Insignificant-Affair — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$102.7K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.3%

Resolved

389

Trades

5,466

lifetime

Volume

$810.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$148

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-27 09:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 66 days

Categories

Other

100% 59% +$102,760

Politics

0% 0% -$104

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 106 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?	9	$22.7K	12,426	12,426	+0	Yes	+$2,043	07-31 23:16
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?	21	$21.1K	18,604	10,188	+8,416	Yes	+$7,165	07-18 18:56
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?	27	$17.9K	18,576	11,725	+6,851	Yes	+$5,991	08-01 20:12
will undertone opening weekend box office be greater than 10m	44	$17.1K	14,378	11,515	+2,863	No	+$4,372	03-20 18:28
Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 7m?	64	$17.0K	20,272	16,154	+4,118	Yes	-$1,176	05-31 20:50
will project hail mary opening weekend box office be between 80m and 85m	137	$16.7K	27,811	7,992	+19,818	Yes	-$1,994	03-23 05:31
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 61m?	12	$14.6K	9,458	7,094	+2,365	Yes	+$1,703	05-29 03:28
will wuthering heights opening weekend box office be less than 47m	17	$12.7K	8,462	8,462	+0	Yes	+$4,107	02-14 06:20
will hoppers opening weekend box office be between 42m and 46m	17	$12.5K	4,750	10,250	-5,500	Yes	+$2,472	03-10 04:09
will avatar fire and ash 6th weekend box office be less than 8pt5m	5	$11.1K	6,090	6,090	+0	Yes	+$980	01-25 07:57
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?	50	$10.9K	10,441	5,259	+5,182	Yes	+$4,696	07-05 05:26
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?	23	$9.9K	21,734	1,869	+19,865	Yes	-$2,466	06-08 08:11
will i can only imagine 2 opening weekend box office be less than 10m	15	$9.1K	6,718	6,614	+104	Yes	+$4,016	02-22 04:31
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?	15	$8.9K	6,450	6,165	+284	No	+$1,478	05-11 04:18
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?	7	$8.9K	12,928	0	+12,928	Yes	+$4,058	04-24 02:04
Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?	20	$8.6K	10,867	0	+10,867	No	+$2,268	08-16 08:43
will avatar fire and ash 3rd weekend box office be less than 40m	54	$8.4K	4,875	5,875	-1,000	No	+$2,254	01-05 11:17
will mercy opening weekend box office be between 11m and 14m	27	$8.4K	8,378	2,913	+5,465	No	+$1,992	01-26 13:35
will the bride opening weekend box office be between 12m and 14m	5	$8.2K	4,572	4,572	+0	No	+$931	03-07 07:01
will hoppers opening weekend box office be between 38m and 42m	3	$7.7K	7,778	2,278	+5,500	No	+$2,362	03-09 01:47
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?	58	$7.7K	16,641	19,167	-2,526	No	+$1,529	06-21 15:19
will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be between 180m and 190m	31	$7.3K	9,150	6,473	+2,677	No	-$1,793	04-06 02:26
will goat opening weekend box office be greater than 26m	43	$7.2K	7,020	4,253	+2,767	Yes	+$1,272	02-15 16:21
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 115m?	19	$7.1K	10,685	2,378	+8,307	No	+$278	07-17 17:44
will undertone opening weekend box office be between 9m and 10m	5	$6.9K	5,364	5,094	+270	Yes	+$3,463	03-21 00:20
will hoppers 3rd weekend box office be between 16pt5m and 18m	34	$6.8K	8,645	619	+8,026	Yes	-$23	03-23 14:08
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 98m?	11	$6.7K	8,129	0	+8,129	No	+$978	07-26 15:11
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?	7	$6.7K	13,153	2,000	+11,153	Yes	-$1,844	07-26 03:10
will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	24	$6.6K	11,991	0	+11,991	Yes	+$5,376	08-02 04:18
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?	28	$6.5K	7,671	7,670	+0	No	-$754	10-01 05:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 09:36:59	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least $21M?	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x71a041…
10-27 00:15:05	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least $21M?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xe01a87…
10-27 00:13:57	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least $21M?	No	SELL	1,934	100¢	$1,925	0x35dc8b…
10-26 12:43:59	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $22.5M and $24M?	Yes	SELL	180	65¢	$117	0x67face…
10-26 04:22:32	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?	No	BUY	1,073	10¢	$107	0x4cdc53…
10-25 23:00:06	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?	Yes	BUY	255	30¢	$77	0xefe99a…
10-25 15:32:12	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?	Yes	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0x4e87fa…
10-25 15:22:53	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?	Yes	BUY	16	40¢	$7	0x93561a…
10-25 15:22:39	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?	Yes	BUY	35	40¢	$14	0xaa82f7…
10-25 15:22:39	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?	Yes	BUY	128	40¢	$51	0x9feffd…
10-25 15:22:39	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?	Yes	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0x12a322…
10-25 15:21:53	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?	Yes	BUY	339	40¢	$136	0x435898…
10-25 15:21:53	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?	Yes	BUY	45	40¢	$18	0x0adb02…
