Celebrated-Spine — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5.12K

Unrealized P&L

+$609

Hit rate

73.4%

Resolved

399

Trades

2,629

lifetime

Volume

$107.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$41

Open exposure

$4.83K

9 positions

First seen

2026-05-18

last 10-30 09:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 121 days

Categories

Other

92% 42% +$6,421

Politics

5% 45% +$435

Sports

3% 20% -$1,736

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 65 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	No	+3,005	$2,570	84¢	$2.5K	-$60	10-29 04:17
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	Yes	+3,200	$992	44¢	$1.4K	+$400	10-17 08:52
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+500	$460	94¢	$468	+$8	10-28 17:29
Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	+1,509	$26	13¢	$201	+$174	10-26 12:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	+234	$91	47¢	$110	+$19	10-30 01:48
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	No	+100	$90	90¢	$90	-$1	10-29 09:32
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	Yes	+500	$30	10¢	$48	+$18	10-08 09:32
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	Yes	+100	$14	15¢	$15	+$1	10-20 17:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?	Yes	+94	-$50	1¢	$1	+$51	10-28 14:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?	109	$8.4K	5,700	4,553	+1,147	Yes	+$1,476	10-29 08:51
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	49	$8.4K	6,509	4,018	+2,491	Yes	+$886	07-29 12:41
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?	94	$4.0K	3,843	3,843	+0	Yes	+$1,337	08-26 22:32
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?	12	$3.8K	2,057	2,057	+0	Yes	+$216	06-03 21:33
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	5	$3.0K	3,236	231	+3,005	open	—	10-29 04:17
Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?	16	$2.8K	3,840	1,000	+2,840	No	-$1,827	08-25 19:08
lol gen dk 2026 07 18 game2	1	$2.1K	2,317	0	+2,317	Gen.G	+$242	07-18 16:03
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in May?	8	$1.9K	2,250	100	+2,150	No	+$262	06-10 12:30
Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?	21	$1.7K	1,011	1,011	+0	Yes	+$217	06-23 11:35
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	18	$1.6K	1,800	0	+1,800	No	-$1,637	07-19 21:53
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August?	41	$1.5K	3,573	0	+3,573	Yes	+$2,060	09-03 22:16
will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	37	$1.5K	1,109	1,109	+0	Yes	+$124	08-06 03:54
Will DetonatioN FocusMe Win LCP 2026 Split 3?	6	$1.4K	1,084	561	+523	No	+$199	07-31 23:38
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be less than 150m by October 31?	43	$1.3K	1,706	1,706	+0	open	—	10-02 14:53
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	31	$1.2K	1,216	1,216	+0	No	+$528	08-26 22:32
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	4	$1.2K	1,233	0	+1,233	Yes	+$78	10-27 05:52
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?	43	$1.1K	2,671	0	+2,671	Yes	+$1,566	08-04 02:55
lol dk t1 2026 07 27	2	$1.1K	720	720	+0	T1	-$43	07-27 08:57
Will "The Odyssey" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 14.5m?	7	$1.0K	966	400	+566	Yes	+$154	08-30 15:30
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?	21	$1.0K	699	699	+0	open	—	10-11 14:22
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	4	$992	3,200	0	+3,200	open	—	10-17 08:52
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	25	$978	636	636	+0	open	—	06-30 02:44
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 38m and 41m?	18	$966	1,298	395	+902	Yes	+$265	08-23 14:53
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	5	$965	4,130	1,560	+2,570	No	-$341	09-16 13:48
Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September?	56	$945	2,176	0	+2,176	No	-$945	10-14 09:51
Will annual inflation be 3.5% in August?	12	$797	4,047	0	+4,047	No	-$797	08-26 12:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?	5	$790	1,176	476	+700	Yes	+$68	09-22 09:52
will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	10	$786	641	289	+352	No	+$60	06-25 14:10
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	9	$763	1,458	1,458	-0	No	-$11	09-15 06:34
lol gen dk 2026 07 18 game1	5	$761	550	550	+0	Dplus KIA	+$144	07-18 15:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 09:05:22	Will "You Can See Everything" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between $12M and $14M?	Yes	BUY	318	27¢	$86	0x626b21…
10-30 08:39:25	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?	No	SELL	79	78¢	$62	0x8cb340…
10-30 08:27:58	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	SELL	13	23¢	$3	0xc23f78…
10-30 08:27:51	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	SELL	8	22¢	$2	0x235530…
10-30 08:21:39	Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $100M and $125M by November 30?	Yes	SELL	109	27¢	$30	0x6b4bbd…
10-30 08:04:45	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x7e4e47…
10-30 07:59:57	Will "You Can See Everything" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between $12M and $14M?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x515642…
10-30 07:55:49	Will "You Can See Everything" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between $12M and $14M?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x83d154…
