Realized P&L (90d)
-$250
Unrealized P&L
+$111
Hit rate
57.9%
Resolved (90d)
455
Trades (90d)
4,089
21,920 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$47.3K
$320.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$989
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-14 19:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 267 days
Categories
Other
61% 62% -$2,364
Politics
18% 66% +$10
Crypto
14% 58% +$474
Sports
6% 71% +$287
Tech
0% 53% -$192
Pop-Culture
0% 50% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 282 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +195 $165 85¢ $165 $0 11-14 15:18
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +200 $126 63¢ $127 +$1 11-14 13:26
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027? No -123 -$118 98¢ $-120 -$3 05-06 12:48
Will "How to Rob a Bank" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 7m? Yes +120 $99 98¢ $117 +$18 11-14 08:52
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m? Yes +100 $25 62¢ $62 +$38 11-13 22:23
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No -40 -$28 97¢ $-39 -$11 06-01 13:47
Will "The Cat in the Hat" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m? Yes +100 $33 39¢ $39 +$6 11-14 19:23
Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $23 76¢ $38 +$15 11-13 12:43
Will "Ghost Soldier" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m? Yes +65 $1 54¢ $35 +$34 11-14 01:21
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026? No -26 -$21 96¢ $-25 -$4 06-28 21:11
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -25 -$28 92¢ $-23 +$5 09-20 09:37
Will XRP reach $3.40 by December 31, 2026? No -19 -$17 97¢ $-18 -$1 08-02 11:15
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No -18 -$17 99¢ $-18 -$1 09-04 17:11
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? No -18 -$16 99¢ $-18 -$1 06-01 16:25
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -15 -$14 100¢ $-15 $0 08-02 11:15
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 8m? Yes +100 $6 14¢ $14 +$8 11-14 07:25
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes -14 -$7 95¢ $-13 -$6 08-23 12:30
Will "Victorian Psycho" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 4.5m? No +12 $10 99¢ $12 +$2 11-10 16:10
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? Yes -12 -$8 96¢ $-12 -$4 09-18 21:42
Will "The Cat in the Hat" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least 12m? Yes +28 $1 41¢ $12 +$10 11-14 10:21
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $20B? No -10 -$9 98¢ $-10 -$1 09-20 09:37
Ostium FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -10 -$9 98¢ $-10 $0 09-18 21:41
Will BNB reach $1300 by December 31, 2026? No -8 -$7 97¢ $-8 -$1 09-15 19:09
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No -11 -$6 71¢ $-8 -$2 09-05 22:19
Will "Victorian Psycho" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 2.5m? Yes +6 -$3 97¢ $6 +$9 11-14 08:39
Will "How to Rob a Bank" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m? No +6 $5 100¢ $6 +$1 11-10 19:03
will how to rob a bank opening weekend box office be between 11m and 13m 20261108 No +6 $5 100¢ $6 +$1 11-10 08:38
Felix Protocol FDV above $800M one day after launch? No -5 -$5 99¢ $-5 $0 09-20 09:38
Will "Ebenezer" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m? Yes +300 $9 2¢ $5 -$4 11-14 02:12
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -6 -$5 83¢ $-5 $0 09-15 19:08