Original-Knee 0xb0fcea…6ece0b
whale hot 5W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$14.5K
Unrealized P&L
+$12.0K
Hit rate
74.8%
Resolved
132
Trades
8,998
lifetime
Volume
$1.03M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$114
Open exposure
$34.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-27 02:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 45 days
Categories
Other
91% 61% +$12,366
Tech
5% 38% +$2,604
Politics
3% 80% -$263
Crypto
2% 75% -$174
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 188 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -7,134 -$6,295 86¢ $-6113 +$181 07-06 20:36
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? Yes +5,134 $2,029 71¢ $3.6K +$1,614 10-15 11:42
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? Yes +3,969 $1,495 91¢ $3.6K +$2,107 10-25 15:00
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? No +3,552 $2,787 70¢ $2.5K -$318 10-27 01:48
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +9,521 $3,125 24¢ $2.2K -$888 10-25 08:15
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? No +2,812 $2,263 69¢ $1.9K -$317 10-24 14:14
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T? Yes — +7,871 $684 22¢ $1.7K +$1,044 10-27 02:12
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? Yes +4,253 $1,668 38¢ $1.6K -$50 10-23 18:24
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? No +1,833 $1,399 80¢ $1.5K +$72 10-23 21:11
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.0T? Yes +9,345 $1,330 16¢ $1.4K +$118 10-26 13:46
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.5T? Yes +5,317 -$180 21¢ $1.1K +$1,299 10-26 19:48
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +1,536 $1,076 73¢ $1.1K +$38 10-24 15:01
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +3,408 -$2,118 30¢ $1.0K +$3,157 10-26 16:01
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +2,013 $1,243 41¢ $833 -$410 10-14 12:59
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? Yes +4,251 -$74 14¢ $574 +$648 10-26 14:45
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? Yes +646 $510 73¢ $473 -$37 10-13 09:42
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? No +1,579 $336 25¢ $392 +$55 10-15 11:46
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? No +1,492 $475 24¢ $365 -$109 10-13 16:09
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? No +1,270 $307 27¢ $340 +$33 10-22 20:37
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +1,417 -$2,548 24¢ $339 +$2,887 10-27 02:05
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? No +2,586 $819 12¢ $297 -$522 10-21 19:31
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T? Yes +1,024 -$582 28¢ $288 +$870 10-22 20:18
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T? Yes +391 $256 68¢ $264 +$9 10-23 06:29
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +344 $267 76¢ $262 -$4 10-27 01:47
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? Yes +973 $313 18¢ $176 -$137 10-15 11:42
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? Yes +4,486 $188 3¢ $132 -$55 10-26 14:44
Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? Yes +1,616 -$528 7¢ $120 +$648 10-26 23:45
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T? No +160 $148 72¢ $115 -$33 09-16 10:03
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +440 $172 22¢ $95 -$77 09-12 22:41
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? No +110 -$107 83¢ $92 +$198 10-26 22:40