Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$211

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

28.9%

Resolved

Trades

1,330

lifetime

Volume

$65.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$49

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 14:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

51% 0% $-345

Politics

39% 75% +$150

Tech

6% — —

Crypto

5% 0% $-17

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 spread home 4pt5	30	$8.1K	1,305	10,023	-8,718	open	—	06-17 21:59
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	10	$1.7K	3,460	0	+3,460	open	—	07-19 22:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	12	$1.6K	1,661	1,661	+0	open	—	08-04 15:53
highest temperature in nyc on january 6 38 39f	1	$1.5K	1,582	0	+1,582	open	—	01-06 02:40
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	1	$1.1K	1,200	0	+1,200	open	—	07-27 07:22
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	4	$1000	1,548	1,548	+0	open	—	01-29 03:26
trump declassifies new ufo files by july 31 961	3	$903	700	700	+0	open	—	07-09 21:17
israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	4	$865	2,067	2,067	+0	open	—	08-02 03:35
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	5	$771	580	580	+0	open	—	07-27 13:59
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	19	$760	1,569	1,569	+0	open	—	03-29 23:33
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	5	$720	1,800	1,800	-0	open	—	07-26 03:17
will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	7	$695	460	460	+0	open	—	07-14 20:41
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	2	$673	570	570	+0	open	—	07-23 06:00
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	4	$651	444	356	+89	open	—	05-08 10:02
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	3	$648	1,450	0	+1,450	open	—	06-18 05:59
will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231	15	$585	1,480	0	+1,480	open	—	07-22 17:28
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	5	$574	700	700	+0	open	—	01-13 05:26
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	3	$567	930	930	+0	open	—	07-26 03:20
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	2	$561	141	622	-482	open	—	01-19 09:51
iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	12	$557	470	470	+0	open	—	07-20 10:08
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	9	$498	668	668	+0	open	—	05-29 16:46
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	2	$496	800	800	+0	open	—	08-06 01:27
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	12	$490	1,679	879	+800	open	—	04-30 05:12
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	4	$487	380	380	+0	open	—	05-22 21:31
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	2	$479	360	360	+0	open	—	08-09 15:31
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 5 748 625	2	$477	340	340	+0	open	—	03-05 02:16
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	6	$474	354	354	+0	open	—	04-20 14:45
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	2	$464	320	320	+0	open	—	08-05 14:32
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	4	$459	300	300	+0	open	—	06-29 08:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	34	$443	530	190	+340	open	—	05-06 06:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 14:52:25	iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885	Yes	BUY	41	30¢	$12	0x08e628…
08-10 11:47:18	ethereum above 2000 on august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	1,019	0¢	$4	0xa6ec19…
08-10 11:47:09	ethereum above 2000 on august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	848	0¢	$3	0xe219d7…
08-10 11:19:40	ethereum above 2000 on august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$2	0x2167f6…
08-10 11:08:34	ethereum above 2000 on august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xc4861a…
08-10 10:57:03	ethereum above 2000 on august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	171	0¢	$1	0x32faa7…
08-10 10:54:10	ethereum above 2000 on august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0x35cfd7…
08-10 10:53:10	ethereum above 2000 on august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0x5e7ef0…
08-10 10:50:09	ethereum above 2000 on august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	17	0¢	$0	0xea2c05…
08-10 08:51:51	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	126	13¢	$16	0xdf3b75…
08-10 08:51:48	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	635	13¢	$83	0x0507c4…
08-10 08:51:46	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	2	13¢	$0	0x9e15d3…
08-10 08:51:45	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	4	13¢	$1	0x960e48…
08-10 08:51:43	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	2	13¢	$0	0xe502cd…
08-10 03:14:21	will xauusd reach 4600 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	1,060	28¢	$298	0x4c41b0…
08-09 19:14:39	Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0x654bd0…
08-09 19:14:37	Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	BUY	83	70¢	$58	0x73ce44…
08-09 15:31:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	360	80¢	$288	0xedf209…
08-08 23:53:15	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	188	15¢	$28	0x56c921…
08-08 13:37:33	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xdd80b1…
08-08 13:37:10	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xdc2f66…
08-08 04:20:00	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x0f0bd0…
08-08 04:03:40	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x3af15a…
08-08 03:36:51	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$1	0x3ba753…
08-07 20:51:16	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0xc8e6c3…
08-07 18:06:12	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	15¢	$8	0x42c5f6…
08-07 11:22:16	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	15¢	$3	0xfce23e…
08-07 08:58:27	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by august 31	Yes	BUY	256	33¢	$85	0xb1014e…
08-07 07:02:10	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by august 31	Yes	BUY	37	33¢	$12	0xe5e5cc…
08-07 03:41:27	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by august 31	Yes	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x697095…
08-07 01:59:58	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0xdf35b6…
