Oily-Chronicle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.73K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.4%

Resolved

193

Trades

1,037

lifetime

Volume

$67.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$65

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-28 08:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 71 days

Categories

Other

89% 59% +$2,269

Crypto

9% 31% -$584

Sports

2% 89% +$48

Politics

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	21	$2.4K	1,955	1,955	+0	Yes	+$496	09-29 12:40
will bitcoin dip to 82pt5k in september 2026	7	$2.3K	4,036	4,036	+0	No	-$338	09-28 14:00
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?	19	$2.2K	1,389	1,388	+1	Yes	+$69	04-25 06:37
will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	14	$1.8K	1,638	746	+892	Yes	+$24	08-03 15:11
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September?	3	$1.8K	950	950	+0	No	+$51	09-29 19:35
Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 17m?	15	$1.7K	1,646	1,646	+0	Yes	-$65	10-02 12:30
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?	10	$1.6K	950	1,250	-300	Yes	-$88	06-07 00:03
Will "Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 13m?	7	$1.2K	1,291	1,291	+0	No	-$318	09-27 15:12
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?	19	$1.2K	984	984	+0	Yes	+$173	05-23 05:12
Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?	10	$1000	890	890	+0	No	-$41	09-20 16:05
Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 28m?	14	$981	583	583	+0	Yes	+$120	10-03 20:03
Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?	9	$977	915	615	+300	No	-$152	10-11 19:36
Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?	6	$957	631	631	+0	Yes	+$2	09-20 16:06
Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?	21	$857	1,119	400	+719	Yes	+$264	06-07 06:29
Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 35m?	14	$842	650	650	+0	Yes	-$187	10-16 14:26
Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?	7	$836	540	388	+153	No	+$86	06-28 01:43
Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 38m?	2	$831	446	446	+0	Yes	+$47	09-12 16:37
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?	5	$824	467	467	+0	Yes	-$17	05-31 01:22
Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?	14	$807	805	553	+253	Yes	+$27	10-11 18:13
will primate opening weekend box office be greater than 13m	11	$804	438	438	+0	No	+$69	01-12 07:34
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	2	$777	436	436	+0	No	+$0	01-27 08:56
will you me tuscany opening weekend box office be less than 8m	9	$766	769	535	+234	Yes	+$95	04-13 12:11
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	22	$717	451	451	+0	No	+$173	08-29 14:23
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 22m?	26	$704	672	672	+0	No	-$110	09-25 19:47
will binance be accused of insider trading	3	$702	497	254	+243	No	+$26	02-25 19:18
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 900m by August 31?	10	$698	680	272	+408	Yes	+$246	08-29 23:23
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m?	8	$689	761	604	+157	Yes	+$16	08-03 07:23
Will "The Death of Robin Hood" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?	7	$678	460	256	+204	Yes	+$21	06-21 01:22
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 100m?	16	$676	488	494	-7	Yes	+$187	04-27 08:32
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 35 and 40 million views in week 1?	4	$669	640	640	+0	No	-$15	09-28 06:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 08:03:29	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least $21M?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x5e2c8e…
10-24 11:34:03	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least $21M?	No	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0xeb02d7…
10-24 10:19:08	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $22.5M and $24M?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x9a4cc1…
10-18 20:06:05	Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x3f65c1…
10-18 20:06:05	Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	BUY	21	86¢	$18	0x07ffc9…
10-18 20:06:03	Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x0a8af1…
10-18 20:06:03	Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	BUY	18	86¢	$15	0x08fe96…
10-18 19:07:41	Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	BUY	0	86¢	$0	0x374a5a…
10-18 18:32:57	Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	BUY	70	86¢	$60	0xc4ad64…
10-18 14:27:42	Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	SELL	226	4¢	$9	0xab3f44…
10-18 03:27:51	Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	SELL	106	4¢	$4	0x78bbaa…
10-18 03:25:18	Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	SELL	42	4¢	$2	0xb22902…
