 50m?	Yes	BUY	200	9¢	$18	0x087974…
05-06 02:03:28	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?	Yes	BUY	413	59¢	$244	0x536020…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	1	$500	0	500	-500	Yes	$-0	05-09 15:14
Will the Democratic Party win 10 or fewer upper-level local government races?	1	$490	654	0	+654	open	—	05-14 22:16
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?	1	$244	413	0	+413	open	—	05-06 02:03
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	2	$144	2,000	930	+1,070	open	—	05-16 22:02
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?	2	$120	246	99	+148	No	$-59	05-10 01:31
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	1	$117	795	0	+795	open	—	05-13 03:07
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	1	$62	0	544	-544	open	—	05-15 16:51
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	1	$56	400	0	+400	open	—	05-15 16:30
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 45m and 50m?	1	$18	200	0	+200	No	$-18	05-06 16:28
Will the Democratic Party win 15 upper-level local government races?	1	$15	253	0	+253	open	—	05-14 22:32