Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$48.1K

Unrealized P&L

+$838

Hit rate

84.1%

Resolved

871

Trades

11,241

lifetime

Volume

$9.98M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$888

Open exposure

$28.2K

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-04 13:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 155 days

Categories

Other

62% 84% +$65,875

Politics

37% 84% +$8,641

Sports

1% 92% -$26,513

Crypto

0% 92% -$22

Tech

0% 100% +$70

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 1324 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	+14,533	$13,916	98¢	$14.2K	+$304	11-04 05:40
LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Gen.G	+8,239	$7,580	92¢	$7.5K	-$41	11-04 13:46
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+6,999	$5,865	92¢	$6.4K	+$575	11-04 10:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1,342	$790.0K	484,986	342,987	+142,000	Yes	+$25,614	11-04 03:41
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	140	$481.0K	373,514	158,455	+215,059	Yes	+$32,839	10-28 18:04
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	359	$471.2K	284,915	212,520	+72,395	Yes	+$800	03-03 16:44
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	759	$450.4K	259,273	277,067	-17,794	Yes	+$14,606	02-03 05:05
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	38	$316.8K	219,804	99,199	+120,605	Yes	+$954	03-18 17:58
lol gen ly 2026 03 19	71	$303.1K	152,442	152,442	+0	Gen.G	+$1,494	03-19 16:54
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	102	$254.0K	279,742	0	+279,742	No	+$25,729	10-26 00:11
lol ly jdg 2026 03 20	166	$234.0K	129,867	130,368	-501	JD Gaming	-$10,679	03-20 19:22
lol jdg lll 2026 03 19	14	$154.8K	155,944	1,444	+154,500	JD Gaming	+$2,540	03-19 17:26
will the government shutdown last 1 day or more 842	14	$152.9K	78,000	76,590	+1,410	Yes	+$1,339	01-31 06:29
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	34	$150.1K	175,251	0	+175,251	Yes	+$25,102	11-04 02:14
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	100	$141.9K	73,996	74,128	-132	Yes	+$1,634	01-28 22:49
lol gen g2 2026 03 21	90	$137.8K	80,107	80,107	+0	G2 Esports	-$11,777	03-21 15:30
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	84	$135.2K	123,610	123,610	+0	Yes	-$7,812	03-01 02:49
lol gen jdg 2026 03 17	249	$133.2K	141,532	6,011	+135,521	Gen.G	+$14,290	03-17 16:08
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	47	$132.0K	68,366	68,366	+0	Yes	+$1,104	10-26 02:43
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	110	$125.5K	64,147	90,891	-26,744	No	+$18,076	10-25 22:11
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	179	$119.5K	120,553	5,000	+115,553	Yes	+$3,181	11-04 03:30
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	87	$114.6K	59,343	86,087	-26,744	Yes	-$22,084	10-26 00:10
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	16	$112.1K	112,311	201	+112,110	No	+$368	01-03 21:01
epl lee mac 2026 02 28 mac	26	$111.4K	61,925	61,925	+0	Yes	+$12,323	02-28 19:34
lol fox1 we 2026 10 17	17	$103.8K	127,006	27,256	+99,750	BNK FEARX	+$15,784	10-17 09:40
will pheu thai party pt win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	33	$101.9K	73,781	31,034	+42,747	No	+$2,752	02-09 04:39
will khamenei leave iran by friday	42	$98.9K	98,740	1,100	+97,640	No	+$923	01-09 15:58
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	58	$96.5K	97,989	0	+97,989	No	+$1,492	01-08 00:53
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	24	$84.1K	38,940	47,055	-8,116	No	+$254	01-15 02:43
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	45	$82.3K	44,869	44,869	+0	No	+$2,699	04-01 02:50
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	104	$75.3K	55,844	27,971	+27,873	No	+$6,854	01-31 23:06
us forces enter iran by march 7	83	$71.7K	41,845	44,173	-2,328	No	-$8,665	03-05 06:43
lol gen g2 2026 03 21 game handicap away 1pt5	20	$71.5K	50,044	50,044	+0	G2 Esports	-$16,464	03-21 13:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 13:46:06	LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Gen.G	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0xb80e64…
11-04 13:45:48	LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Gen.G	BUY	8,232	92¢	$7,574	0x373b43…
11-04 10:06:54	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	88¢	$48	0x58eb7e…
11-04 10:06:42	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	279	88¢	$244	0x1273d1…
11-04 07:22:52	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	380	84¢	$317	0x288402…