08-07 01:54:01	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	319	15¢	$48	0x849424…
08-06 16:49:08	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xf7e8de…
08-06 16:49:02	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,200	15¢	$180	0xaa810a…
08-06 15:18:32	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	68	15¢	$10	0x2c596e…
08-06 13:04:00	grok 4pt6 released by august 14 2026 20260804192931964	No	BUY	316	4¢	$13	0xf7d803…
08-06 10:29:15	will the next grok model 4pt6 debut at a score of at least 1480 by december 31 2026 20260804194832577	No	BUY	141	81¢	$114	0x4b44b4…
08-06 08:40:14	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	13	44¢	$6	0xb2c1f5…
08-06 08:40:12	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	28	44¢	$12	0xd32464…
08-06 08:38:39	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	No	BUY	41	56¢	$23	0x3185b6…
08-06 02:19:56	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495	No	SELL	0	33¢	$0	0xd267dc…
08-06 02:19:45	nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	6	12¢	$1	0x846bb3…
08-06 02:17:06	russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	990	3¢	$35	0xa6c930…
08-06 01:27:44	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	800	24¢	$192	0x80e4b7…
08-05 14:32:03	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	320	85¢	$272	0xd79082…
08-05 03:29:00	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495	No	BUY	333	50¢	$166	0x7a0a6a…
08-04 15:53:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	561	36¢	$202	0x980b31…
08-04 15:53:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	800	19¢	$152	0xd5315e…
08-04 09:29:51	nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0xa703ad…
08-04 08:26:03	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	413	11¢	$45	0xe96c79…
08-04 07:50:18	nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	26	13¢	$3	0x633e1b…
08-03 22:39:57	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x7397a9…
08-03 22:39:57	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x67233a…
08-03 22:39:56	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495	No	BUY	27	49¢	$13	0x8247b9…
08-03 10:31:41	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	800	12¢	$96	0x718070…
08-03 04:45:41	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	320	60¢	$192	0xcc80dd…
08-02 07:28:42	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	360	53¢	$191	0xde3f25…
08-02 03:35:21	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	SELL	1,400	12¢	$169	0xdbb35d…
08-02 03:10:27	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	1,400	14¢	$196	0xac33db…
08-01 07:00:39	Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0x822271…
08-01 07:00:38	Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	BUY	4	70¢	$2	0x3d5d7f…
08-01 02:56:36	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	No	SELL	136	65¢	$88	0xbf70a9…
08-01 02:46:03	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	500	39¢	$195	0xb15d38…
08-01 02:04:32	will israel election happen as scheduled 20260720204824362	No	SELL	430	8¢	$36	0x05ccfb…
07-31 15:27:17	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	7	9¢	$1	0x991a46…
07-31 15:17:26	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	257	9¢	$23	0x2b3ece…
07-31 15:00:03	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0x894ec5…
07-31 15:00:00	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	224	9¢	$20	0x732251…
07-31 08:22:03	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	1,000	9¢	$90	0xd346a9…
07-31 07:04:03	situational awareness raises new capital by august 31 20260730182353379	No	BUY	270	69¢	$186	0x3874f7…
07-31 02:32:47	grvt fdv above 250m one day after launch	No	SELL	501	22¢	$111	0xc082c1…
07-30 14:35:18	grvt fdv above 250m one day after launch	No	BUY	248	37¢	$92	0xb58974…
07-30 14:32:15	grvt fdv above 250m one day after launch	No	BUY	253	36¢	$92	0x359024…
07-30 14:07:30	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	SELL	667	30¢	$200	0x864889…
07-30 09:07:44	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	SELL	820	35¢	$285	0x99667e…
07-30 04:13:23	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	820	11¢	$92	0x8fe996…
07-30 03:43:08	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	No	BUY	136	67¢	$91	0x328039…
07-30 02:30:30	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,050	12¢	$126	0x71bde2…
07-28 05:12:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	250	44¢	$110	0x4de60a…
07-28 04:07:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	290	44¢	$127	0xa4f596…
07-27 13:59:54	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	580	75¢	$435	0xc7b846…
07-27 10:53:42	will israel election happen as scheduled 20260720204824362	No	BUY	430	10¢	$43	0x6cb409…
07-27 10:47:12	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	413	11¢	$45	0x820448…
07-27 08:56:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	21	43¢	$9	0xf4d82c…
07-27 08:24:03	Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	BUY	144	68¢	$98	0xc73988…
07-27 07:22:25	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,200	89¢	$1,068	0x265864…
07-26 07:19:04	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	SELL	400	9¢	$36	0xa801e7…
07-26 03:20:46	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	Yes	SELL	930	25¢	$233	0x7c2143…
07-26 03:17:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,800	23¢	$414	0x368ca2…
07-25 10:25:15	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	212	16¢	$34	0x3fc07a…
07-25 09:46:09	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0xe81a3d…
07-24 15:06:28	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	327	58¢	$190	0xa18771…
07-24 13:40:12	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	48	58¢	$28	0x088625…
07-24 13:39:03	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	200	58¢	$116	0xc39eb9…
07-24 12:28:01	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x29d204…
07-23 13:50:04	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	Yes	BUY	319	36¢	$115	0x96a8b2…
07-23 13:50:03	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	Yes	BUY	611	36¢	$220	0x07d824…
07-23 12:53:31	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	209	16¢	$34	0x850f0d…
07-23 11:26:58	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	169	16¢	$27	0xdf0aee…
07-23 07:05:36	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	667	45¢	$300	0x03554e…