Determined-Emanate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$48

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

12.0%

Resolved

Trades

194

lifetime

Volume

$7.20K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$37

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 07-23 00:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

84% — —

Other

13% 33% $-41

Crypto

3% 0% $-7

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	4	$2.7K	6,727	3,744	+2,983	open	—	05-25 03:27
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	10	$646	110,605	30,916	+79,688	open	—	05-21 22:47
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	5	$425	31,351	31,351	+0	open	—	05-19 01:08
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	4	$313	8,335	0	+8,335	open	—	05-31 18:08
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	4	$299	544	544	+0	open	—	05-14 03:08
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)	3	$205	5,553	0	+5,553	open	—	05-18 23:41
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	2	$189	2,144	2,144	+0	open	—	05-28 19:58
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	5	$186	4,545	0	+4,545	open	—	05-24 07:23
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	3	$140	1,234	1,234	+0	open	—	05-25 16:58
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	4	$133	7,162	0	+7,162	open	—	05-28 21:35
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on april 24	3	$111	92	90	+2	open	—	04-24 15:58
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	1	$111	1,114	0	+1,114	open	—	06-10 19:26
iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	1	$111	519	0	+519	open	—	07-08 21:07
Will Trump announce new sanctions on China?	2	$107	1,138	0	+1,138	open	—	05-22 08:18
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	2	$102	960	960	+0	open	—	05-26 03:45
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	2	$95	4,140	0	+4,140	open	—	05-30 07:07
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	1	$79	78,970	0	+78,970	open	—	04-18 20:12
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	8	$77	23,078	0	+23,078	open	—	04-30 20:09
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	1	$77	958	0	+958	open	—	05-29 18:56
Trump kiss by May 31?	2	$62	62,000	0	+62,000	open	—	05-21 22:46
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	1	$50	278	0	+278	open	—	05-23 11:04
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	1	$50	347	0	+347	open	—	05-23 16:11
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	1	$50	1,597	0	+1,597	open	—	05-23 16:56
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$50	348	0	+348	open	—	05-24 13:14
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$46	3,761	3,761	+0	open	—	05-19 01:09
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$42	9,793	0	+9,793	open	—	06-03 17:34
will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on april 24	2	$40	90	0	+90	open	—	04-24 15:59
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?	2	$39	26	26	+0	open	—	05-15 19:11
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?	1	$35	1,839	0	+1,839	open	—	05-27 10:30
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	1	$34	16,760	0	+16,760	Yes	$-34	05-03 23:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 00:26:36	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	8,698	0¢	$9	0xa8de19…
07-08 21:07:53	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	BUY	519	21¢	$111	0xbf51d5…
07-07 23:46:01	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	7,000	0¢	$7	0x17ca06…
07-05 00:00:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	7,000	0¢	$7	0x26ace0…
07-04 23:19:10	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	7,000	0¢	$7	0xb459e3…
07-02 23:53:14	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	Yes	BUY	6,960	0¢	$7	0x7afb73…
06-30 22:57:04	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,460	0¢	$1	0xdafb95…
06-30 22:56:13	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,528	0¢	$2	0xbc6746…
06-28 12:22:49	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3,840	0¢	$8	0x471dec…
06-28 12:22:22	will trump say mutilation during faith freedom coalition conference 20260626142533762	Yes	BUY	7,000	0¢	$7	0xb66f27…
06-21 09:13:02	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,528	2¢	$29	0xa3346f…
06-18 22:33:28	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	Yes	BUY	563	2¢	$11	0x211b9a…
06-18 22:19:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	Yes	BUY	970	2¢	$22	0x977971…
06-18 12:37:20	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	No	BUY	10,650	0¢	$11	0xbb1221…
06-16 23:10:53	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	3,139	1¢	$22	0x061859…
06-16 22:01:17	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	BUY	5,492	0¢	$22	0x085aa5…
06-15 09:47:07	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	Yes	BUY	4,161	1¢	$33	0x8d66c4…
06-12 19:06:15	spacex ipo will elon musk ring the bell 20260608201006493	Yes	BUY	2,702	0¢	$10	0x5813f3…
06-11 08:55:45	will trump restart project freedom by june 30	No	BUY	10,710	0¢	$11	0xd8d41a…
06-10 19:26:25	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	Yes	BUY	1,114	10¢	$111	0x6d9973…
06-08 16:27:09	iran closes its airspace by june 15	No	BUY	10,710	0¢	$11	0x9f8c6e…
06-08 11:08:07	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,338	1¢	$22	0xc45d84…
06-06 17:08:39	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	No	BUY	7,350	0¢	$7	0xfca81e…
06-06 12:28:00	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,554	1¢	$22	0x283aaa…
06-06 12:24:54	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,283	1¢	$22	0xecc87b…
06-05 23:35:54	will donald trump dance on june 5 2026 20260602150034328	No	BUY	1,130	2¢	$21	0x3f608a…
06-04 12:31:33	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	No	BUY	5,425	0¢	$11	0xba0ca1…
06-03 17:34:28	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,463	0¢	$10	0x4aee14…
06-01 22:37:43	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6,330	0¢	$32	0x1208c9…
05-31 18:08:03	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	2,166	0¢	$11	0x29fac5…
05-31 06:25:12	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	4,496	1¢	$45	0xa19ad4…
05-30 16:14:59	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	430	8¢	$33	0xe9fb53…
