Palatable-Comprehension — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5.13K

Unrealized P&L

+$1.87K

Hit rate

91.2%

Resolved

Trades

246

lifetime

Volume

$408.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.66K

Open exposure

$26.8K

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-05

last 09-04 14:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Other

71% 75% +$5,437

Crypto

29% 83% -$1,289

Sports

0% 44% +$984

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	+21,250	$19,300	99¢	$21.1K	+$1,769	07-31 09:31
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	+3,547	$3,369	95¢	$3.4K	-$4	08-24 00:35
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	+2,500	$2,250	94¢	$2.4K	+$105	08-25 09:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	96	$195.1K	105,405	105,405	+0	No	+$4,813	06-28 00:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	19	$36.8K	18,684	18,684	+0	No	+$463	04-30 09:56
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	39	$28.3K	22,058	11,029	+11,029	Yes	+$1,900	03-31 12:31
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	23	$28.0K	17,483	11,386	+6,097	Yes	+$288	03-06 20:40
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	5	$21.2K	13,548	13,548	+0	No	-$3,788	04-30 22:42
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	12	$19.3K	21,250	0	+21,250	open	—	07-31 09:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$15.0K	15,338	0	+15,338	No	+$338	05-25 21:48
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	6	$10.8K	10,927	0	+10,927	Yes	+$98	03-15 13:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	1	$10.3K	11,000	0	+11,000	No	+$660	04-30 22:43
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	2	$10.0K	5,263	5,263	+0	Argentina	-$18	07-04 00:32
megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	1	$5.0K	5,171	0	+5,171	No	+$171	04-30 09:56
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	2	$4.9K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	+$65	03-06 14:07
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$4.9K	5,000	0	+5,000	Yes	+$75	03-24 05:50
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	7	$4.8K	2,500	2,500	+0	No	+$180	07-03 06:46
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?	1	$3.4K	3,547	0	+3,547	open	—	08-24 00:35
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	1	$2.3K	2,500	0	+2,500	Yes	+$225	04-23 15:50
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	3	$2.2K	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	08-25 09:31
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	4	$2.2K	1,948	974	+974	Yes	+$531	07-03 23:57
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$1.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	No	-$1,000	09-03 09:50
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	1	$1000	1,347	0	+1,347	No	-$1,000	04-29 02:20
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	1	$300	448	0	+448	Argentina	+$148	07-07 16:46
UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Main Card)	1	$231	1,444	0	+1,444	Song Yadong	+$1,213	08-29 01:53
ufc die bil1 2026 08 08	1	$195	500	0	+500	Diego Ferreira	-$195	08-09 01:02
ufc mat10 qui2 2026 08 08	1	$145	250	0	+250	Quillan Salkilld	+$105	08-09 01:14
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$120	1,715	0	+1,715	No	-$120	07-07 16:45
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$120	5,181	0	+5,181	No	-$120	07-08 07:37
ufc pad ben8 2026 07 11	1	$100	172	0	+172	Paddy Pimblett	-$100	07-09 01:00
ufc wan2 tra 2026 07 11	1	$100	192	0	+192	Wang Cong	+$92	07-09 01:01
ufc bra6 lon 2026 07 11	1	$100	294	0	+294	Brandon Royval	+$194	07-09 01:01
ufc cod1 adr 2026 07 11	1	$100	128	0	+128	Adrian Yanez	+$28	07-09 01:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-04 14:04:51	Will Mariano Navone win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$12	0x39594f…
09-03 09:50:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,000	50¢	$1,000	0x9ec92f…
08-29 01:54:34	ufc celiu lev1 2026 08 29	Levi Rodrigues Jr.	BUY	239	38¢	$91	0x23f681…
08-29 01:53:12	UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Song Yadong	BUY	1,444	16¢	$231	0xe340e5…
08-25 09:31:04	Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xff81d9…
08-24 09:06:48	Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xf873d7…
08-24 09:06:45	Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	2,482	90¢	$2,234	0xd7a352…
08-24 00:35:22	Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	3,547	95¢	$3,369	0x1a8ab5…
08-09 01:14:36	ufc mat10 qui2 2026 08 08	Quillan Salkilld	BUY	250	58¢	$145	0x94cea7…
08-09 01:02:25	ufc die bil1 2026 08 08	Billy Quarantillo	BUY	500	39¢	$195	0x4ebb11…
07-31 09:31:12	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1,000	86¢	$860	0xf736d3…
07-31 00:35:03	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	90	88¢	$79	0x84b94a…
07-24 16:16:15	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	160	88¢	$141	0x2db5aa…
07-24 02:26:55	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	11,086	91¢	$10,099	0xcb3126…
07-23 07:57:18	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	14	91¢	$13	0x6071bf…
07-22 21:11:57	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	4,231	91¢	$3,854	0xeacdfc…
07-20 03:24:49	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	18	91¢	$16	0xfa56fe…
07-20 03:24:46	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	3,000	91¢	$2,733	0xde46de…
07-20 03:24:39	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x8ba40b…
07-20 03:24:37	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	97	91¢	$88	0xb945be…
07-20 03:24:36	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1,348	91¢	$1,228	0x27815f…
07-19 03:38:57	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	194	91¢	$177	0x83df5e…
07-09 01:01:34	ufc cod1 adr 2026 07 11	Adrian Yanez	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0xa009db…
07-09 01:01:17	ufc bra6 lon 2026 07 11	Brandon Royval	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0xd7528b…
07-09 01:01:05	ufc wan2 tra 2026 07 11	Wang Cong	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x54cba7…
07-09 01:00:47	ufc pad ben8 2026 07 11	Benoît Saint Denis	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0xc930bb…
07-09 01:00:37	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x0a7cff…