11-04 07:22:51	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	124	84¢	$103	0xcc6725…
11-04 07:22:51	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	84¢	$418	0x91831d…
11-04 07:22:51	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	188	84¢	$157	0x812c0e…
11-04 07:22:51	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,400	84¢	$2,006	0x1ff504…
11-04 07:22:43	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	493	84¢	$412	0xe96273…
11-04 07:22:27	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	61	84¢	$51	0x0c330c…
11-04 07:22:21	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x4dd029…
11-04 07:22:18	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	84¢	$19	0x911713…
11-04 07:22:18	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	478	84¢	$400	0x214349…
11-04 07:22:12	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,857	84¢	$1,552	0xdfe7fd…
11-04 07:22:12	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	158	84¢	$132	0x610d3d…
11-04 05:40:52	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	17	96¢	$16	0x03719b…
11-04 05:40:18	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	14,516	96¢	$13,900	0x2e730e…
11-04 05:38:58	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	13,954	100¢	$13,940	0xe91ecd…
11-04 03:41:43	Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	97¢	$11	0x8893a3…
11-04 03:41:22	Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,090	97¢	$3,976	0xd19804…
11-04 03:41:15	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	4,000	100¢	$3,992	0xf613d0…
11-04 03:38:03	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x067aad…
11-04 03:37:13	Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,050	98¢	$3,960	0xc96313…
11-04 03:36:28	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	4,000	100¢	$3,992	0x8d3b7e…
11-04 03:31:12	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	93¢	$36	0x8d4752…
11-04 03:30:12	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	50,100	100¢	$49,850	0x5234b8…
11-04 03:29:52	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	50,000	100¢	$49,900	0xe51794…
11-04 03:20:24	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	498	91¢	$453	0x2af109…
11-04 03:10:46	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x8bd5c3…
11-04 03:10:45	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	96¢	$36	0xf4175a…
11-04 03:10:45	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	96¢	$36	0x5af74d…
11-04 03:10:45	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	771	96¢	$737	0x2bf09a…
11-04 03:10:15	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	433	96¢	$414	0xaf96d1…
11-04 03:09:22	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,847	96¢	$3,697	0x69a343…
11-04 03:09:12	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	97¢	$34	0xca338b…
11-04 03:08:55	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	132	96¢	$127	0xbcb99b…
11-04 03:08:55	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	96¢	$77	0x12cf1d…
11-04 03:08:51	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	941	96¢	$905	0x9967f8…
11-04 03:08:43	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x1d1956…
11-04 03:08:42	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	637	97¢	$616	0xe47813…
11-04 03:07:57	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,445	92¢	$2,249	0x4bc202…
11-04 03:06:48	LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 4 Winner	Invictus Gaming	SELL	5,109	100¢	$5,104	0x71a549…
11-04 03:06:37	LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Invictus Gaming	SELL	4,329	100¢	$4,325	0xd62901…
11-04 02:45:42	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	2,192	99¢	$2,172	0xb42a94…
11-04 02:45:21	LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Invictus Gaming	BUY	2,511	96¢	$2,409	0x46dcd6…
11-04 02:45:18	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	151	99¢	$149	0x9bfe75…
11-04 02:42:33	LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Invictus Gaming	BUY	675	96¢	$648	0x8362bf…
11-04 02:42:09	LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 4 Winner	Invictus Gaming	BUY	2,109	90¢	$1,899	0x205384…
11-04 02:42:06	LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 4 Winner	Invictus Gaming	BUY	13	90¢	$11	0xee044d…
11-04 02:42:06	LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 4 Winner	Invictus Gaming	BUY	300	90¢	$270	0xd2736a…
11-04 02:42:06	LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 4 Winner	Invictus Gaming	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x9c62dc…
