Fickle-Employment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$783

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.7%

Resolved

754

Trades

2,028

lifetime

Volume

$64.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$32

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-19

last 10-30 11:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 97 days

Categories

Other

87% 44% -$737

Crypto

11% 67% -$36

Politics

1% 67% +$33

Sports

1% 37% -$67

Tech

0% 100% +$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

67 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	2	$1.9K	1,128	1,128	+0	Yes	+$124	06-27 01:55
fifwc cze mex 2026 06 24 total 3pt5	2	$1.5K	936	936	+0	Under	-$166	06-25 02:21
fifwc cze mex 2026 06 24 total 4pt5	2	$1.4K	786	786	+0	Under	+$31	06-25 01:25
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?	2	$1.3K	760	760	+0	Yes	-$8	06-25 03:07
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m?	8	$1.2K	1,001	1,001	+0	Yes	+$128	08-03 15:32
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?	4	$1.2K	747	747	+0	Yes	-$2	06-24 19:46
fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 goals kylian mbappe gte1	2	$1.1K	977	977	+0	No	+$39	06-26 19:10
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?	2	$1.1K	681	681	+0	Yes	-$7	06-27 21:44
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 180m?	2	$1.1K	588	588	+0	Yes	+$87	08-06 19:29
fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 1pt5	2	$1.1K	585	585	+0	Over	+$50	06-23 17:10
Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?	2	$1.1K	576	576	+0	Yes	+$66	08-17 01:05
Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	16	$1.1K	1,479	1,479	+0	No	-$166	10-26 03:19
fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 total 1pt5	4	$1.0K	719	719	+0	Under	-$80	06-23 20:26
Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 47m and 52m?	16	$1.0K	844	844	+0	Yes	+$25	08-01 19:49
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	2	$1.0K	603	603	+0	Yes	+$12	06-23 14:04
fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 btts	4	$1.0K	876	876	+0	Yes	-$46	06-23 01:10
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	2	$985	616	616	+0	Yes	+$123	06-17 05:55
fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 total 5pt5	2	$980	543	543	+0	Under	+$29	06-23 01:47
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?	3	$950	902	902	+0	Yes	+$150	07-31 13:39
fifwc pan hrv 2026 06 23 total 2pt5	2	$944	594	594	+0	Under	+$18	06-24 00:36
fifwc pan hrv 2026 06 23 spread away 2pt5	2	$936	532	532	+0	Panama	+$1	06-23 23:35
fifwc col cdr 2026 06 23 total 0pt5	2	$935	514	514	+0	Over	-$21	06-24 02:23
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?	2	$908	617	617	+0	Yes	+$6	06-24 14:11
fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 goals kylian mbappe gte1	2	$891	537	537	+0	Yes	+$182	06-22 21:19
fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 total 1pt5	2	$881	504	504	+0	Over	+$65	06-24 22:12
Will "You Can See Everything" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 7m?	6	$826	643	643	+0	Yes	+$26	10-14 02:06
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?	4	$814	732	732	+0	Yes	+$126	07-26 03:43
fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 total 1pt5	2	$793	515	515	+0	Over	-$10	06-24 21:33
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	3	$718	436	436	+0	Yes	+$153	06-17 03:23
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 140m and 150m?	2	$689	407	407	+0	Yes	+$89	08-09 22:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 11:43:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	195	100¢	$195	0x4ed6ee…
10-30 11:43:09	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?	Yes	SELL	27	17¢	$5	0xecb474…
10-30 05:37:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	195	97¢	$190	0xd111bc…
10-30 05:33:34	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	23	61¢	$14	0x21b28c…
10-30 01:52:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	116	85¢	$99	0x2e355f…
10-30 01:05:34	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x6d0165…
10-29 23:18:42	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xb97f1a…
10-29 23:13:31	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x3b977b…
10-29 16:49:11	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 4°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	210	99¢	$208	0xe40381…
10-29 06:08:07	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 4°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x32a85d…
10-29 06:04:46	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 4°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xd1540d…
10-29 00:01:07	Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?	Yes	SELL	591	17¢	$102	0x171e03…
