Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
25
lifetime
Volume
$25
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$25
25 positions
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 16:24
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
36%
Other
32%
Sports
24%
Crypto
8%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -3 $-1 36¢ $-1 $-0 05-04 20:54
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? No +1 $1 87¢ $1 +$0 05-05 08:25
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +4 $1 24¢ $1 +$0 05-04 23:34
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? No +1 $1 93¢ $1 +$0 05-05 04:14
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes -6 $-1 17¢ $-1 $-0 05-05 12:41
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No +2 $1 56¢ $1 +$0 05-05 05:55
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes +1 $1 95¢ $1 +$0 05-05 08:31
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 +$0 05-05 08:25
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +1 $1 83¢ $1 $-0 05-05 12:41
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +1 $1 92¢ $1 $-0 05-05 16:02
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 $-0 05-04 20:04
Celonis IPO before 2027? No +1 $1 88¢ $1 $-0 05-05 10:11
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +1 $1 88¢ $1 $-0 05-04 22:34
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? Yes +1 $1 80¢ $1 $-0 05-05 01:04
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Yes +4 $1 25¢ $1 $-0 05-05 01:05
New pandemic in 2026? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 $-0 05-05 12:41
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No +1 $1 86¢ $1 $-0 05-05 05:55
Deel IPO before 2027? No +1 $1 81¢ $1 $-0 05-05 16:24
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +2 $1 63¢ $1 $-0 05-04 22:34
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +2 $1 58¢ $1 $-0 05-05 01:04
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 Yes +4 $1 28¢ $1 $-0 05-05 07:46
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 $1 26¢ $1 $-0 05-05 08:25
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? Yes +3 $1 30¢ $1 $-0 05-05 04:14
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +7 $1 12¢ $1 $-0 05-05 04:25
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +11 $1 $1 $-0 05-05 04:25