10-30 07:55:01	Will "You Can See Everything" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between $12M and $14M?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xe537d8…
10-30 07:54:54	Will "You Can See Everything" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between $12M and $14M?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x207e9b…
10-30 07:54:42	Will "You Can See Everything" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between $12M and $14M?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x1b50a6…
10-30 07:54:40	Will "You Can See Everything" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between $12M and $14M?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x24c568…
10-30 06:52:01	Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $75M and $100M by November 30?	Yes	BUY	22	68¢	$15	0x8a30b9…
10-30 03:53:22	Will "You Can See Everything" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between $12M and $14M?	Yes	BUY	135	30¢	$40	0x78cc51…
10-30 03:29:40	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	Yes	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0x80b2f9…
10-30 03:29:40	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	Yes	BUY	70	43¢	$30	0x56cbbb…
10-30 03:24:19	Will "You Can See Everything" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between $12M and $14M?	Yes	BUY	131	27¢	$35	0x80e5b6…
10-30 03:22:33	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m?	Yes	SELL	500	29¢	$144	0xc73e6d…
10-30 03:20:37	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	SELL	160	11¢	$17	0x8fb1a9…
10-30 02:43:25	Will "You Can See Everything" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between $12M and $14M?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$1	0x434910…
10-30 02:43:22	Will "You Can See Everything" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between $12M and $14M?	Yes	BUY	18	15¢	$3	0xef8985…
10-30 02:43:22	Will "You Can See Everything" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between $12M and $14M?	Yes	BUY	17	15¢	$3	0xbc0135…
10-30 02:43:22	Will "You Can See Everything" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between $10M and $12M?	Yes	BUY	174	62¢	$108	0xb92f57…
10-30 02:43:22	Will "You Can See Everything" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between $12M and $14M?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x9ed496…
10-30 01:48:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xbfa55f…
10-30 01:40:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	70	30¢	$21	0xc1f026…
10-30 00:58:39	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xd1a4b7…
10-30 00:58:39	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	Yes	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x323a68…
10-30 00:58:19	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	SELL	12	22¢	$3	0x732228…
10-30 00:58:19	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	SELL	12	22¢	$3	0x3ed8a3…
10-30 00:33:54	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	Yes	SELL	40	46¢	$18	0xb0b822…
10-30 00:33:06	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	Yes	BUY	130	43¢	$56	0x5b12dc…
10-29 20:26:16	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m?	Yes	BUY	46	30¢	$14	0xf235f8…
10-29 20:23:30	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 43m?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x77abbb…
10-29 20:23:03	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 43m?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xafe614…
10-29 20:22:34	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xba7e5b…
10-29 17:46:53	Will In-fa become a Violent typhoon?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xd21592…
10-29 17:21:32	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x223af5…
10-29 17:21:31	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x86951b…
10-29 17:16:04	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m?	Yes	BUY	54	30¢	$16	0x17f415…
10-29 17:08:19	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	Yes	BUY	36	40¢	$14	0xc7a464…
10-29 17:08:16	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	Yes	BUY	40	41¢	$16	0xeee53b…
10-29 17:08:16	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x713fba…
10-29 17:08:16	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	Yes	BUY	24	40¢	$10	0x378662…
10-29 17:08:16	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x1d591d…
10-29 17:05:55	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 37m and 40m?	Yes	BUY	0	14¢	$0	0xde3104…
10-29 16:54:13	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xa89b25…
10-29 16:51:58	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 37m and 40m?	Yes	BUY	13	14¢	$2	0xb38c3f…
10-29 16:31:52	Will In-fa become a Violent typhoon?	No	BUY	155	86¢	$133	0x9a230d…
10-29 16:28:08	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x0fb7b2…
10-29 16:28:07	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xad3226…
10-29 15:45:52	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 43m?	Yes	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0xf56805…
10-29 15:39:08	Will "You Can See Everything" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between $12M and $14M?	Yes	BUY	41	20¢	$8	0xfa66d1…
