Glossy-Statute — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$45.6K

Unrealized P&L

+$65

Hit rate

76.1%

Resolved

1,803

Trades

18,237

lifetime

Volume

$1.70M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$93

Open exposure

$4.51K

7 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-28 16:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 258 days

Categories

Other

45% 58% +$19,356

Sports

41% 76% +$16,909

Politics

11% 63% +$11,374

Tech

1% 53% +$256

Crypto

1% 29% -$3,374

Pop-Culture

1% 89% +$1,030

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

79 active days in 12wk • peak 77 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?	Yes	+3,599	$3,441	99¢	$3.6K	+$131	10-28 16:07
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	+1,614	$686	44¢	$704	+$18	10-27 16:20
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?	No	+145	$93	84¢	$123	+$30	09-08 17:52
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	+683	$18	7¢	$46	+$28	09-03 21:33
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+250	$167	14¢	$34	-$134	09-08 18:10
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	-98	-$33	29¢	$-28	+$5	05-08 18:36
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	+53	$15	3¢	$2	-$13	07-25 03:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nhl sj edm 2026 01 29	98	$31.8K	25,373	25,373	+0	Oilers	+$2,321	01-30 04:41
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	180	$28.6K	26,274	25,605	+669	Yes	-$237	03-07 19:26
nhl wsh edm 2026 01 24	145	$24.7K	17,888	12,791	+5,097	Oilers	+$580	01-25 05:50
cbb ncst tx 2026 03 17	134	$20.1K	18,863	18,834	+29	Texas Longhorns	-$206	03-18 03:31
Sabres vs. Canadiens	187	$19.9K	21,299	21,299	+0	Sabres	+$296	05-17 01:52
netanyahu out by march 31 854	21	$19.5K	10,111	10,111	+0	No	+$183	03-19 17:13
Oilers vs. Ducks	151	$18.8K	22,216	12,994	+9,222	Ducks	+$1,127	04-27 04:48
nhl edm stl 2026 03 13	61	$18.5K	11,872	11,872	+0	Blues	+$317	03-14 02:41
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by february 6	160	$17.6K	10,986	12,293	-1,307	Yes	+$4,524	02-09 22:16
lol fly sr 2026 01 25	28	$16.8K	9,363	9,363	+0	FlyQuest	+$95	01-25 22:42
Wild vs. Avalanche	62	$16.7K	9,674	9,674	+0	Avalanche	-$883	05-14 03:09
nhl mon ott 2026 01 17	8	$16.3K	10,082	10,082	+0	Canadiens	+$3,791	01-18 03:00
nhl pit edm 2026 01 22	66	$15.6K	10,295	9,853	+442	Penguins	+$294	01-23 04:11
nba den por 2026 02 20	81	$14.4K	9,754	9,754	+0	Nuggets	+$116	02-21 04:24
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	8	$14.4K	8,100	8,100	+0	Yes	+$32	06-13 02:25
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	19	$14.3K	7,209	7,209	+0	No	+$21	01-02 01:05
Sabres vs. Canadiens	102	$13.7K	12,894	12,894	+0	Sabres	+$376	05-13 01:06
Oilers vs. Ducks	51	$13.4K	9,885	9,283	+602	Ducks	+$176	05-01 04:23
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	108	$13.4K	16,986	12,986	+4,000	No	-$2,930	06-04 00:13
cbb howrd umbc 2026 03 17	71	$13.4K	10,205	10,187	+18	Howard Bison	-$383	03-18 00:54
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	40	$12.9K	13,134	1,712	+11,422	Hurricanes	+$57	05-26 03:28
cbb lehi pvam 2026 03 18	108	$12.8K	16,364	11,111	+5,253	Prairie View A&M Panthers	-$590	03-19 00:32
fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 total 5pt5	16	$12.7K	6,406	6,406	+0	Over	+$45	06-18 23:53
nhl nj edm 2026 01 20	27	$12.6K	6,883	6,882	+0	Devils	+$30	01-21 06:04
Oilers vs. Ducks	81	$12.2K	11,371	7,864	+3,507	Ducks	+$113	04-25 04:46
cbb smu miaoh 2026 03 18	137	$11.7K	10,715	10,361	+354	Miami (OH) RedHawks	-$643	03-19 02:50
nhl van sj 2026 04 11	143	$11.6K	8,425	8,425	+0	Canucks	+$26	04-12 04:49
nhl edm las 2026 03 08	113	$11.2K	9,157	9,065	+92	Oilers	+$417	03-09 04:01
nhl ana edm 2026 04 22	169	$10.9K	11,448	11,310	+138	Ducks	+$263	04-23 04:36
lol fur c9 2026 03 08 game2	24	$10.6K	7,581	7,581	+0	FURIA Esports	+$589	03-08 20:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 16:34:37	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $16.5M and $18M?	Yes	SELL	70	2¢	$1	0x532198…
10-28 16:07:01	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?	Yes	BUY	2,240	99¢	$2,222	0xc539a1…
10-28 13:21:08	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	1,187	41¢	$487	0x22a32b…
10-28 05:59:59	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	22	44¢	$10	0x6d1af1…
10-28 05:56:13	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0xc0fc80…
10-28 05:56:01	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x9cd401…
