Realized P&L (90d)
-$289
Unrealized P&L
-$12
Hit rate
57.8%
Resolved (90d)
458
Trades (90d)
4,011
21,819 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$46.1K
$319.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$535
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-12 09:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 265 days
Categories
Other
61% 62% -$2,364
Politics
18% 66% +$10
Crypto
14% 58% +$459
Sports
6% 71% +$287
Tech
0% 53% -$192
Pop-Culture
0% 50% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 282 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027? No -123 -$118 98¢ $-120 -$3 05-06 12:48
Will "Victorian Psycho" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 2.5m? Yes +80 $73 92¢ $74 +$1 11-11 23:32
Will "How to Rob a Bank" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 7m? Yes +60 $39 92¢ $56 +$17 11-12 09:09
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No -40 -$28 96¢ $-39 -$10 06-01 13:47
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026? No -26 -$21 93¢ $-24 -$3 06-28 21:11
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -25 -$28 92¢ $-23 +$5 09-20 09:37
Will XRP reach $3.40 by December 31, 2026? No -19 -$17 97¢ $-18 -$1 08-02 11:15
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No -18 -$17 99¢ $-18 -$1 09-04 17:11
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? No -18 -$16 99¢ $-18 -$1 06-01 16:25
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -15 -$14 100¢ $-15 $0 08-02 11:15
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes -14 -$7 97¢ $-13 -$6 08-23 12:30
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? Yes -12 -$8 95¢ $-12 -$4 09-18 21:42
Will "Victorian Psycho" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 4.5m? No +12 $10 84¢ $10 +$0 11-10 16:10
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $20B? No -10 -$9 98¢ $-10 -$1 09-20 09:37
Will Kinetiq reach $1 before 2027? No -10 -$8 93¢ $-9 -$1 10-23 20:10
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No -11 -$6 72¢ $-8 -$2 09-05 22:19
Will BNB reach $1300 by December 31, 2026? No -8 -$7 97¢ $-8 -$1 09-15 19:09
Will Aster reach $2.20 by December 31, 2026? No -7 -$6 98¢ $-7 $0 10-23 09:38
will how to rob a bank opening weekend box office be between 11m and 13m 20261108 No +6 $5 99¢ $6 +$1 11-10 08:38
Will "How to Rob a Bank" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m? No +6 $5 98¢ $6 +$1 11-10 19:03
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -6 -$5 82¢ $-5 +$0 09-15 19:08
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No -5 -$5 100¢ $-5 $0 09-05 22:19
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? No -5 -$5 99¢ $-5 $0 09-05 22:19
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No -5 -$5 97¢ $-5 $0 09-16 20:40
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes -5 -$3 92¢ $-5 -$1 09-20 09:38
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -5 -$4 86¢ $-4 $0 09-23 09:52
Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $100M and $125M by November 30? Yes +20 $9 20¢ $4 -$5 11-10 18:11
Will "Ghost Soldier" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 4m? Yes +9 $2 42¢ $4 +$1 11-11 22:52
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027? Yes -26 -$5 12¢ $-3 +$2 09-22 21:38
Hurupay FDV above $50M one day after launch? No -3 -$3 95¢ $-3 +$0 09-16 20:41