Realized P&L
-$1
Unrealized P&L
+$42
Hit rate
66.7%
Resolved
2
Trades
20
lifetime
Volume
$100
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$107
9 positions
First seen
2026-11-09
last 11-10 13:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
70% 100% +$4
Politics
15% — —
Tech
10% — —
Crypto
5% 0% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic raise less than $65B in its IPO? Yes +66 $10 76¢ $50 +$40 11-10 08:27
Will John Thune be the next US Senate Minority Leader? Yes +13 $10 97¢ $13 +$3 11-09 22:19
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 11-09 20:51
Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026? Yes +59 $10 13¢ $8 -$2 11-10 13:38
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +6 $5 92¢ $5 +$0 11-09 02:16
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1480 by June 30, 2027? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 11-09 20:47
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 11-09 20:45
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in October? Yes +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 11-09 02:48
Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 96? No +22 $5 22¢ $5 $0 11-09 21:36