(anonymous) 0x205933…84f13b
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Realized P&L (7d)
—
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
—
Resolved (7d)
0
Trades (7d)
37
37 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$37
$37 lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$30
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 21:55
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
46% — —
Politics
30% — —
Sports
16% — —
Crypto
8% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -3 $-1 38¢ $-1 $-0 05-04 20:54
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Yes +4 $1 27¢ $1 +$0 05-05 01:05
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? No +1 $1 82¢ $1 +$0 05-05 08:25
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +4 $1 24¢ $1 +$0 05-04 23:34
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes -6 $-1 17¢ $-1 $-0 05-05 12:41
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season? Yes +1 $1 87¢ $1 +$0 05-05 18:34
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? No +1 $1 93¢ $1 +$0 05-05 04:14
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No +2 $1 56¢ $1 +$0 05-05 05:55
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 +$0 05-05 08:25
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes +3 $1 32¢ $1 +$0 05-05 21:55
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes +1 $1 95¢ $1 $-0 05-05 08:31
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +1 $1 83¢ $1 $-0 05-05 12:41
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +2 $1 62¢ $1 $-0 05-05 18:23
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? No +1 $1 93¢ $1 $-0 05-05 18:56
New pandemic in 2026? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 $-0 05-05 12:41
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 $-0 05-04 20:04
Celonis IPO before 2027? No +1 $1 88¢ $1 $-0 05-05 10:11
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +1 $1 88¢ $1 $-0 05-04 22:34
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? Yes +1 $1 80¢ $1 $-0 05-05 01:04
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No -1 $-1 89¢ $-1 $-0 05-05 21:54
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +1 $1 91¢ $1 $-0 05-05 16:02
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No +1 $1 86¢ $1 $-0 05-05 05:55
Deel IPO before 2027? No +1 $1 81¢ $1 $-0 05-05 16:24
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06? No +2 $1 40¢ $1 $-0 05-05 21:04
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +2 $1 63¢ $1 $-0 05-04 22:34
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 Yes +4 $1 28¢ $1 $-0 05-05 07:46
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 $1 26¢ $1 $-0 05-05 08:25
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +2 $1 57¢ $1 $-0 05-05 01:04
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +2 $1 64¢ $1 $-0 05-05 19:52
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? No +1 $1 89¢ $1 $-0 05-05 18:34