10-29 15:39:01	Will "You Can See Everything" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between $12M and $14M?	Yes	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0x75747a…
10-29 15:38:58	Will "You Can See Everything" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between $12M and $14M?	Yes	BUY	19	20¢	$4	0xccd798…
10-29 15:38:58	Will "You Can See Everything" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between $12M and $14M?	Yes	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x8a6aaa…
10-29 15:28:37	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	Yes	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x54f66c…
10-29 15:28:07	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	SELL	40	26¢	$10	0x722efb…
10-29 15:27:31	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	Yes	BUY	17	45¢	$8	0x2595a1…
10-29 15:10:28	Will "You Can See Everything" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between $10M and $12M?	Yes	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x521eef…
10-29 14:26:32	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m?	Yes	BUY	96	40¢	$38	0xedf4bd…
10-29 13:52:29	Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $100M and $125M by November 30?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xec1207…
10-29 13:12:07	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x03cf34…
10-29 12:52:43	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 43m?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x8bd5be…
10-29 12:18:11	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 37m?	Yes	BUY	25	15¢	$4	0x3c3488…
10-29 12:18:10	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 43m?	Yes	BUY	25	10¢	$2	0x89b053…
10-29 11:49:43	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0xbddeec…
10-29 11:12:43	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 31m and 34m?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x885fa9…
10-29 11:04:20	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	Yes	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x27e3db…
10-29 11:00:20	Will "You Can See Everything" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between $10M and $12M?	Yes	BUY	17	41¢	$7	0xa6ec8e…
10-29 10:46:50	Will "You Can See Everything" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between $10M and $12M?	Yes	BUY	18	41¢	$7	0x78a17a…
10-29 10:36:49	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 43m?	Yes	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0xbe80ae…
10-29 10:36:49	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 43m?	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xb7a524…
10-29 10:36:43	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 43m?	Yes	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0xe5b3f5…
10-29 09:32:14	Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x6fa998…
10-29 09:02:13	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	Yes	BUY	404	56¢	$225	0x95b0c7…
10-29 09:02:11	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xc67053…
10-29 09:02:11	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	BUY	8	18¢	$1	0xb80126…
10-29 09:02:11	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	BUY	12	18¢	$2	0x7b4e56…
10-29 08:51:20	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xbe39e5…
10-29 08:51:13	Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,147	100¢	$1,146	0xfaaa53…
10-29 08:45:23	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	Yes	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x7bc83a…
10-29 04:46:01	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 37m and 40m?	Yes	BUY	19	14¢	$3	0x0d0464…
10-29 04:31:59	Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0x94be0a…
10-29 04:17:40	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	No	BUY	2,092	87¢	$1,820	0x1b6397…
10-29 04:17:20	Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	806	100¢	$805	0x4c1ad0…
10-29 04:00:13	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 37m?	Yes	BUY	0	15¢	$0	0xbc379f…
10-29 03:54:44	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m?	Yes	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x1e9266…
10-29 03:51:50	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	BUY	14	19¢	$3	0xf30811…
10-29 03:17:52	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	Yes	BUY	48	35¢	$17	0xb31704…
10-29 03:17:40	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	BUY	775	27¢	$212	0xd8de95…
10-29 03:06:58	Will "You Can See Everything" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between $10M and $12M?	Yes	BUY	370	33¢	$121	0x813608…
10-29 02:38:14	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	BUY	14	20¢	$3	0x89cbec…
10-29 02:16:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xb57404…
10-29 02:15:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	11	68¢	$7	0x73bf63…
10-29 02:03:19	Will In-fa become a Violent typhoon?	No	BUY	493	88¢	$434	0x77bf30…
10-29 00:48:47	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 37m and 40m?	Yes	BUY	17	10¢	$2	0x577976…
10-28 23:54:43	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	SELL	300	34¢	$102	0x804022…
10-28 23:52:55	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 37m?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xdbee0b…
10-28 23:52:55	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 37m?	Yes	BUY	0	15¢	$0	0x3436bd…