10-28 05:45:46	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	79	44¢	$35	0x6ca197…
10-28 04:58:37	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	52	43¢	$22	0xdad723…
10-28 04:58:13	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	8	43¢	$3	0xe25993…
10-28 04:58:11	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	69	43¢	$30	0x231950…
10-28 04:58:02	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	34	43¢	$15	0xee73e5…
10-28 04:57:46	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	17	43¢	$7	0x4cbe7f…
10-28 04:57:04	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	13	43¢	$5	0x25d43b…
10-28 04:56:04	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	172	43¢	$74	0x3b29b3…
10-28 04:56:02	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0x2d7943…
10-28 04:55:59	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	424	43¢	$182	0xd3c001…
10-28 04:55:19	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	132	43¢	$57	0x83180e…
10-28 04:47:40	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	108	43¢	$47	0x22b9ab…
10-28 04:34:46	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	21	47¢	$10	0xb29a31…
10-28 04:33:43	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	21	44¢	$9	0x279400…
10-28 03:50:16	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	SELL	500	67¢	$335	0xcc80c9…
10-28 03:46:54	Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	40	76¢	$30	0xba19fb…
10-28 03:32:22	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?	Yes	BUY	60	99¢	$60	0x0b21f7…
10-27 20:34:20	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	751	70¢	$526	0xf798d9…
10-27 20:34:15	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	26	70¢	$18	0x6c386e…
10-27 20:34:15	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	96	70¢	$68	0x2ebbfa…
10-27 20:34:15	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	500	70¢	$350	0x01d550…
10-27 20:34:12	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	126	70¢	$88	0x95d957…
10-27 20:10:18	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	860	17¢	$146	0x1f232e…
10-27 20:08:20	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	672	15¢	$101	0xfd318f…
10-27 19:18:24	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	300	66¢	$198	0x217e3e…
10-27 19:16:29	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	300	67¢	$201	0xdd9d26…
10-27 19:16:15	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	72	67¢	$49	0xa25031…
10-27 19:15:06	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	300	66¢	$198	0x0a6334…
10-27 19:03:03	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	300	74¢	$222	0xd5b6b5…
10-27 18:36:02	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $18M and $19.5M?	Yes	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0x4ddd6f…
10-27 18:36:02	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $18M and $19.5M?	Yes	BUY	69	92¢	$64	0x2e7fcd…
10-27 18:36:02	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $18M and $19.5M?	Yes	BUY	125	92¢	$115	0x03eeed…
10-27 18:32:54	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?	Yes	BUY	1,000	99¢	$993	0x7fc326…
10-27 17:42:05	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	149	66¢	$98	0x8b3301…
10-27 17:41:14	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	315	66¢	$208	0xca8928…
10-27 17:37:29	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xae09a9…
10-27 17:35:30	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x7fb3e4…
10-27 17:33:02	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	23	66¢	$15	0xcd4eaf…
10-27 17:28:32	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	163	74¢	$121	0x43f703…
10-27 17:03:09	Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0xbf99a8…
10-27 16:26:03	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $18M and $19.5M?	Yes	SELL	21	95¢	$20	0x08bebd…
10-27 16:22:48	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	200	76¢	$152	0x428d3b…
10-27 16:20:44	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	500	54¢	$269	0x8ea0cb…
10-27 16:03:00	Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	10	73¢	$7	0xc17a6c…
10-27 16:02:44	Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	348	68¢	$237	0xd98ce6…
10-27 16:02:44	Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	21	69¢	$14	0xd5a42f…
10-27 15:05:56	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1,000	79¢	$790	0x802706…
10-27 14:57:53	Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	155	66¢	$102	0x821fb6…
