Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

37.4%

Resolved

Trades

573

lifetime

Volume

$612

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-23

last 06-21 16:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Other

45% 59% +$14

Politics

26% 15% $-10

Sports

17% 44% $-2

Crypto

11% 50% +$10

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 91 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Consensys IPO by September 30 2026?	Yes		-6	$-1	6¢	$-0	+$0	06-21 16:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	8	$21	23	20	+2	Yes	$-1	05-07 22:02
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	3	$15	14	14	+0	Yes	+$13	05-04 17:49
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	12	$11	16	16	+0	open	—	05-15 07:32
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	3	$9	6	5	+1	open	—	04-26 15:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	7	$9	8	7	+1	open	—	05-04 21:44
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	04-23 08:20
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	9	$9	37	35	+1	open	—	05-13 07:43
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	9	$9	40	28	+11	open	—	05-13 00:47
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	3	$8	9	5	+4	open	—	04-24 01:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	8	$8	30	22	+8	open	—	05-14 01:01
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	8	$8	11	11	+0	open	—	05-08 23:42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	7	$8	8	7	+1	open	—	05-13 09:21
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	8	$8	12	12	+0	open	—	05-14 17:54
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	7	$7	20	19	+1	open	—	05-14 22:04
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	9	$6	11	5	+5	open	—	04-25 11:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	6	$6	7	4	+3	open	—	05-10 19:02
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	6	$6	12	12	+0	open	—	05-13 15:57
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	4	$6	28	11	+17	open	—	05-10 12:52
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	3	$5	5	4	+1	open	—	05-04 21:11
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	6	$5	18	16	+1	open	—	05-07 02:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	5	$5	4	3	+1	open	—	05-05 06:34
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	5	$5	20	2	+18	Yes	$-1	05-09 13:22
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	5	$5	3	2	+1	open	—	05-04 20:32
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	5	$5	3	2	+1	open	—	05-05 06:06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	5	$5	9	2	+6	open	—	04-29 09:51
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	5	$5	3	2	+1	Yes	$-1	05-04 23:01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	5	$5	4	3	+1	Yes	$-1	05-04 22:45
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	5	$5	6	5	+1	open	—	05-11 13:05
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	5	$5	11	6	+5	open	—	05-14 23:27
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	5	$5	7	5	+1	open	—	05-08 12:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-21 16:29:49	Will Consensys IPO by September 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0x304483…
05-31 16:51:38	Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	13¢	$0	0xef549c…
05-16 13:22:13	1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x410456…
05-16 09:23:37	Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xdda4df…
05-16 03:13:40	US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x42b2cb…
05-16 02:49:32	San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics	Athletics	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xff455a…
05-16 00:06:44	Will XRP reach $1.80 in May?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xdcc24e…
05-15 23:54:46	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x41353c…
05-15 21:53:18	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xd88542…
05-15 15:22:59	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x2b532a…
05-15 11:07:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x48b755…
05-15 07:32:32	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0x913f2f…
05-14 23:27:29	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xd5fe08…
05-14 23:27:19	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x3ccb2f…
05-14 22:04:22	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x6eb74d…
05-14 22:04:09	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	17	6¢	$1	0xfb5454…
05-14 17:54:49	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xe109b6…
05-14 09:46:53	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x8026ce…
05-14 09:46:35	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x8d9398…
05-14 08:23:45	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x69b4d8…
05-14 08:12:05	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x8c7a3e…
05-14 08:11:51	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x366ab4…
05-14 01:01:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xfa8bcc…
05-14 01:00:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x5a61eb…
05-13 22:28:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x736d09…
05-13 19:50:58	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	No	SELL	7	13¢	$1	0x887d86…
05-13 18:17:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xf86708…
05-13 18:11:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xf5ae60…
05-13 15:57:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x0d5447…
05-13 13:50:49	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x8fa086…
05-13 11:24:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x63e294…
05-13 09:21:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x74a2fc…
05-13 09:21:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0x67970d…
05-13 07:43:14	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x3f82d0…
05-13 07:43:05	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	5¢	$1	0x20c154…
05-13 05:42:08	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xa9a4a3…
05-13 05:42:02	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xb5bda6…
05-13 01:41:28	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x35bc17…
05-13 00:47:57	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x7ad7eb…
05-13 00:47:38	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x9b713c…
05-12 17:11:31	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x251288…
05-12 15:47:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xcf2dc6…
05-12 15:47:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0x6ad81b…
05-12 14:24:27	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xf8d65a…
05-12 06:25:15	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x7b64ba…
05-12 06:25:10	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	5¢	$1	0x891492…
05-12 04:02:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x6134de…
05-12 03:44:57	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x9a0400…
05-12 03:44:22	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x5d940a…
05-11 22:34:25	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	11¢	$0	0xe03ab0…
05-11 22:22:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xb29732…
05-11 21:12:46	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B	Passion UA	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xf4094a…
05-11 13:05:38	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x8ee605…
05-11 13:05:19	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0x3d407b…
05-11 09:34:30	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xafe7ba…
05-11 05:51:43	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xd27646…
05-10 19:02:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x2e8b2c…
05-10 19:02:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x4db763…
05-10 17:23:16	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x4e2eb1…
05-10 12:52:10	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xe76b1d…
05-10 11:10:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x76956c…
05-10 11:04:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x45b49e…
05-10 10:23:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x3f7b37…
05-10 09:07:00	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xb2d7f0…
05-10 05:52:03	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x72236a…
05-10 05:51:54	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0xc54c67…
05-10 05:46:17	Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xe90c07…
05-10 03:17:30	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x992d36…
05-10 02:05:55	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x8360e8…
05-09 23:54:49	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x1be698…
05-09 22:26:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x5518a1…
05-09 22:15:15	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x12878a…
05-09 21:44:58	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x9b470b…
05-09 21:33:18	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x782bc4…
05-09 21:27:33	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x50ae04…
05-09 19:32:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x536779…
05-09 19:32:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x98aa38…
05-09 13:22:33	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x9037b3…
05-09 13:22:27	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xf1f454…
05-09 13:22:19	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x14a0c7…
05-09 13:22:10	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x77a139…
05-09 11:47:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x92c662…
05-09 11:47:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x9e4ad6…
05-09 10:13:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xf19903…
05-09 06:02:29	Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x455f67…
05-09 05:20:48	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xbbd0fe…
05-09 04:02:50	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xe20738…
05-09 02:58:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x8d1ceb…
05-09 02:52:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x5129cf…
05-09 01:06:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x23f89a…
05-08 23:42:33	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x527884…
05-08 21:21:04	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xe8306a…
05-08 15:03:25	LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	Karmine Corp	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x15e54b…
05-08 14:44:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x893059…
05-08 12:56:51	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x244bb3…
05-08 12:56:45	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x319f24…
05-08 12:56:26	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	Yes	SELL	4	20¢	$1	0x8cf905…
05-08 11:34:20	LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x20f510…
05-08 11:15:54	Knicks vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x741466…
05-08 11:15:49	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x810411…