Realized P&L
-$154
Unrealized P&L
+$43
Hit rate
40.4%
Resolved
291
Trades
545
lifetime
Volume
$2.51K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$844
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-29
last 11-10 14:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Other
72% 40% -$37
Crypto
22% 50% -$117
Politics
5% 0% $0
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
11 active days in 12wk • peak 87 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on November 10? No +96 $82 100¢ $96 +$14 11-09 12:48
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on November 10? No +95 $68 100¢ $95 +$28 11-09 12:48
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? No +77 $66 100¢ $76 +$11 11-09 11:59
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? No +76 $49 80¢ $61 +$12 11-09 11:59
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 10? No +56 $52 100¢ $56 +$3 11-09 09:50
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from November 10 to November 17, 2026? No +50 $41 91¢ $45 +$5 11-10 04:01
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from November 10 to November 17, 2026? No +51 $38 76¢ $39 +$0 11-10 04:01
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on November 10? No +41 $33 87¢ $35 +$3 11-09 12:10
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on November 10? No +40 $34 78¢ $32 -$2 11-09 12:10
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on November 10? No +25 $23 100¢ $25 +$3 11-08 23:58
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on November 10? No +25 $18 100¢ $25 +$7 11-08 23:58
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on November 10? No +19 $18 94¢ $18 $0 11-10 11:36
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on November 10? No +20 $18 90¢ $18 $0 11-10 11:36
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on November 11? No +20 $17 85¢ $17 $0 11-09 18:56
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on November 11? No +20 $17 82¢ $17 +$0 11-10 12:34
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on November 11? No +20 $16 82¢ $16 +$0 11-10 14:25
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on November 11? No +20 $15 81¢ $16 +$1 11-10 12:34
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? No +77 $46 21¢ $16 -$31 11-09 11:59
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 11? No +20 $11 74¢ $15 +$4 11-09 18:56
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 24°C on November 11? No +20 $15 72¢ $15 +$0 11-10 14:25
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on November 10? No +40 $14 32¢ $13 -$1 11-09 12:10
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on November 10? No +20 $13 64¢ $13 +$0 11-10 11:36
Will Marine Le Pen receive less than 28% of the vote in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? No +17 $13 68¢ $11 -$2 11-10 00:01
Will Marine Le Pen receive between 31% and 34% of the vote in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? No +16 $13 68¢ $11 -$2 11-10 00:01
Will Marine Le Pen receive between 34% and 37% of the vote in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? No +16 $12 69¢ $11 -$1 11-10 00:01
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on November 10? No +20 $11 55¢ $11 +$0 11-10 11:36
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C on November 11? No +20 $10 52¢ $11 +$0 11-10 14:25
Will Marine Le Pen receive between 28% and 31% of the vote in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? No +16 $14 61¢ $10 -$4 11-10 00:01
Will there be exactly 5 ChatGPT outages in November 2026? No +11 $9 94¢ $10 +$1 11-08 23:49
Will Marine Le Pen receive between 37% and 40% of the vote in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? No +16 $14 60¢ $10 -$4 11-10 00:01