07-08 07:38:05	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	968	3¢	$30	0x58e6e8…
07-08 07:37:49	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	833	2¢	$20	0x90ef64…
07-07 16:46:59	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	448	67¢	$300	0x8b9a25…
07-07 16:45:53	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,500	1¢	$30	0xea37cf…
07-07 16:45:38	Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,143	1¢	$15	0xe1b31b…
07-07 16:45:10	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,715	7¢	$120	0x62befe…
07-07 16:44:46	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	4,348	2¢	$100	0x0bf79d…
07-04 00:32:10	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	5,263	95¢	$4,982	0xa1b396…
07-04 00:12:52	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	5,263	95¢	$5,000	0x5cd818…
07-03 23:57:05	Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	974	88¢	$857	0xf1a4c6…
07-03 23:50:31	Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1,471	68¢	$1,000	0xe92236…
07-03 23:49:44	Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x8815ca…
07-03 23:47:38	Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	328	61¢	$200	0xfb0ef8…
07-03 06:46:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	2,500	99¢	$2,480	0x275805…
06-28 20:33:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	482	92¢	$444	0xf83b45…
06-28 20:31:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	130	92¢	$119	0x295570…
06-28 02:39:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0x9f9c1f…
06-28 02:36:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x9a2105…
06-28 02:12:35	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	1,096	92¢	$1,008	0x8eea68…
06-28 02:08:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	758	92¢	$697	0x3e0c1c…
06-28 00:28:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	92	98¢	$90	0x7d8324…
06-28 00:24:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	2,428	98¢	$2,385	0xcd8eb2…
06-28 00:15:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	182	98¢	$179	0x3d2c8b…
06-28 00:01:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0xc4a790…
06-27 23:53:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0xa1452f…
06-27 23:40:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	7,000	98¢	$6,874	0xc9b0a4…
06-27 23:39:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x92dcd8…
06-27 23:39:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xd2ecfd…
06-27 23:37:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	524	98¢	$514	0x5fb2ac…
06-27 23:17:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x4b1a31…
06-27 23:16:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	93	98¢	$91	0x44e414…
06-27 23:16:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	2,592	98¢	$2,546	0x6b9163…
06-26 07:37:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	250	86¢	$215	0x4bcfa3…
06-26 07:32:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	239	87¢	$208	0x93239f…
06-25 22:47:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	12,511	96¢	$12,000	0x3a55e3…
06-25 17:58:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	5,297	94¢	$4,979	0x533530…
06-25 17:58:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	75	94¢	$70	0xf25d07…
06-25 17:58:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	10,883	94¢	$10,230	0x99458b…
06-25 17:56:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1,057	94¢	$994	0xc28486…
06-25 17:56:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	3,655	94¢	$3,436	0xba953f…
06-25 17:52:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	91	94¢	$86	0xd4dd99…
06-25 15:36:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	30	94¢	$28	0xa71609…
06-25 10:37:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	15,000	93¢	$13,950	0xf29ead…
06-24 10:45:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x3983f9…
06-24 10:44:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x08ab43…
06-24 10:43:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	138	98¢	$135	0xce835e…
06-24 10:43:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	148	98¢	$144	0xf4d924…
06-24 10:40:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x50bfbd…
06-24 10:39:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xa8e40f…
06-24 10:39:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x7ff08e…
06-24 10:37:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x5756df…
06-24 10:37:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	2,025	98¢	$1,974	0x74d322…
06-24 10:37:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xe21655…
06-24 10:37:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	8,099	98¢	$7,897	0x1f9b25…
06-24 10:36:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	7,828	98¢	$7,632	0xb4580e…
06-22 00:50:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	3,566	95¢	$3,388	0x0e1c89…
06-22 00:47:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	80	95¢	$76	0xee4eb3…
06-22 00:47:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	80	95¢	$76	0x680491…
06-22 00:32:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x682972…
06-22 00:22:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	529	95¢	$502	0xf877e2…
06-22 00:21:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	62	95¢	$59	0xc8fdea…
06-22 00:21:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x1946fc…
06-22 00:21:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x6fdaab…
06-22 00:21:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x35e4e5…
06-22 00:21:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x335a86…
06-22 00:21:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x0098b9…
06-22 00:16:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	105	95¢	$100	0x5e64d4…
06-22 00:16:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	29	95¢	$27	0x47e8f6…
06-22 00:08:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	211	95¢	$200	0x44dd66…
06-22 00:06:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	37	95¢	$35	0x566778…
06-22 00:03:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	190	95¢	$180	0x6c5684…
06-22 00:03:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	107	95¢	$102	0x4967fc…
06-22 00:03:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	93	95¢	$88	0x05c715…