Defiant-Try — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$139

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.5%

Resolved

297

Trades

638

lifetime

Volume

$17.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-16

last 07-07 10:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Other

67% 34% -$514

Sports

15% 45% -$40

Crypto

13% 50% +$302

Politics

5% 67% +$113

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-07).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	14	$2.0K	2,728	1,728	+1,000	No	+$388	06-01 17:03
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	8	$619	505	505	+0	No	+$31	05-29 18:31
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 51 million views on day 3?	18	$617	548	408	+141	Yes	-$69	05-19 13:21
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$505	4,616	4,616	+0	No	-$5	06-24 21:55
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	15	$409	858	858	+0	No	+$42	05-22 01:02
Spain leading at halftime?	2	$396	240	240	+0	Yes	+$79	06-09 02:36
Will SC Paderborn achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?	3	$375	338	238	+100	Yes	+$53	05-25 20:44
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09?	1	$358	587	0	+587	No	-$358	06-09 21:49
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	11	$348	540	436	+104	No	-$2	05-26 15:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	2	$342	246	246	+0	No	+$96	05-24 18:25
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins	2	$332	241	241	+0	Minnesota Twins	+$72	06-03 00:18
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	14	$298	499	499	+0	Yes	+$195	05-17 15:05
Netherlands leading at halftime?	3	$262	164	164	+0	Yes	+$65	06-08 19:46
Will Philippines win on 2026-06-09?	1	$235	361	0	+361	Yes	+$126	06-09 08:25
Will Figure's F.03 Robots Run Without Failure Through May 21, 10 PM ET?	4	$221	184	184	+0	No	+$144	05-21 15:49
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-17?	2	$218	140	140	+0	Yes	+$56	05-17 11:47
Will MrBeast's next video get between 51 and 52 million views on day 3?	13	$215	278	190	+88	No	+$29	05-19 15:35
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins	1	$200	394	0	+394	Yes	-$200	06-03 15:02
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	6	$196	1,301	173	+1,128	No	-$12	05-17 16:14
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. North Macedonia end in a draw?	2	$191	122	122	+0	Yes	+$51	05-29 20:37
Will Figure's F.03 robots run for at least 200 hours without failure?	4	$185	183	183	+0	No	-$15	05-18 05:10
Will Figure's F.03 robots run between 100 and 200 hours without failure?	6	$184	142	142	+0	Yes	+$22	05-18 05:24
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-10?	2	$182	109	109	+0	Yes	+$33	06-11 01:29
mlb sf chc 2026 06 07	2	$163	116	116	+0	San Francisco Giants	+$67	06-08 03:36
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	4	$160	155	155	+0	No	+$75	05-29 13:32
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-10?	2	$159	231	231	+0	No	-$53	06-10 20:38
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?	1	$150	242	0	+242	No	-$150	05-19 16:54
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?	12	$141	375	250	+125	Yes	-$39	06-01 01:40
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	2	$140	90	90	+0	Yes	+$15	06-11 19:38
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	4	$133	114	114	+0	Yes	+$73	05-25 10:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-07 10:48:44	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	8	85¢	$6	0x25e2d1…
07-07 02:02:59	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xc12a26…
07-07 02:00:26	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 spread away 1pt5	Belgium	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0xc1dd35…
07-07 00:16:38	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 spread away 1pt5	Belgium	BUY	49	34¢	$17	0xa73d76…
07-07 00:15:16	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	United States	SELL	56	31¢	$17	0x780a5c…
07-06 23:45:04	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 corners first half total 3pt5	Under	BUY	14	34¢	$5	0xd0e679…
07-06 23:43:38	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	28	18¢	$5	0xd04bab…
07-06 22:42:29	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	United States	BUY	56	53¢	$30	0xc8ba44…
07-06 21:16:20	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	28	29¢	$8	0xdddea2…
07-06 21:15:50	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	52	74¢	$39	0xdffc73…
07-03 00:25:46	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	52	33¢	$17	0x392838…
07-01 21:26:20	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	Senegal	SELL	28	91¢	$25	0x87a2db…
07-01 20:05:40	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	Senegal	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xf27caf…
07-01 02:54:46	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team to advance	Mexico	SELL	65	94¢	$61	0xe4625a…
07-01 01:41:22	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team to advance	Mexico	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0x7044d9…
06-30 23:49:22	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	68	64¢	$43	0xd71979…
06-29 20:06:28	Germany leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	35	56¢	$20	0xaad1d6…
06-29 17:45:16	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 btts	No	BUY	31	31¢	$9	0x3f97ec…
06-29 17:44:23	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	Japan	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xfd6a39…
06-28 02:55:07	Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	62	28¢	$17	0x2ebf8e…
06-28 02:30:58	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 first half team total away 1pt5	Over	SELL	47	99¢	$46	0x2d7443…
06-28 01:49:47	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 first half team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	47	32¢	$15	0xeac1a0…
06-28 01:34:38	fifwc cdr uzb 2026 06 27 team total away 1pt5	Under	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x4d03ae…
06-28 00:38:40	fifwc cdr uzb 2026 06 27 team total away 1pt5	Under	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x68d163…
06-28 00:21:05	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 corners first half total 3pt5	Under	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x6b1379…
06-28 00:20:50	Colombia vs. Portugal: Draw at halftime?	Yes	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x1f8c45…
06-27 22:46:38	Colombia vs. Portugal: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	42	40¢	$17	0x55f9f1…
06-27 22:46:14	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 corners first half total 3pt5	Under	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xb45ed7…
06-27 21:36:22	Will Croatia win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	52	19¢	$10	0x73fcd3…
06-27 21:35:07	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	SELL	49	78¢	$38	0xf24215…
06-27 21:03:47	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	49	54¢	$26	0xc0eca2…
06-25 22:26:11	Japan leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	61	34¢	$21	0x29bce8…
06-25 19:27:35	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	92	60¢	$55	0xaecc55…
06-25 00:43:23	Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	333	0¢	$0	0x2078c3…