05-30 09:20:48	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	1,244	18¢	$225	0xd49052…
05-30 07:07:06	Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0x51031d…
05-30 07:06:24	Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,105	2¢	$94	0x591540…
05-29 18:56:58	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	BUY	958	8¢	$77	0x896212…
05-29 18:56:18	Will Qatar recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	331	2¢	$8	0x0b070b…
05-28 21:35:56	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	3,333	0¢	$10	0x275bfc…
05-28 19:58:19	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	SELL	2,144	3¢	$67	0x142e5a…
05-28 19:25:55	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	BUY	2,144	6¢	$123	0x8b2743…
05-28 04:51:47	Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	No	BUY	6,790	0¢	$7	0xd971b2…
05-27 11:42:52	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	Yes	BUY	7,470	0¢	$7	0x1bb924…
05-27 10:30:08	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,839	2¢	$35	0x359e46…
05-27 07:36:06	Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask?	Yes	BUY	4,286	1¢	$30	0x5044c2…
05-26 18:34:28	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	1,292	2¢	$23	0xa758f7…
05-26 16:21:13	Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x477964…
05-26 16:02:31	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0xb8d246…
05-26 11:48:32	Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on May 23?	No	BUY	4,000	0¢	$4	0x7b0cd2…
05-26 09:12:56	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	1,316	4¢	$50	0x807e42…
05-26 08:12:10	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	1,221	4¢	$50	0xf04952…
05-26 03:45:28	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	960	5¢	$52	0x7a7a90…
05-25 22:27:40	US Kamikaze Dolphins confirmed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	4,400	0¢	$20	0x83c848…
05-25 21:51:43	Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x356051…
05-25 16:58:26	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,234	6¢	$70	0x1f91e1…
05-25 03:27:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	1,317	4¢	$50	0xa2a72f…
05-24 15:08:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	1,667	6¢	$100	0x5f6bed…
05-24 13:14:39	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	348	14¢	$50	0xacb5fb…
05-24 12:22:27	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	236	8¢	$20	0x9581a1…
05-24 07:23:50	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	Yes	BUY	3,068	0¢	$10	0xcb9686…
05-23 18:09:29	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	997	5¢	$50	0x42c904…
05-23 16:56:03	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,597	3¢	$50	0xe08cc1…
05-23 16:11:43	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	347	14¢	$50	0xf7f2f0…
05-23 11:07:25	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	960	5¢	$50	0xfaf355…
05-23 11:04:32	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	Yes	BUY	278	18¢	$50	0xa31055…
05-23 09:21:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	3,744	68¢	$2,541	0xa7eda5…
05-23 04:21:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	3,744	1¢	$56	0x4d162a…
05-22 08:18:47	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x0c670d…
05-22 08:18:33	Will Trump announce new sanctions on China?	Yes	BUY	25	28¢	$7	0x3d0f41…
05-22 08:18:10	Will Trump announce new sanctions on China?	Yes	BUY	1,113	9¢	$100	0x7ba25b…
05-21 22:47:46	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	51,240	0¢	$51	0xdb4774…
05-21 22:46:39	Trump kiss by May 31?	No	BUY	56,000	0¢	$56	0xa4fb24…
05-21 06:02:37	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	Yes	BUY	605	9¢	$53	0x850351…
05-20 17:00:27	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	Yes	BUY	251	10¢	$26	0x7302b1…
05-20 16:50:01	Trump kiss by May 31?	No	BUY	6,000	0¢	$6	0x9fbd55…
05-20 07:50:28	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	4,240	0¢	$21	0x72da94…
05-19 21:52:47	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3,372	1¢	$32	0x7c3fd6…
05-19 10:10:42	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	Yes	BUY	19	9¢	$2	0xbf9202…
05-19 07:12:53	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	12,355	1¢	$173	0xb258dc…
05-19 01:09:10	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	3,761	1¢	$38	0x9f736b…
05-19 01:08:51	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	15,675	1¢	$149	0x24a3c2…
05-18 23:41:31	Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xcd9ae1…
05-18 19:56:41	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	965	2¢	$21	0xf379f3…
05-18 12:06:32	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	889	2¢	$21	0x565d95…
05-18 07:42:58	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	Yes	BUY	617	15¢	$95	0xd22eb8…
05-18 07:20:48	Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)	Yes	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0xf352a7…
05-18 07:16:18	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	10,000	1¢	$100	0x5b5c74…
05-18 06:56:25	Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)	Yes	BUY	303	33¢	$100	0x70b97d…
05-18 05:53:30	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	30,916	1¢	$211	0xea1cd7…
05-18 00:24:37	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	15,675	1¢	$214	0xb63ebe…
05-16 15:26:41	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	202	4¢	$7	0x090743…
05-15 19:49:18	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	582	4¢	$22	0x803d52…
05-15 19:14:57	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	361	1¢	$5	0xd04363…
05-15 19:14:43	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	714	1¢	$10	0xd69ee6…
05-15 19:14:38	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	769	1¢	$10	0xa52634…
05-15 19:11:15	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?	Yes	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x1d1fca…
05-15 17:10:21	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	3,400	0¢	$3	0xe9765f…
05-15 17:09:41	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	30,000	0¢	$30	0xd915e2…
05-15 17:07:59	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	30,000	0¢	$30	0xd3ed83…
05-15 16:20:46	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?	Yes	BUY	26	49¢	$13	0x8e99d5…
05-14 03:08:28	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	278	15¢	$42	0x80f363…