10-17 16:10:45	Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	SELL	102	95¢	$97	0x8c5f07…
10-17 16:03:54	Will "Sense and Sensibility" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m?	No	SELL	37	98¢	$36	0xfa1923…
10-17 12:11:38	Will "Sense and Sensibility" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m?	No	SELL	19	92¢	$18	0xa516f8…
10-17 12:06:02	Will "Sense and Sensibility" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m?	No	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0xf68652…
10-17 10:07:00	Will "Sense and Sensibility" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m?	No	SELL	14	92¢	$13	0xa56e1a…
10-17 10:06:44	Will "Sense and Sensibility" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m?	No	SELL	30	92¢	$28	0xcf21dd…
10-17 10:06:44	Will "Sense and Sensibility" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x84d037…
10-17 10:06:44	Will "Sense and Sensibility" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m?	No	SELL	2	92¢	$1	0x568607…
10-17 10:06:44	Will "Sense and Sensibility" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m?	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x55d0ab…
10-17 10:06:42	Will "Sense and Sensibility" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m?	No	SELL	103	92¢	$95	0x2c699a…
10-17 10:02:14	Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 30m?	Yes	SELL	25	31¢	$8	0x6f7bb4…
10-17 08:54:48	Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 30m?	No	BUY	602	67¢	$402	0x465c97…
10-17 08:49:02	Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	SELL	1	80¢	$0	0x1dc978…
10-17 08:43:57	Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	SELL	30	80¢	$24	0x07bf1a…
10-17 08:43:51	Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	SELL	49	80¢	$40	0x23fcf0…
10-17 08:42:02	Will "You Can See Everything" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 7m?	Yes	SELL	269	100¢	$269	0xdc2d63…
10-16 14:26:51	Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 35m?	No	SELL	127	50¢	$63	0xf6043c…
10-16 14:10:42	Will "Sense and Sensibility" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m?	No	BUY	220	88¢	$194	0x38978c…
10-16 13:50:49	Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 35m?	No	SELL	24	50¢	$12	0x195930…
10-16 13:40:48	Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 35m?	No	SELL	110	50¢	$55	0x97efad…
10-16 13:26:18	Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 35m?	No	SELL	162	47¢	$76	0xed7eb0…
10-16 09:17:21	Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 35m?	No	SELL	120	58¢	$69	0x41e6ed…
10-16 09:16:51	Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	BUY	57	52¢	$30	0x7c5140…
10-16 09:08:18	Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	BUY	125	55¢	$68	0xbb76a0…
10-16 08:48:36	Will "You Can See Everything" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 7m?	Yes	SELL	100	95¢	$95	0x0eb6a7…
10-15 18:20:02	Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	SELL	183	20¢	$37	0xcb22e4…
10-15 17:48:22	Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 35m?	No	SELL	57	48¢	$27	0xd64694…
10-15 17:48:22	Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 35m?	No	SELL	40	48¢	$19	0xab13d2…
10-15 17:48:22	Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 35m?	No	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0x7b4826…
10-15 17:11:32	Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	SELL	51	20¢	$10	0x68f05e…
10-15 17:09:35	Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	SELL	45	20¢	$9	0x58f3fd…
10-15 16:49:35	Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xd9982e…
10-15 16:49:35	Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	SELL	7	20¢	$1	0xc136e3…
10-15 16:49:35	Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	SELL	9	20¢	$2	0x23e4dd…
10-15 03:50:43	Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	SELL	60	74¢	$44	0xbc08bc…
10-15 03:17:46	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	SELL	261	41¢	$107	0xcb79a3…
10-14 08:06:35	Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 30m?	Yes	BUY	25	41¢	$10	0x9e2795…
10-13 23:17:01	Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 35m?	No	BUY	38	70¢	$27	0x7a1800…
10-13 23:17:00	Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 35m?	No	BUY	22	70¢	$15	0xe2a11e…
10-13 23:17:00	Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 35m?	No	BUY	70	70¢	$49	0xd4c090…
10-13 23:16:58	Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 35m?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xce4b41…
10-13 07:19:08	Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 35m?	No	BUY	422	82¢	$346	0x33dcfc…
10-13 06:45:50	Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 35m?	No	BUY	78	82¢	$63	0x12cdcc…