06-24 21:55:29	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	83	5¢	$4	0xe0886e…
06-24 20:20:35	fifwc che can 2026 06 24 btts	No	BUY	74	56¢	$41	0xbd3125…
06-24 01:41:56	DR Congo leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	81	12¢	$10	0x44be9e…
06-24 01:41:41	fifwc col cdr 2026 06 23 corners first half total 3pt5	Under	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x470a5b…
06-23 22:52:16	Croatia leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	37	53¢	$20	0xbb9354…
06-23 20:18:02	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 corners total 6pt5	Under	BUY	73	30¢	$22	0x75af9a…
06-22 20:42:43	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	78	55¢	$43	0x47bc96…
06-21 10:42:50	Belgium leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0xd893aa…
06-21 10:41:32	Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?	No	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xfd0afd…
06-21 01:56:10	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	No	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0xe976b2…
06-21 00:53:31	Japan leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0xebc7c9…
06-21 00:52:32	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	No	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x7323a0…
06-21 00:50:55	fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 corners first half total 3pt5	Under	SELL	79	99¢	$78	0xcc602c…
06-20 22:36:25	fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 corners first half total 3pt5	Under	BUY	79	37¢	$29	0x5d946c…
06-20 17:50:53	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 corners first half total 3pt5	Under	SELL	51	99¢	$50	0xe61a17…
06-20 13:06:07	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 corners first half total 3pt5	Under	BUY	51	34¢	$17	0x460455…
06-20 09:03:56	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xa71d39…
06-20 00:45:29	Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0xfb4421…
06-19 21:24:58	fifwc sco mar 2026 06 19 spread away 2pt5	Morocco	BUY	160	13¢	$21	0xe864f8…
06-19 21:24:08	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	112	58¢	$65	0x78a74e…
06-18 19:55:43	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 corners team away 3pt5	Over	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x0b7a77…
06-18 19:52:52	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0xeb01e5…
06-18 19:52:02	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x4b7615…
06-18 19:51:29	Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x3ea2a5…
06-18 19:51:01	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?	No	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x582da5…
06-18 18:57:20	Switzerland leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	94	47¢	$44	0x3263a2…
06-18 14:51:32	Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	102	53¢	$54	0x5d3685…
06-17 20:52:43	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	75	16¢	$12	0xe85090…
06-16 07:41:16	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xd5a5ab…
06-16 07:32:25	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xd92547…
06-16 07:27:33	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 07:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x911014…
06-15 19:46:15	Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x3bc345…
06-15 17:59:46	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 corners total 10pt5	Over	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xe17035…
06-15 17:59:13	Belgium leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	152	46¢	$70	0x0dd5d9…
06-15 17:57:33	Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x3cb7cd…
06-15 17:34:48	Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x07ce76…
06-15 16:56:34	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 goals lamine yamal gte1	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xcce141…
06-15 16:55:28	Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 10.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x16e1f7…
06-15 16:50:58	Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Draw at halftime?	Yes	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x7e6566…
06-15 16:50:37	Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Under	SELL	36	99¢	$36	0x7b53d3…
06-15 16:28:25	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	85	5¢	$4	0xf0be9c…
06-15 16:27:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	83	5¢	$4	0x57fbd4…
06-15 16:18:24	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 first half total 0pt5	Under	BUY	36	33¢	$12	0x99f46e…
06-15 16:14:01	Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x07ea59…
06-15 02:41:31	Sweden to win the second half?	Yes	BUY	83	49¢	$41	0x05b1ec…
06-15 02:38:21	Sweden leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	42	98¢	$41	0xfcddf2…
06-15 01:16:36	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	83	22¢	$18	0xf0ba2f…
06-15 01:12:25	fifwc civ ecu 2026 06 14 corners second half total 5pt5	Over	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xf9301c…
06-15 00:43:07	fifwc civ ecu 2026 06 14 goals enner valencia gte1	Yes	SELL	18	1¢	$0	0x4c7f42…
06-15 00:05:09	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	68	31¢	$21	0x22a659…
06-14 23:53:28	fifwc civ ecu 2026 06 14 corners first half total 3pt5	Under	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x67c753…
06-14 22:54:45	Sweden leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	42	38¢	$16	0x083ec6…
06-14 22:47:46	fifwc civ ecu 2026 06 14 goals enner valencia gte1	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x86caeb…
06-14 22:47:19	fifwc civ ecu 2026 06 14 corners second half total 5pt5	Over	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xdb422e…
06-14 22:47:09	fifwc civ ecu 2026 06 14 corners first half total 3pt5	Under	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x562902…
06-14 21:57:54	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	No	SELL	42	99¢	$42	0x06f2c1…
06-14 19:53:07	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	No	BUY	42	52¢	$22	0xa6a5fd…
06-13 02:07:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 02:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x7b8de7…
06-13 01:35:19	fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 goals folarin balogun gte1	Yes	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0x0eb623…
06-13 01:03:30	fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	44	81¢	$36	0xa7774b…
06-13 01:02:30	fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 goals folarin balogun gte1	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x602bd6…
06-13 01:00:27	Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xa2fe59…
06-12 03:20:48	Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 2 Czechia?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x7f6e8f…
06-12 02:18:45	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 corners total 11pt5	Over	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x322f79…
06-11 21:20:24	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 corners first half total 3pt5	Under	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x75d7e2…
06-11 21:14:43	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 corners first half total 3pt5	Under	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x112927…