Realized P&L (7d)
+$350
Unrealized P&L
-$211
Hit rate
70.6%
Resolved (7d)
58
Trades (7d)
967
22,410 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$13.8K
$321.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$663
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-07 07:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 259 days
Categories
Other
60% 62% -$2,214
Politics
19% 66% +$10
Crypto
15% 58% +$459
Sports
6% 71% +$287
Tech
0% 53% -$192
Pop-Culture
0% 50% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 282 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will "Ramayana" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 9m? Yes +260 $195 55¢ $144 -$51 11-07 07:04
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027? No -123 -$118 98¢ $-120 -$2 05-06 12:48
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 28m and 31m? Yes +120 $37 63¢ $76 +$38 11-06 19:12
Will "The Cat in the Hat" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 18m? Yes +240 $91 29¢ $70 -$22 11-06 22:31
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No -40 -$28 92¢ $-37 -$9 06-01 13:47
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026? No -26 -$21 93¢ $-24 -$3 06-28 21:11
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -25 -$28 90¢ $-22 +$6 09-20 09:37
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No -18 -$17 99¢ $-18 -$1 09-04 17:11
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? No -18 -$16 98¢ $-17 -$1 06-01 16:25
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -15 -$14 100¢ $-15 $0 08-02 11:15
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes -14 -$7 95¢ $-13 -$6 08-23 12:30
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 28m? Yes +270 $19 4¢ $12 -$7 11-07 01:58
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? Yes -12 -$8 76¢ $-9 -$1 09-18 21:42
Will Kinetiq reach $1 before 2027? No -10 -$8 92¢ $-9 -$1 10-23 20:10
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No -11 -$6 76¢ $-8 -$2 09-05 22:19
Will Aster reach $2.20 by December 31, 2026? No -7 -$6 98¢ $-7 $0 10-23 09:38
Will "Wildwood" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m? Yes +200 $11 3¢ $6 -$5 11-07 02:46
Will "The Cat in the Hat" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 16m? Yes +350 $53 2¢ $6 -$47 11-07 05:57
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No -5 -$5 100¢ $-5 $0 09-05 22:19
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? No -5 -$5 100¢ $-5 $0 09-15 19:07
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027? No -5 -$5 100¢ $-5 $0 09-15 19:07
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? No -5 -$5 100¢ $-5 $0 09-05 22:19
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -6 -$5 81¢ $-5 +$0 09-15 19:08
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No -5 -$5 98¢ $-5 $0 09-16 20:40
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes -5 -$3 88¢ $-4 -$1 09-20 09:38
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -5 -$4 81¢ $-4 $0 09-23 09:52
Will "The Cat in the Hat" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 12m? Yes +667 $65 0¢ $3 -$62 11-06 16:17
Will "The Cat in the Hat" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m? Yes +350 $36 1¢ $3 -$33 11-06 21:48
Hurupay FDV above $50M one day after launch? No -3 -$3 95¢ $-3 +$0 09-16 20:41
Human moon landing in 2026? Yes -252 -$2 1¢ $-2 +$0 09-23 09:52