11-04 02:42:06	LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 4 Winner	Invictus Gaming	BUY	821	90¢	$739	0x72691e…
11-04 02:42:04	LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 4 Winner	Invictus Gaming	BUY	766	90¢	$689	0xfe1bfe…
11-04 02:41:31	LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 4 Winner	Invictus Gaming	BUY	125	88¢	$110	0x550152…
11-04 02:41:28	LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 4 Winner	Invictus Gaming	BUY	83	88¢	$73	0x64a2bd…
11-04 02:41:27	LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 4 Winner	Invictus Gaming	BUY	882	88¢	$776	0x97e0ab…
11-04 02:41:10	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	10,000	100¢	$9,980	0x0bb646…
11-04 02:32:45	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0x4b0517…
11-04 02:27:45	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	82	91¢	$75	0xebc132…
11-04 02:25:57	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	290	91¢	$264	0xd2f144…
11-04 02:25:57	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	401	91¢	$365	0xc9fcf9…
11-04 02:25:46	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	91¢	$55	0x8b1f27…
11-04 02:25:46	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	106	91¢	$96	0x6023e4…
11-04 02:20:16	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	117	91¢	$107	0xba18a4…
11-04 02:20:16	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,072	91¢	$976	0x87ca75…
11-04 02:20:15	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	91¢	$35	0xca9667…
11-04 02:20:15	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0x873108…
11-04 02:20:15	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,177	91¢	$1,071	0x6e9c63…
11-04 02:19:49	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	149	91¢	$136	0x499f2f…
11-04 02:19:48	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,354	91¢	$3,962	0x54c1e2…
11-04 02:19:39	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	212	91¢	$193	0x34ddc0…
11-04 02:18:52	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	91¢	$0	0x9014bf…
11-04 02:18:45	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,180	91¢	$1,074	0xf2a19a…
11-04 02:18:39	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0x1229ca…
11-04 02:18:37	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	91¢	$43	0xfad720…
11-04 02:18:37	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	91¢	$31	0x0c9cf6…
11-04 02:18:34	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0x5b2a1c…
11-04 02:18:31	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	91¢	$35	0xe64bb8…
11-04 02:18:28	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	105	91¢	$96	0x373fa4…
11-04 02:18:24	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	91¢	$31	0xcdd958…
11-04 02:18:15	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	85	91¢	$77	0x352078…
11-04 02:18:07	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	91¢	$38	0x88ec3e…
11-04 02:18:06	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x5b330a…
11-04 02:18:03	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	755	91¢	$687	0xd9060b…
11-04 02:17:52	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	91¢	$13	0xad9059…
11-04 02:17:43	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	174	91¢	$158	0x2025b3…
11-04 02:17:40	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	91¢	$64	0xab67f9…
11-04 02:17:30	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	169	91¢	$154	0x4cbc23…
11-04 02:17:13	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	10,000	100¢	$9,960	0x12913f…
11-04 02:15:27	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0x501033…
11-04 02:14:48	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	11,319	98¢	$11,092	0xe31e97…
11-04 02:14:48	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	98¢	$38	0x9bdbe8…
11-04 02:14:46	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,143	98¢	$3,080	0x105560…
11-04 02:13:28	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	14,313	100¢	$14,256	0xc781bb…
11-04 02:09:33	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	95¢	$3	0x48690f…
11-04 02:09:15	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	97¢	$55	0xb27adb…
11-04 02:09:15	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,028	97¢	$1,000	0x532834…
11-04 02:09:13	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	285	97¢	$277	0x1acf0c…
11-04 02:07:43	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	108	100¢	$107	0xfc0596…