Realized P&L
-$211
Unrealized P&L
-$46
Hit rate
28.9%
Resolved
11
Trades
1,223
lifetime
Volume
$55.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$45
Open exposure
$3.67K
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 15:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Other
52% 0% $-345
Politics
40% 75% +$150
Tech
5%
Crypto
4% 0% $-17
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
66 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +1,730 $1,401 78¢ $1.4K $-43 07-19 22:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +1,100 $616 56¢ $610 $-5 07-16 13:54
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +1,800 $306 26¢ $459 +$153 07-13 10:31
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +1,730 $329 22¢ $372 +$43 07-18 08:11
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? No +1,200 $324 29¢ $348 +$24 07-15 09:02
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +800 $304 22¢ $172 $-132 06-20 17:54
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,050 $210 14¢ $142 $-68 06-27 22:32
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -150 $-108 70¢ $-106 +$2 07-15 09:14
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes +480 $125 21¢ $101 $-24 06-26 21:54
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 18,000 in 2026? Yes -120 $-12 $-7 +$5 07-01 06:00