Determined-Emanate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$449

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.3%

Resolved

133

Trades

673

lifetime

Volume

$7.57K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 10-23 07:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 74 days

Categories

Politics

83% 8% +$588

Other

14% 3% -$845

Crypto

3% 5% -$166

Sports

0% 0% -$13

Tech

0% 0% -$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 379 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	4	$2.7K	6,727	3,744	+2,983	No	+$2,335	05-25 03:27
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	10	$646	110,605	30,916	+79,688	No	-$225	05-21 22:47
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	5	$425	31,351	31,351	+0	No	+$301	05-19 01:08
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	4	$313	8,335	0	+8,335	Yes	-$313	05-31 18:08
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	4	$299	544	544	+0	Yes	-$136	05-14 03:08
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)	3	$205	5,553	0	+5,553	No	-$205	05-18 23:41
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	2	$189	2,144	2,144	+0	No	-$56	05-28 19:58
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	5	$186	4,545	0	+4,545	No	-$186	05-24 07:23
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	3	$140	1,234	1,234	+0	No	+$0	05-25 16:58
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	4	$133	7,162	0	+7,162	Yes	-$133	05-28 21:35
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on april 24	3	$111	92	90	+2	Yes	-$27	04-24 15:58
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	1	$111	1,114	0	+1,114	No	-$111	06-10 19:26
iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	1	$111	519	0	+519	No	-$111	07-08 21:07
Will Trump announce new sanctions on China?	2	$107	1,138	0	+1,138	No	-$107	05-22 08:18
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	2	$102	960	960	+0	No	+$2	05-26 03:45
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	2	$99	278	278	+0	No	-$1	05-23 20:37
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	2	$95	4,140	0	+4,140	No	-$95	05-30 07:07
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	1	$79	78,970	0	+78,970	Yes	-$79	04-18 20:12
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	8	$77	23,078	0	+23,078	No	-$77	04-30 20:09
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	1	$77	958	0	+958	No	-$77	05-29 18:56
Trump kiss by May 31?	2	$62	62,000	0	+62,000	Yes	-$62	05-21 22:46
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	1	$50	347	0	+347	No	-$50	05-23 16:11
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	1	$50	1,597	0	+1,597	No	-$50	05-23 16:56
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$50	348	0	+348	No	-$50	05-24 13:14
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$46	3,761	3,761	+0	No	+$29	05-19 01:09
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$42	9,793	0	+9,793	No	-$42	06-03 17:34
will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on april 24	2	$40	90	0	+90	No	-$40	04-24 15:59
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?	2	$39	26	26	+0	Yes	+$13	05-15 19:11
Will Qatar recognize Israel by June 30?	2	$38	331	331	+0	No	-$22	05-29 18:56
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?	1	$35	1,839	0	+1,839	No	-$35	05-27 10:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 07:27:24	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	2,300	0¢	$2	0xb37c49…
10-23 07:23:33	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	3,300	0¢	$3	0xb3a3fd…
10-22 03:25:21	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 22, 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xf0cade…
10-20 23:33:36	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 20?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x682de7…
10-20 22:35:45	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 20?	Yes	BUY	1,959	0¢	$2	0x7525f0…
10-20 21:16:06	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 20?	Yes	BUY	41	0¢	$0	0xb26b42…
10-18 13:02:33	NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0x665ce1…
10-17 19:42:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	No	BUY	1,300	1¢	$13	0x029194…
10-16 19:09:02	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	No	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0x602e73…
10-14 23:34:57	will trump say waitress this week 20261018	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xc078b6…
10-14 22:57:10	will trump say swim this week 20261018	No	BUY	780	0¢	$1	0x3b3043…
10-14 22:40:03	will trump say swim this week 20261018	No	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x402ba0…
10-14 22:28:27	Will Trump say "Handsome" this week?	No	BUY	250	0¢	$0	0x2f25eb…
10-14 22:28:25	Will Trump say "Handsome" this week?	No	BUY	350	0¢	$0	0x842f4f…
10-14 22:13:01	Will Trump say "Handsome" this week?	No	BUY	300	0¢	$0	0x586e6b…
10-14 22:05:25	Will Trump say "Handsome" this week?	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x0aed03…
10-14 22:05:06	will trump say swim this week 20261018	No	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x415370…
10-14 22:04:07	will trump say swim this week 20261018	No	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x786066…
10-14 12:50:59	will trump say ammunition this week 20261011	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0x32440a…
10-14 08:15:10	Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?	Yes	BUY	660	0¢	$1	0x85e876…
10-14 08:13:59	Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?	Yes	BUY	1,340	0¢	$1	0xf61d6b…
10-14 08:07:37	Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xed6de5…
10-13 23:01:16	NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0xe29da1…
10-11 21:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	2,999	0¢	$3	0x51f530…
10-08 07:05:23	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xf843dc…
10-08 06:56:02	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xf19322…
10-08 06:38:44	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 5?	No	BUY	605	0¢	$1	0xa1abee…
10-08 06:38:08	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 5?	No	BUY	395	0¢	$0	0xbf8181…
10-05 21:35:44	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?	Down	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0xbcdc06…
10-05 19:14:13	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?	Down	BUY	2,950	0¢	$6	0x54d4a8…
10-05 12:52:47	Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0x265274…
10-05 12:52:11	Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0xe86218…
09-29 21:58:42	trump renames ai by september 30	No	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0xcabae3…
09-29 18:27:48	Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0x156644…
