(anonymous) 0xc73236…153561 Create alert
bot 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$142
Unrealized P&L
+$72
Hit rate
81.5%
Resolved
112
Trades
1,199
lifetime
Volume
$21.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$8.39K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-28
last 11-12 08:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Other
59% 82% -$58
Politics
25% 50% -$127
Tech
8% — —
Sports
7% 100% +$2
Crypto
1% 100% +$42
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
11 active days in 12wk • peak 188 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1,336 $1,335 100¢ $1.3K -$1 11-09 15:43
Will Club Universitario de Deportes win on 2026-11-14? No +805 $765 98¢ $793 +$27 11-08 23:25
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +668 $581 86¢ $578 -$3 11-09 15:43
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +682 $583 84¢ $570 -$14 11-12 06:11
Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat? No +492 $467 99¢ $489 +$22 11-09 00:01
Will David Lisnard win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? No +479 $423 84¢ $403 -$19 11-11 20:46
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by 16% or more? No +267 $266 100¢ $266 $0 11-08 19:36
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +266 $266 100¢ $265 $0 11-10 19:17
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +251 $250 100¢ $250 $0 11-10 05:30
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +235 $233 99¢ $233 $0 11-11 14:44
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027? No +224 $223 100¢ $223 +$0 11-11 20:54
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +224 $211 96¢ $216 +$5 11-10 13:30
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +209 $207 99¢ $207 $0 11-11 06:57
Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +200 $200 100¢ $200 $0 11-08 22:09
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +209 $194 92¢ $193 -$1 11-11 06:57
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? No +189 $189 100¢ $189 $0 11-11 13:17
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? No +177 $176 99¢ $176 $0 11-11 20:34
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027? No +176 $176 100¢ $176 +$0 11-11 06:55
Will Chuck Fleischmann be the next to hold Blackburn's Senate seat by March 31? No +179 $177 92¢ $166 -$12 11-09 21:51
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 US song this week? No +231 $122 68¢ $158 +$36 11-10 23:12
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1? No +200 $148 76¢ $152 +$4 11-12 01:20
Exact Score: Wycombe Wanderers FC 2 - 3 Huddersfield Town AFC? No +150 $150 99¢ $148 -$2 11-10 09:01
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +211 $142 69¢ $146 +$4 11-11 22:33
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027? No +138 $138 100¢ $138 $0 11-11 05:22
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +148 $110 90¢ $133 +$23 10-29 19:15
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +128 $128 100¢ $128 $0 11-10 17:01
Will 235-239 House members vote to impeach Hegseth by December 31? No +120 $118 100¢ $120 +$2 11-11 02:07
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027? No +118 $116 99¢ $117 +$1 11-11 05:01
Will Lisa Su be the next CEO of NVIDIA? No +115 $108 98¢ $113 +$5 11-12 00:05
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? No +114 $113 97¢ $111 -$2 11-10 02:15