Realized P&L (90d)
-$294
Unrealized P&L
-$28
Hit rate
57.8%
Resolved (90d)
455
Trades (90d)
4,066
21,809 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$46.5K
$318.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$414
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-11 09:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 263 days
Categories
Other
61% 62% -$2,368
Politics
18% 66% +$10
Crypto
14% 58% +$459
Sports
6% 71% +$287
Tech
0% 53% -$192
Pop-Culture
0% 50% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 282 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027? No -123 -$118 98¢ $-120 -$2 05-06 12:48
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No -40 -$28 94¢ $-38 -$10 06-01 13:47
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026? No -26 -$21 94¢ $-25 -$4 06-28 21:11
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -25 -$28 92¢ $-23 +$5 09-20 09:37
Will XRP reach $3.40 by December 31, 2026? No -19 -$17 97¢ $-18 -$1 08-02 11:15
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No -18 -$17 99¢ $-18 -$1 09-04 17:11
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? No -18 -$16 99¢ $-18 -$1 06-01 16:25
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -15 -$14 100¢ $-15 $0 08-02 11:15
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes -14 -$7 94¢ $-13 -$6 08-23 12:30
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? Yes -12 -$8 93¢ $-11 -$3 09-18 21:42
Will "Victorian Psycho" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 4.5m? No +12 $10 84¢ $10 +$0 11-10 16:10
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $20B? No -10 -$9 98¢ $-10 -$1 09-20 09:37
Will Kinetiq reach $1 before 2027? No -10 -$8 93¢ $-9 -$1 10-23 20:10
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No -11 -$6 78¢ $-8 -$3 09-05 22:19
Will BNB reach $1300 by December 31, 2026? No -8 -$7 98¢ $-8 -$1 09-15 19:09
Will "Ebenezer" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 16m? Yes +20 $1 38¢ $8 +$6 11-11 09:24
Will Aster reach $2.20 by December 31, 2026? No -7 -$6 98¢ $-7 $0 10-23 09:38
Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $100M and $125M by November 30? Yes +20 $9 26¢ $5 -$4 11-10 18:11
will how to rob a bank opening weekend box office be between 11m and 13m 20261108 No +6 $5 84¢ $5 +$0 11-10 08:38
Will "How to Rob a Bank" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m? No +6 $5 84¢ $5 +$0 11-10 19:03
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -6 -$5 82¢ $-5 +$0 09-15 19:08
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No -5 -$5 100¢ $-5 $0 09-05 22:19
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? No -5 -$5 99¢ $-5 $0 09-05 22:19
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No -5 -$5 97¢ $-5 $0 09-16 20:40
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes -5 -$3 94¢ $-5 -$1 09-20 09:38
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -5 -$4 83¢ $-4 $0 09-23 09:52
Will "How to Rob a Bank" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 7m? Yes +11 $7 32¢ $3 -$4 11-11 07:25
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027? Yes -26 -$5 12¢ $-3 +$2 09-22 21:38
Hurupay FDV above $50M one day after launch? No -3 -$3 96¢ $-3 +$0 09-16 20:41
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No -5 -$4 42¢ $-2 +$2 10-28 08:08