10-28 23:59:49	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 28?	Yes	SELL	104	99¢	$103	0x863fb2…
10-28 20:35:26	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x506a56…
10-28 20:29:23	Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 105m?	Yes	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0x2e1c12…
10-28 20:29:02	Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?	Yes	BUY	591	17¢	$100	0xa2937e…
10-28 19:06:22	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 28?	Yes	SELL	33	96¢	$32	0x904d21…
10-28 18:55:50	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on October 28?	No	SELL	186	100¢	$186	0xc7eddc…
10-28 18:07:20	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on October 28?	No	BUY	81	96¢	$78	0x6c9916…
10-28 18:06:31	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on October 28?	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xeb2b8b…
10-28 17:13:13	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 28?	Yes	SELL	32	35¢	$11	0x972cbb…
10-28 04:59:56	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0xcb6f3e…
10-28 04:50:47	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x66db67…
10-28 04:35:11	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on October 28?	No	SELL	291	100¢	$290	0x6e80b4…
10-28 03:45:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on October 28?	No	BUY	291	95¢	$277	0x907eb0…
10-28 03:33:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 28?	No	SELL	264	100¢	$264	0x0a5d73…
10-28 03:11:27	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 28?	No	BUY	141	95¢	$134	0x73e2a7…
10-28 02:09:00	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on October 27?	Yes	SELL	79	100¢	$79	0x951465…
10-28 01:56:53	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	68	100¢	$68	0x25cc4e…
10-27 22:02:30	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	79	91¢	$72	0x8dfa86…
10-27 22:02:17	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 27?	Yes	SELL	76	95¢	$72	0x98169c…
10-27 21:45:45	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	68	95¢	$65	0x35df89…
10-27 21:45:15	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C or higher on October 27?	Yes	SELL	41	8¢	$3	0xec431c…
10-27 19:25:02	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 28?	No	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0xb17e19…
10-27 13:03:51	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0x32707f…
10-27 09:41:11	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	142	100¢	$142	0xc2f06f…
10-27 02:39:51	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	142	70¢	$100	0xcd943c…
10-27 02:36:09	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Grizzlies	SELL	8	72¢	$5	0x5f0296…
10-27 02:32:20	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C or higher on October 27?	Yes	BUY	41	63¢	$26	0xc3d1b4…
10-27 02:30:39	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Grizzlies	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xb6478a…
10-27 02:30:33	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Eagles	SELL	30	18¢	$5	0xf37557…
10-27 02:22:00	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Eagles	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xb475d4…
10-27 01:44:41	Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	SELL	201	98¢	$198	0x2440f2…
10-27 00:16:03	Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	BUY	73	82¢	$60	0x8577e3…
10-27 00:13:03	Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0xe38199…
10-26 21:48:18	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least $24M?	Yes	BUY	161	85¢	$137	0xe8660b…
10-26 15:47:15	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?	Yes	SELL	114	97¢	$110	0x60872d…
10-26 03:20:12	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least $24M?	Yes	SELL	147	18¢	$26	0x900f88…
10-26 03:20:03	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $19.5M and $21M?	Yes	SELL	181	1¢	$2	0x517ad6…
10-26 03:19:51	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?	Yes	BUY	114	70¢	$80	0x36e48b…
10-26 03:19:36	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	Yes	SELL	627	10¢	$61	0xd5436d…
10-25 15:32:12	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	Yes	BUY	314	64¢	$200	0x3e1d75…
10-25 15:31:57	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?	Yes	SELL	233	91¢	$212	0xe643a5…
10-25 15:22:39	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	Yes	BUY	313	61¢	$190	0xb799e7…
10-25 15:21:53	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	No	SELL	400	39¢	$157	0x1c7e3d…
10-25 15:04:29	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m?	Yes	SELL	416	0¢	$1	0xafffb8…
10-25 15:03:36	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least $24M?	Yes	BUY	147	7¢	$10	0x65eb2a…