10-25 14:53:47	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?	Yes	BUY	160	40¢	$65	0xee0146…
10-25 14:43:32	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $19.5M and $21M?	No	BUY	105	62¢	$65	0xc861c5…
10-25 05:58:26	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?	Yes	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0xc0b86e…
10-25 05:58:23	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?	Yes	SELL	13	30¢	$4	0xa1e355…
10-25 05:58:23	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?	Yes	SELL	15	30¢	$5	0x58419b…
10-25 05:58:21	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?	Yes	SELL	1,104	30¢	$331	0x45dff6…
10-25 03:04:14	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	No	SELL	987	30¢	$296	0x6a4696…
10-25 01:34:11	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	No	SELL	13	30¢	$4	0xf00abc…
10-24 16:02:12	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?	Yes	SELL	15	30¢	$4	0xbb20b5…
10-24 16:02:12	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?	Yes	SELL	1,119	30¢	$336	0x013a67…
10-24 06:39:02	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $15M and $16.5M?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x8333bf…
10-24 05:30:50	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $19.5M and $21M?	Yes	SELL	2,000	10¢	$200	0x5ee26f…
10-24 04:29:54	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $19.5M and $21M?	Yes	BUY	2,000	6¢	$120	0x6d33b3…
10-24 03:38:45	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?	Yes	BUY	55	40¢	$22	0xf7f4ee…
10-24 03:38:45	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?	Yes	BUY	81	40¢	$32	0xc47d92…
10-24 03:38:45	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?	Yes	BUY	260	40¢	$104	0x99cb55…
10-24 03:38:45	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?	Yes	BUY	180	40¢	$72	0x6de30a…
10-24 03:38:45	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x4d9618…
10-24 03:38:45	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?	Yes	BUY	22	40¢	$9	0x3df608…
10-24 03:21:26	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xbb973d…
10-24 03:21:26	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?	Yes	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x74845b…
10-24 03:21:26	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?	Yes	BUY	177	40¢	$71	0x327e1b…
10-24 03:15:29	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $21M and $22.5M?	Yes	BUY	1,000	40¢	$400	0x6aa356…
10-24 01:33:44	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $16.5M and $18M?	Yes	BUY	2,970	3¢	$80	0x1c2faf…
10-24 01:28:39	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $16.5M and $18M?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xc51317…
10-23 23:57:50	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least $21M?	No	BUY	1,985	50¢	$992	0x094207…
10-23 23:41:47	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least $21M?	No	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0xe1ba65…
10-23 22:43:39	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 16m?	Yes	SELL	57	10¢	$6	0x1c76d1…
10-23 20:42:17	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 16m?	Yes	SELL	98	23¢	$22	0x899e25…
10-23 17:46:45	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?	Yes	BUY	1,001	40¢	$400	0xf86536…
10-23 14:20:18	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?	Yes	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0x4a0c9d…
10-23 13:53:14	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $22.5M and $24M?	Yes	BUY	24	28¢	$7	0xf4475b…
10-23 13:53:14	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $22.5M and $24M?	Yes	BUY	30	28¢	$8	0xcbc75e…
10-23 13:53:14	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $22.5M and $24M?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xb295d7…
10-23 13:53:12	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $22.5M and $24M?	Yes	BUY	40	28¢	$11	0x5898ec…
10-23 13:53:12	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $22.5M and $24M?	Yes	BUY	23	28¢	$6	0x2cafcf…
10-23 13:53:12	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $22.5M and $24M?	Yes	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0x094f76…
10-23 13:00:06	Will "Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $8M and $11M?	No	SELL	500	13¢	$65	0xb66218…
10-23 12:58:50	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $19.5M and $21M?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x5639ba…
10-23 11:13:56	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $22.5M and $24M?	Yes	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0x109d6b…
10-23 11:13:56	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $19.5M and $21M?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x10172a…
10-23 08:18:27	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 16m?	Yes	BUY	163	33¢	$54	0x54c8c7…
10-23 06:21:41	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?	Yes	BUY	110	30¢	$33	0x0eae77…
10-23 05:56:05	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 16m?	Yes	BUY	16	39¢	$6	0x7941d0…
10-23 05:53:11	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 16m?	Yes	BUY	1	39¢	$0	0x542453…
10-23 05:52:48	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 16m?	Yes	BUY	16	39¢	$6	0x646698…
10-23 05:52:48	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 16m?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x39392d…
