Realized P&L
-$51
Unrealized P&L
+$22
Hit rate
83.2%
Resolved
67
Trades
528
lifetime
Volume
$5.70K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$771
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-28
last 10-31 22:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
60% 81% -$54
Politics
33% 100% +$0
Sports
4% 100% +$1
Tech
3% 100% +$1
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 186 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Joint List win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +73 $61 97¢ $71 +$10 10-29 10:52
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +70 $53 69¢ $48 -$5 10-31 13:23
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +46 $45 100¢ $46 +$0 10-30 14:09
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No — +46 $37 99¢ $45 +$8 10-30 14:09
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +40 $40 100¢ $40 $0 10-30 18:40
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +39 $34 100¢ $39 +$5 10-30 10:37
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +29 $28 99¢ $29 +$1 10-30 23:08
Will Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +28 $27 99¢ $28 +$0 10-31 03:37
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Texas? No +26 $26 100¢ $26 $0 10-31 05:59
Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +25 $22 99¢ $25 +$3 10-28 20:44
Will Republicans win Alaska, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio? No +22 $22 100¢ $22 $0 10-31 07:37
Will Republicans win Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Maine? No +22 $22 100¢ $22 $0 10-31 07:37
Will Republicans win Maine and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas? No +22 $22 100¢ $22 +$0 10-31 07:37
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? No +22 $22 99¢ $22 +$0 10-31 07:37
Will Republicans win Kansas and Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No — +21 $21 99¢ $21 +$0 10-31 05:59
Will Republicans win Iowa and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? No +21 $21 99¢ $21 +$0 10-31 07:37
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Maine, and Ohio? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 $0 10-30 23:15
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Ohio, and Texas? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 $0 10-30 23:15
Will Republicans win Alaska and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 $0 10-30 23:08
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 $0 10-30 23:15
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Texas? No +19 $19 99¢ $19 $0 10-31 02:14
Will Republicans win Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? No +19 $19 99¢ $19 $0 10-31 03:37
Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Texas? No +17 $17 100¢ $17 $0 10-30 22:38
Will Republicans win Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Ohio? No +17 $17 100¢ $17 $0 10-30 22:38
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? No +16 $16 100¢ $16 $0 10-30 22:17
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No — +16 $16 100¢ $16 +$0 10-31 23:19
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Michigan and Ohio? No +16 $16 99¢ $16 +$0 10-31 03:37
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Texas? No +16 $16 99¢ $16 +$0 10-31 07:37
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Maine? No +15 $15 100¢ $15 $0 10-31 07:37
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Texas? No +15 $15 100¢ $15 +$0 10-31 07:37