10-13 06:45:23	Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	BUY	60	55¢	$33	0xef2ee0…
10-12 19:46:57	Will "You Can See Everything" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 7m?	Yes	BUY	369	54¢	$200	0x4b07b6…
10-12 19:20:15	Will "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 14m?	No	SELL	160	100¢	$160	0x6ce619…
10-12 16:34:11	Will "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 14m?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x7a5543…
10-12 16:34:09	Will "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 14m?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xc20fe5…
10-12 16:34:09	Will "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 14m?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa53511…
10-12 16:34:09	Will "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 14m?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8db076…
10-12 13:30:32	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	BUY	98	40¢	$39	0x9d9dd2…
10-12 13:30:32	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x6628ed…
10-12 13:30:32	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	40¢	$32	0x63e858…
10-12 12:05:27	Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	SELL	189	41¢	$78	0x3c45bb…
10-12 08:19:28	Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	BUY	862	19¢	$161	0xa36e63…
10-11 19:36:45	Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?	No	BUY	181	84¢	$152	0xabeaff…
10-11 18:58:07	Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?	No	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x69cacb…
10-11 18:13:06	Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?	Yes	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0xfe3bf2…
10-11 17:59:27	Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?	Yes	BUY	12	82¢	$9	0x3fdd81…
10-11 17:59:25	Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?	Yes	BUY	211	82¢	$173	0x1d9b86…
10-11 15:33:24	Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	No	SELL	240	43¢	$102	0xdc9305…
10-11 15:13:22	Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	No	BUY	240	38¢	$91	0x0aa615…
10-11 15:08:34	Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?	Yes	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0x19baf7…
10-11 15:05:16	Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?	Yes	SELL	895	9¢	$81	0xe2b1f5…
10-11 15:04:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	21	51¢	$11	0x0e0c18…
10-11 15:03:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	49	24¢	$12	0x8b6cc1…
10-11 15:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	49	44¢	$22	0xa67189…
10-11 14:59:33	Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?	Yes	SELL	210	11¢	$23	0x949c84…
10-11 07:18:00	Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xcd70a9…
10-11 04:31:12	Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?	Yes	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0x1f930e…
10-11 04:18:18	Will "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x67ac14…
10-11 03:36:59	Will "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?	Yes	BUY	131	45¢	$59	0xc6402e…
10-11 03:06:35	Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?	Yes	BUY	35	45¢	$16	0x5a6e5c…
10-10 21:39:06	Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?	Yes	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0xe4bcea…
10-10 18:01:52	Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xb063b7…
10-10 17:21:33	Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?	Yes	BUY	60	65¢	$39	0xd82180…
10-10 17:21:33	Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?	Yes	BUY	40	65¢	$26	0x59895b…
10-10 16:55:25	Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m?	No	BUY	0	65¢	$0	0x963d4d…
10-10 16:44:36	Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?	Yes	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0xf342a6…
10-10 16:37:27	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xbebad0…
10-10 16:02:28	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	40¢	$8	0xe140d8…
10-10 15:37:21	Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?	Yes	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0x79ae96…
10-10 15:33:46	Will "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 14m?	No	BUY	141	60¢	$85	0x5dba6d…
10-10 15:33:28	Will "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 14m?	No	BUY	59	60¢	$35	0x9f7aca…
10-10 15:28:06	Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?	Yes	BUY	0	65¢	$0	0xb2a1b2…
10-10 14:37:06	Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?	Yes	BUY	110	46¢	$50	0x2f2dc2…
10-10 14:34:55	Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?	No	SELL	405	59¢	$240	0x92f7ec…
10-10 14:08:28	Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?	Yes	SELL	463	59¢	$273	0xd75f13…