10-23 05:52:47	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 16m?	Yes	BUY	49	39¢	$19	0x11b512…
10-23 05:52:36	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 16m?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x53a83f…
10-23 05:52:33	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 16m?	Yes	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0xd9330e…
10-23 05:52:33	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 16m?	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xb5fea5…
10-23 05:52:29	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 16m?	Yes	BUY	16	39¢	$6	0x940507…
10-23 05:52:29	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 16m?	Yes	BUY	650	39¢	$254	0x737e75…
10-23 05:52:29	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 16m?	Yes	BUY	50	39¢	$20	0x45930c…
10-23 05:52:29	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 16m?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x2b832b…
10-23 05:09:03	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	No	BUY	1,000	85¢	$850	0x39f733…
10-23 03:59:23	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?	No	BUY	736	51¢	$377	0x7e05eb…
10-23 03:46:00	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 16m?	Yes	BUY	320	39¢	$124	0x83d431…
10-23 01:02:32	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 16m?	Yes	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x3c8730…
10-23 00:47:27	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?	Yes	BUY	140	23¢	$32	0xb951bb…
10-23 00:21:56	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 16m?	Yes	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0xf5fd1c…
10-23 00:21:56	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 16m?	Yes	BUY	278	33¢	$92	0x5eb84e…
10-22 23:20:48	Will "Klara and the Sun" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $2M and $3M?	Yes	BUY	41	5¢	$2	0xfa3afa…
10-22 23:20:48	Will "Klara and the Sun" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $2M and $3M?	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xc8c479…
10-22 23:20:48	Will "Klara and the Sun" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $2M and $3M?	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0xbd42f5…
10-22 21:53:21	Will "Klara and the Sun" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $2M and $3M?	Yes	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0xf7c6ab…
10-22 21:53:21	Will "Klara and the Sun" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $2M and $3M?	Yes	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0xe99347…
10-22 20:41:18	Will "Klara and the Sun" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $2M and $3M?	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x1d8889…
10-22 20:40:26	Will "Klara and the Sun" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $2M and $3M?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xd5f5c2…
10-22 20:40:26	Will "Klara and the Sun" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $2M and $3M?	Yes	BUY	16	5¢	$1	0xc5e04d…
10-22 20:40:26	Will "Klara and the Sun" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $2M and $3M?	Yes	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0x9b1985…
10-22 20:40:26	Will "Klara and the Sun" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $2M and $3M?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x902bd7…
10-22 20:40:26	Will "Klara and the Sun" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $2M and $3M?	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x6f690b…
10-22 20:40:12	Will "Klara and the Sun" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $2M and $3M?	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xdf38d1…
10-22 20:40:12	Will "Klara and the Sun" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $2M and $3M?	Yes	BUY	120	5¢	$6	0x89d4a5…
10-22 20:40:11	Will "Klara and the Sun" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $2M and $3M?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xd943e2…
10-22 20:40:11	Will "Klara and the Sun" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $2M and $3M?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x81ed31…
10-22 20:40:11	Will "Klara and the Sun" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $2M and $3M?	Yes	BUY	27	5¢	$1	0x7ea64a…
10-22 20:40:11	Will "Klara and the Sun" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $2M and $3M?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x5e5229…
10-22 20:40:11	Will "Klara and the Sun" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $2M and $3M?	Yes	BUY	423	5¢	$21	0x1b380c…
10-22 20:27:18	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?	Yes	BUY	220	40¢	$88	0xab5d03…
10-22 17:43:45	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x647981…
10-22 11:09:26	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?	No	BUY	72	40¢	$29	0x923b70…
10-22 11:08:57	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?	No	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0xf1345e…
10-22 11:08:53	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?	No	BUY	312	40¢	$125	0x91ec83…
10-22 04:29:32	Will "Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $8M and $11M?	No	BUY	75	25¢	$19	0x749ff2…
10-22 03:55:15	Will "Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $8M and $11M?	No	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x4cae53…