Realized P&L
-$1.81K
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
70.1%
Resolved
2,433
Trades
21,250
lifetime
Volume
$307.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$447
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 08:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 251 days
Categories
Other
62% 62% -$1,822
Politics
16% 66% -$556
Crypto
15% 57% +$452
Sports
6% 71% +$287
Tech
0% 55% -$171
Pop-Culture
0% 50% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 148 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027? No -123 -$118 98¢ $-120 -$2 05-06 12:48
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +220 $116 44¢ $98 -$18 10-28 08:38
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No -40 -$28 82¢ $-33 -$5 06-01 13:47
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -25 -$28 82¢ $-20 +$8 09-20 09:37
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No -18 -$17 98¢ $-18 -$1 09-04 17:11
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? No -18 -$16 97¢ $-17 -$1 06-01 16:25
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -15 -$14 100¢ $-15 $0 08-02 11:15
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +100 $13 13¢ $13 $0 10-27 19:40
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes -14 -$7 95¢ $-13 -$6 08-23 12:30
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No -32 -$18 32¢ $-10 +$8 06-28 21:11
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? Yes -12 -$8 77¢ $-9 -$1 09-18 21:42
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No -9 -$6 74¢ $-6 $0 09-16 20:39
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No -11 -$6 58¢ $-6 $0 09-05 22:19
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -6 -$5 82¢ $-5 +$0 09-15 19:08
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027? No -5 -$5 100¢ $-5 $0 09-15 19:07
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No -5 -$5 100¢ $-5 +$0 09-05 22:19
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? No -5 -$5 100¢ $-5 $0 09-15 19:07
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? No -5 -$5 99¢ $-5 $0 09-05 22:19
Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? No -5 -$5 98¢ $-5 +$0 09-15 19:08
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No -5 -$5 96¢ $-5 $0 09-16 20:40
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes -5 -$3 82¢ $-4 -$1 09-20 09:38
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -5 -$4 82¢ $-4 $0 09-23 09:52
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No -5 -$4 72¢ $-4 +$0 10-28 08:08
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No -82 -$18 4¢ $-3 +$15 06-28 21:11
Human moon landing in 2026? Yes -252 -$2 1¢ $-3 -$1 09-23 09:52
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No -7 -$3 44¢ $-3 +$0 09-20 09:38
Hurupay FDV above $50M one day after launch? No -3 -$3 95¢ $-3 +$0 09-16 20:41
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +10 $1 28¢ $3 +$2 10-28 08:52
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -30 -$9 8¢ $-3 +$7 05-10 16:31
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? Yes +40 $4 6¢ $2 -$1 07-20 14:00