Realized P&L
-$66
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
31.6%
Resolved
15
Trades
15,958
lifetime
Volume
$256.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$296
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 08:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Other
57% 50% $-30
Crypto
18%
Politics
17% 0% $-36
Sports
7% 75% +$0
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 268 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027? No -75 $-71 98¢ $-73 $-2 06-28 21:10
Probable FDV above $800M one day after launch? No -60 $-58 92¢ $-56 +$3 06-28 21:10
Tabi FDV above $2B one day after launch? No -32 $-31 95¢ $-30 +$1 06-28 21:10
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No -33 $-23 90¢ $-30 $-6 06-01 13:47
Hurupay FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -27 $-27 99¢ $-27 +$0 06-28 21:10
Will XRP reach $3.80 by December 31, 2026? No -24 $-22 96¢ $-23 $-1 06-28 21:11
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026? No -26 $-21 77¢ $-20 +$1 06-28 21:11
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -25 $-21 72¢ $-18 +$3 06-28 21:11
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? No -18 $-16 96¢ $-17 $-1 06-01 16:25
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $5 26¢ $3 $-3 06-01 10:44