Realized P&L
-$4.03K
Unrealized P&L
-$41
Hit rate
59.4%
Resolved
2,306
Trades
15,106
lifetime
Volume
$81.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$983
25 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 10-29 17:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 80 days
Categories
Other
67% 73% -$2,683
Crypto
28% 44% -$1,600
Politics
3% 62% -$28
Sports
1% 20% +$289
Tech
0% 75% -$6
Pop-Culture
0% 67% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
19 active days in 12wk • peak 650 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? Yes +8,138 $651 8¢ $610 -$41 10-27 12:53
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +90 $31 66¢ $60 +$29 08-15 15:57
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? No +50 $44 98¢ $49 +$5 08-15 13:43
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No +40 $17 84¢ $34 +$17 08-15 17:33
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +55 $17 46¢ $25 +$8 08-15 14:15
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +40 $30 55¢ $22 -$8 08-14 14:31
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? No +20 $20 99¢ $20 +$0 08-15 17:33
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026? No +20 $19 96¢ $19 +$0 08-17 01:28
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +20 $18 94¢ $19 +$1 08-15 15:59
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026? No +20 $19 94¢ $19 $0 08-17 01:28
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? No +20 $15 90¢ $18 +$3 08-17 04:20
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +20 $19 85¢ $17 -$2 08-13 18:07
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +20 $12 72¢ $14 +$2 08-13 18:07
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +20 $9 56¢ $11 +$2 08-13 18:07
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? No +20 $8 55¢ $11 +$3 08-17 01:17
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? No +20 $6 42¢ $8 +$2 08-15 22:02
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +18 $9 33¢ $6 -$3 10-26 19:55
Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? No +37 $28 12¢ $4 -$24 08-14 18:21
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? No +20 $12 20¢ $4 -$8 08-15 17:01
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? Yes +66 $14 4¢ $3 -$11 10-24 01:24
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? No +6 $4 45¢ $3 -$1 08-17 01:17
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? No +20 $3 12¢ $2 -$1 08-17 01:28
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? No +17 $16 11¢ $2 -$14 08-17 04:20
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? No +4 $1 30¢ $1 +$0 08-16 18:40
Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? No +20 $3 4¢ $1 -$2 08-16 20:14