Realized P&L
+$804
Unrealized P&L
+$94
Hit rate
95.6%
Resolved
196
Trades
997
lifetime
Volume
$155.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$155
Open exposure
$10.5K
19 positions
First seen
2026-04-19
last 10-28 09:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 38 days
Categories
Other
48% 97% +$736
Crypto
44% 92% -$285
Politics
4% 100% +$65
Sports
2% 70% +$293
Tech
1% 75% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
62 active days in 12wk • peak 131 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +2,179 $2,098 99¢ $2.2K +$68 10-27 13:14
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? Yes +2,000 $1,860 92¢ $1.8K -$30 10-28 10:38
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +1,701 $1,627 99¢ $1.7K +$57 10-27 20:48
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +1,000 $960 96¢ $955 -$5 10-28 11:11
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +819 $797 97¢ $797 $0 10-22 13:00
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +500 $491 100¢ $498 +$7 10-27 13:12
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch? No +500 $491 97¢ $483 -$8 10-21 19:33
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 No +475 $463 98¢ $463 $0 10-26 03:04
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +396 $379 94¢ $372 -$7 10-28 09:27
Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +400 $369 90¢ $361 -$8 10-27 10:18
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? No +300 $273 98¢ $293 +$20 08-19 13:37
Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +300 $276 89¢ $267 -$9 10-20 10:56
Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +128 $126 99¢ $126 +$0 10-28 07:22
StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +124 $121 98¢ $122 +$1 10-22 13:00
Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +68 $66 98¢ $66 +$1 10-25 17:07
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +40 $30 99¢ $39 +$9 10-20 04:41
StandX FDV above $5B one day after launch? No +14 $14 98¢ $14 +$0 10-22 17:47
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +100 $2 0¢ $0 -$2 09-09 13:25
Abstract FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +0 -$1 97¢ $0 +$1 10-26 02:32