10-27 14:57:21	Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	30	16¢	$5	0x992efe…
10-27 13:37:47	Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x9dae54…
10-27 13:29:38	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	397	78¢	$309	0xa22cc9…
10-27 03:39:05	Red Wings vs. Oilers	Oilers	SELL	110	79¢	$87	0xa1e1cd…
10-27 03:39:05	Red Wings vs. Oilers	Oilers	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x90eae4…
10-27 03:39:02	Red Wings vs. Oilers	Oilers	SELL	178	79¢	$141	0xfdc0d6…
10-27 03:39:02	Red Wings vs. Oilers	Oilers	SELL	12	79¢	$9	0x1a7b22…
10-27 03:39:00	Red Wings vs. Oilers	Oilers	SELL	696	79¢	$553	0xb46e10…
10-27 03:36:02	Red Wings vs. Oilers	Oilers	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x875932…
10-27 03:35:47	Red Wings vs. Oilers	Oilers	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x4c3b8c…
10-27 03:35:17	Red Wings vs. Oilers	Oilers	BUY	1,000	57¢	$569	0xa2a8dd…
10-27 02:10:47	Red Wings vs. Oilers	Oilers	SELL	707	70¢	$495	0x3d860b…
10-27 02:01:38	Red Wings vs. Oilers	Oilers	SELL	975	73¢	$714	0xa841cd…
10-27 01:54:05	Red Wings vs. Oilers	Oilers	BUY	273	74¢	$202	0xe24f41…
10-27 01:47:33	Red Wings vs. Oilers	Oilers	BUY	410	75¢	$307	0xc7cefa…
10-27 01:47:24	Red Wings vs. Oilers	Oilers	BUY	1,000	75¢	$748	0x0a8786…
10-27 01:26:33	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	279	97¢	$270	0x9b7c59…
10-26 17:17:21	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	850	68¢	$574	0x2e1022…
10-26 17:14:30	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	108	67¢	$73	0xf6c01f…
10-26 17:14:30	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	250	67¢	$168	0xf326ca…
10-26 17:14:30	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	452	67¢	$304	0x51d1e8…
10-26 17:14:30	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	41	67¢	$27	0x16d33c…
10-26 16:05:38	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least $24M?	Yes	BUY	117	30¢	$35	0xfa84fa…
10-26 16:04:59	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least $24M?	Yes	BUY	94	29¢	$28	0x6f7f29…
10-26 15:09:21	Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $2M?	Yes	SELL	43	88¢	$38	0xed790f…
10-26 14:52:54	Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $2M?	Yes	SELL	50	88¢	$44	0x677d6c…
10-26 14:49:56	Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $2M?	Yes	BUY	13	88¢	$11	0xc2e0ab…
10-26 14:40:02	Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $2M?	Yes	SELL	338	92¢	$310	0x7ae505…
10-26 14:28:41	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least $24M?	Yes	BUY	86	30¢	$25	0x048def…
10-26 14:23:41	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	Yes	SELL	100	30¢	$30	0x5ee12e…
10-26 14:23:17	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?	Yes	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0xee150e…
10-26 12:22:51	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $18M and $19.5M?	Yes	BUY	80	82¢	$66	0xe0ec55…
10-26 11:58:06	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $18M and $19.5M?	Yes	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0x4e2dc4…
10-26 06:58:53	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $18M and $19.5M?	Yes	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xf0b658…
10-26 06:49:03	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?	Yes	BUY	110	70¢	$77	0x30e5da…
10-26 06:48:42	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?	Yes	BUY	290	70¢	$203	0x5c5696…
10-26 06:04:48	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	Yes	SELL	9	13¢	$1	0x4493a5…
10-26 06:04:35	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	Yes	SELL	25	13¢	$3	0xd63029…
10-26 05:49:32	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x6840ff…
10-26 05:44:32	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?	Yes	BUY	30	86¢	$26	0x39678a…
10-26 05:44:32	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	Yes	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0x26f0a4…
10-26 04:12:21	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?	Yes	SELL	787	91¢	$716	0xa2271d…
10-26 04:12:21	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	No	SELL	35	90¢	$32	0x90eade…
10-26 04:12:21	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	No	SELL	30	90¢	$27	0x5f293e…
10-26 04:12:03	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	No	SELL	214	90¢	$193	0xc8378b…
10-26 04:09:26	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least $24M?	Yes	BUY	105	27¢	$29	0x3b830d…