09-28 15:54:42	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x41d101…
09-28 12:38:59	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x1ab923…
09-28 09:55:00	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?	Yes	BUY	2,769	0¢	$3	0x388526…
09-27 20:42:12	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0x1597e9…
09-26 13:43:20	Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0x024c48…
09-23 21:27:49	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 3, 2026?	No	BUY	303	0¢	$0	0x38bbed…
09-23 21:15:07	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 3, 2026?	No	BUY	1,114	0¢	$1	0xb8928b…
09-23 21:11:34	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 3, 2026?	No	BUY	1,205	0¢	$1	0x22789b…
09-23 21:11:23	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 3, 2026?	No	BUY	377	0¢	$0	0x4e5984…
09-23 10:54:08	will trump and xi kiss at their summit 20260916	Yes	BUY	278	0¢	$1	0x9cb52c…
09-23 09:02:28	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	BUY	211	0¢	$1	0x8fa1ac…
09-23 06:22:56	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x75b07f…
09-23 03:15:13	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xc72160…
09-23 03:07:14	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x77fc82…
09-23 02:53:47	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x91c4ce…
09-22 22:31:04	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0x795ce4…
09-22 20:51:55	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	BUY	51	0¢	$0	0x10b8ee…
09-22 20:43:51	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	344	0¢	$1	0xb11024…
09-22 20:41:36	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,656	0¢	$7	0xeeb362…
09-22 15:47:25	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	BUY	1,400	0¢	$7	0x2b686f…
09-22 11:44:00	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x0699d9…
09-22 10:35:34	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x28871d…
09-22 08:44:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 08:40 UTC	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xe39758…
09-22 08:44:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 08:40 UTC	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x3f9d50…
09-22 08:24:06	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x9dfd5a…
09-22 08:20:12	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x04f76e…
09-20 20:21:35	Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0x67daf6…
09-19 16:32:39	Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x725dc5…
09-18 21:20:01	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 18?	No	BUY	637	0¢	$3	0x858465…
09-18 21:09:16	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 18?	No	BUY	197	0¢	$1	0x4093b8…
09-18 21:03:37	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 18?	No	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0xe79013…
09-18 21:02:28	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 18?	No	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x9bdd3e…
09-18 21:02:27	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 18?	No	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x6e999f…
09-18 21:00:46	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 18?	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x4542f6…
09-18 20:58:34	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 18?	No	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0xf87215…
09-18 07:18:34	Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?	Yes	BUY	3,259	0¢	$3	0x12df4c…
09-17 19:59:15	Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?	Yes	BUY	4,000	0¢	$4	0xe4ec4a…
09-16 07:41:25	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0xeb1976…
09-06 22:19:24	Iran successfully targets shipping by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4,000	0¢	$4	0x7ab2bc…
09-02 19:17:04	Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?	Yes	BUY	2,660	0¢	$3	0x895d0b…
09-02 12:32:34	Will Trump praise Bryson DeChambeau in August?	No	BUY	2,708	0¢	$3	0x621c9b…
09-02 12:30:24	Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?	No	BUY	4,956	0¢	$5	0x674681…
09-02 12:12:57	Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?	No	BUY	44	0¢	$0	0x8847a7…
09-02 11:47:21	Will Trump praise Bryson DeChambeau in August?	No	BUY	292	0¢	$0	0xeb4783…
09-01 23:44:22	Will Trump praise Bryson DeChambeau in August?	No	BUY	1,448	1¢	$10	0xc62433…
09-01 11:47:42	Will Julian Alvarez join Manchester City?	Yes	BUY	834	0¢	$1	0x3843f5…
09-01 04:53:54	Iran full airspace closure by August 31?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xff81b5…
09-01 04:53:54	Iran full airspace closure by August 31?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xfa8a0e…
09-01 04:53:54	Iran full airspace closure by August 31?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xf82463…
09-01 04:53:54	Iran full airspace closure by August 31?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xf3138a…
09-01 04:53:54	Iran full airspace closure by August 31?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xefb36b…
09-01 04:53:54	Iran full airspace closure by August 31?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xee55a1…
09-01 04:53:54	Iran full airspace closure by August 31?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xed1c4c…
09-01 04:53:54	Iran full airspace closure by August 31?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xec8b34…
09-01 04:53:54	Iran full airspace closure by August 31?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xeb194e…
09-01 04:53:54	Iran full airspace closure by August 31?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xeb0917…
09-01 04:53:54	Iran full airspace closure by August 31?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xea8fef…
09-01 04:53:54	Iran full airspace closure by August 31?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xea73d4…
09-01 04:53:54	Iran full airspace closure by August 31?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xe84099…
09-01 04:53:54	Iran full airspace closure by August 31?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xe75eb6…
09-01 04:53:54	Iran full airspace closure by August 31?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xe6fa51…
09-01 04:53:54	Iran full airspace closure by August 31?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xe609b0…
09-01 04:53:54	Iran full airspace closure by August 31?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xe5bb08…
09-01 04:53:54	Iran full airspace closure by August 31?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xe3ae09…
09-01 04:53:54	Iran full airspace closure by August 31?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xe33227…
09-01 04:53:54	Iran full airspace closure by August 31?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xe13405…