10-25 14:04:59	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least $21M?	Yes	SELL	201	0¢	$0	0xce62f7…
10-25 06:59:38	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 16m?	Yes	BUY	803	1¢	$8	0x0833ef…
10-25 06:42:59	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 16m?	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0xb59db8…
10-25 06:42:59	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 16m?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xb29aaf…
10-25 06:42:59	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 16m?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x6284c7…
10-25 06:12:23	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 16m?	Yes	BUY	131	2¢	$2	0x09584f…
10-25 06:02:33	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 16m?	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0x52b415…
10-25 05:58:21	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 16m?	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0xf7a677…
10-25 05:58:21	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 16m?	Yes	BUY	51	1¢	$1	0x01783e…
10-25 05:46:39	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	No	BUY	38	25¢	$9	0x2c1d51…
10-25 05:46:11	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	No	BUY	262	25¢	$65	0xcefb2e…
10-25 05:46:09	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	No	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xb41662…
10-25 05:46:09	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	No	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x4a89e4…
10-25 05:46:09	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	No	BUY	57	24¢	$14	0x48465c…
10-25 05:46:09	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	No	BUY	28	25¢	$7	0x0025a8…
10-25 05:15:54	Will "Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $8M and $11M?	Yes	SELL	114	95¢	$108	0x8f78d6…
10-25 02:24:06	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least $21M?	Yes	BUY	201	10¢	$20	0x949d1b…
10-25 02:17:09	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $19.5M and $21M?	Yes	BUY	181	55¢	$100	0xe84e18…
10-25 01:34:11	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	Yes	SELL	234	73¢	$171	0xf00abc…
10-24 03:21:27	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	Yes	BUY	234	38¢	$90	0x622235…
10-24 03:20:15	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?	Yes	SELL	200	40¢	$80	0xee71e0…
10-24 03:20:03	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 16m?	Yes	SELL	226	5¢	$11	0x8763b1…
10-23 23:40:23	Will "Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $8M and $11M?	Yes	BUY	114	84¢	$96	0xc48890…
10-23 23:36:15	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?	Yes	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x99848e…
10-23 23:35:27	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 18m?	Yes	SELL	121	3¢	$4	0x1e1dde…
10-23 23:35:14	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m?	Yes	BUY	161	6¢	$10	0x340983…
10-23 21:22:23	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 18m?	Yes	BUY	65	15¢	$10	0x0b10a8…
10-23 20:45:18	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 18m?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xc1f6d4…
10-23 20:44:48	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 18m?	Yes	BUY	55	8¢	$4	0x9ca855…
10-23 20:42:17	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 16m?	Yes	BUY	226	22¢	$50	0x899e25…
10-23 20:19:12	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	Yes	SELL	219	25¢	$55	0xff8781…
10-23 20:17:56	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	SELL	73	15¢	$11	0x250d33…
10-23 06:54:50	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m?	Yes	BUY	145	12¢	$17	0x08aa29…
10-23 06:53:27	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?	Yes	SELL	213	39¢	$83	0x741297…
10-23 06:50:27	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m?	Yes	BUY	110	9¢	$10	0x606719…
10-23 05:15:12	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	Yes	BUY	103	15¢	$16	0xb90d8b…
10-23 04:55:05	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	Yes	BUY	103	14¢	$14	0x6ca48c…
10-22 21:11:23	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x403448…
10-22 21:11:17	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	BUY	73	1¢	$1	0x65d6f3…
10-22 20:30:44	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?	Yes	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0x49fbb6…
10-22 20:27:18	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?	Yes	SELL	432	47¢	$201	0xab5d03…
10-22 17:51:39	Will "Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $8M and $11M?	Yes	SELL	104	67¢	$70	0x8b46c7…
10-21 20:28:15	Will "Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $8M and $11M?	Yes	BUY	104	67¢	$70	0x9fd196…