Realized P&L
-$66
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
31.6%
Resolved
15
Trades
15,388
lifetime
Volume
$237.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$379
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-29 21:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Other
54% 50% $-30
Crypto
20%
Politics
19% 0% $-36
Sports
7% 75% +$0
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 268 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027? No -75 $-71 95¢ $-71 +$0 06-28 21:10
Probable FDV above $800M one day after launch? No -60 $-58 98¢ $-59 $-1 06-28 21:10
2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion? Yes +33 $25 94¢ $31 +$6 06-12 14:42
Tabi FDV above $2B one day after launch? No -32 $-31 98¢ $-31 $-0 06-28 21:10
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No -33 $-23 88¢ $-29 $-6 06-01 13:47
Will Gold (GC) settle over $6,000 on the final trading day of June 2026? No -29 $-29 100¢ $-29 +$0 06-28 21:10
Hurupay FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -27 $-27 99¢ $-27 +$0 06-28 21:10
Will XRP reach $3.80 by December 31, 2026? No -24 $-22 94¢ $-22 $-0 06-28 21:11
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -25 $-21 86¢ $-21 $-0 06-28 21:11
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026? No -26 $-21 82¢ $-21 $-0 06-28 21:11
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? No -18 $-16 94¢ $-17 $-1 06-01 16:25
Will Silver (SI) settle over $70 on the final trading day of June 2026? No -16 $-16 100¢ $-16 $-0 06-28 21:11
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $5 35¢ $4 $-2 06-01 10:44