Realized P&L
-$1.80K
Unrealized P&L
+$19
Hit rate
70.1%
Resolved
2,436
Trades
21,300
lifetime
Volume
$307.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$354
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 04:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 252 days
Categories
Other
62% 63% -$1,809
Politics
16% 66% -$556
Crypto
15% 57% +$452
Sports
6% 71% +$287
Tech
0% 55% -$171
Pop-Culture
0% 50% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 148 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027? No -123 -$118 98¢ $-120 -$2 05-06 12:48
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No -40 -$28 84¢ $-34 -$6 06-01 13:47
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -25 -$28 82¢ $-20 +$8 09-20 09:37
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +150 $20 13¢ $19 $0 10-28 17:10
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No -18 -$17 98¢ $-18 -$1 09-04 17:11
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? No -18 -$16 97¢ $-17 -$1 06-01 16:25
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -15 -$14 99¢ $-15 $0 08-02 11:15
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes -14 -$7 94¢ $-13 -$5 08-23 12:30
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No -32 -$18 32¢ $-10 +$8 06-28 21:11
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? Yes -12 -$8 78¢ $-10 -$2 09-18 21:42
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No -9 -$6 72¢ $-6 $0 09-16 20:39
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No -11 -$6 56¢ $-6 $0 09-05 22:19
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -6 -$5 83¢ $-5 +$0 09-15 19:08
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027? No -5 -$5 100¢ $-5 $0 09-15 19:07
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No -5 -$5 100¢ $-5 +$0 09-05 22:19
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? No -5 -$5 100¢ $-5 $0 09-15 19:07
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? No -5 -$5 99¢ $-5 $0 09-05 22:19
Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? No -5 -$5 98¢ $-5 +$0 09-15 19:08
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No -5 -$5 96¢ $-5 $0 09-16 20:40
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes -5 -$3 84¢ $-4 -$1 09-20 09:38
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -5 -$4 82¢ $-4 $0 09-23 09:52
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No -5 -$4 75¢ $-4 $0 10-28 08:08
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No -7 -$3 46¢ $-3 +$0 09-20 09:38
Hurupay FDV above $50M one day after launch? No -3 -$3 95¢ $-3 +$0 09-16 20:41
Human moon landing in 2026? Yes -252 -$2 1¢ $-3 $0 09-23 09:52
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? Yes +40 $4 6¢ $3 -$1 07-20 14:00
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No -82 -$18 3¢ $-2 +$16 06-28 21:11
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -30 -$9 8¢ $-2 +$7 05-10 16:31
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No -5 -$2 34¢ $-2 +$0 09-02 08:09
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -25 -$1 5¢ $-1 +$0 09-22 21:39